Damaged-Reason — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

+$861

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

8,424

Trades

18,216

lifetime

Volume

$152.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 278 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 52% +$1,761

Other

2% 45% -$62

Politics

0% 71% +$41

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,250	$15	1¢	$14	-$1	06-19 08:33
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+0	-$152	37¢	$0	+$152	10-26 20:30
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+0	-$710	31¢	$0	+$710	10-27 13:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	19	$1.1K	882	882	+0	open	—	10-25 23:02
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	33	$965	3,100	3,100	+0	open	—	10-27 13:59
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	4	$297	833	0	+833	open	—	10-29 15:15
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 12am et	24	$249	509	0	+509	Down	+$259	09-27 04:00
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 10pm et	14	$242	440	0	+440	Down	+$198	09-27 02:00
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 7am et	8	$240	501	0	+501	Up	-$240	09-27 11:01
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	17	$228	7,510	0	+7,510	open	—	10-28 17:54
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 9am et	28	$224	467	0	+467	Up	+$243	09-27 13:00
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	5	$202	500	500	+0	open	—	10-26 20:30
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 7pm et	26	$200	364	0	+364	Up	+$164	09-27 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$194	159	159	+0	Up	-$6	05-28 18:33
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 8pm et	13	$182	330	0	+330	Down	+$149	09-27 00:00
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 10pm et	5	$175	330	0	+330	Down	-$175	09-28 02:00
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 12pm et	1	$169	320	0	+320	Down	+$150	09-26 16:00
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3am et	8	$157	307	0	+307	Up	+$150	09-30 07:00
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 11am et	4	$154	321	0	+321	Down	-$154	09-27 15:01
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	2	$152	200	200	+0	open	—	10-05 19:06
bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 10pm et	7	$152	337	0	+337	Up	-$152	07-26 02:00
bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 11am et	10	$142	263	0	+263	Down	-$142	09-29 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET	5	$140	270	0	+270	Up	+$130	10-24 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	13	$137	250	0	+250	Down	-$137	10-24 15:01
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 4pm et	4	$136	273	0	+273	Up	+$136	09-28 20:01
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 11pm et	8	$135	264	0	+264	Up	+$130	09-29 03:00
bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 7pm et	2	$133	296	0	+296	Up	+$163	07-19 23:00
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 9pm et	9	$133	260	0	+260	Down	-$133	09-28 01:00
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 9pm et	3	$132	264	0	+264	Down	-$132	09-29 01:00
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 8pm et	9	$128	279	0	+279	Down	-$128	09-29 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3PM ET	5	$127	259	0	+259	Up	+$132	10-21 19:00
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 1pm et	12	$126	229	0	+229	Up	+$103	09-27 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4PM ET	1	$124	234	0	+234	Up	+$110	10-23 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:15:41	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xad150f…
10-29 15:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x289bdf…
10-29 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe230c4…
10-29 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc27e27…
10-29 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x859b30…
10-29 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x2d314e…
10-29 14:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	85	50¢	$42	0x5ff858…
10-29 12:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xa1498d…
10-29 11:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x0c0d1b…
10-29 11:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x00c318…
10-29 11:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x74e6d1…
10-29 11:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x589b2a…
10-29 09:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x1ecd4b…
10-29 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb2e0c9…
10-29 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdf8276…
10-29 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd0dd5d…
10-29 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x9228b0…
10-29 07:54:19	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	84	35¢	$29	0xe38995…
10-29 07:54:19	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	245	35¢	$86	0x183278…
10-29 07:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf7eec4…
10-29 06:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xb8b1f6…
10-29 06:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	68	51¢	$35	0x64ae1f…
10-29 06:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xdf2452…
10-29 05:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x68fac8…
10-29 05:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xb0448c…
10-29 05:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x0df438…
10-29 05:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x74a7eb…
10-29 05:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb68964…
10-29 04:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x866e7f…
10-29 04:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0xe5c1da…
10-29 04:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xbef765…
10-29 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x987306…
10-29 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa08767…
10-29 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x206183…
10-29 03:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf3ca95…
10-29 03:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xf328ea…
10-29 03:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x840778…
10-29 03:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf85e6b…
10-29 03:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x422743…
10-29 03:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xcf2572…
10-29 03:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x53571f…
10-29 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9f7655…
10-29 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe5f26f…
10-29 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd88411…
10-29 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc34334…
10-29 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9bc574…
10-29 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6c84a9…
10-29 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5d3b7e…
10-29 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x590eee…
10-29 02:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xf404ac…
10-29 02:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3177ba…
10-29 01:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xcdaa17…
10-29 01:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x0d61d5…
10-29 01:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x002f28…
10-29 00:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7bfc02…
10-29 00:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0xddcae9…
10-28 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe882f7…
10-28 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xbf5126…
10-28 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x88d5a7…
10-28 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x333545…
10-28 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x227291…
10-28 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x21134d…
10-28 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x033970…
10-28 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7c241a…
10-28 23:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x95a064…
10-28 23:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x67a2d5…
10-28 20:42:38	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0x633441…
10-28 20:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xe9f19a…
10-28 20:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x40f80b…
10-28 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4cc3d8…
10-28 20:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x3283f8…
10-28 20:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2d0cf4…
10-28 19:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xb4d969…
10-28 19:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7da3dd…
10-28 19:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x6e5a11…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdc1ecb…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd9bfdc…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x82fc3a…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8187bc…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x69d28b…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x614110…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x4c68b4…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x45c3f5…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x1288a1…
10-28 17:54:53	Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x14e039…
10-28 17:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x8a1994…
10-28 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x7bdad3…
10-28 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x8f4b40…
10-28 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0x6dcf80…
10-28 15:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x48e1f6…
10-28 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x795a2d…
10-28 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xc6128e…
10-28 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6818be…
10-28 12:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	74	50¢	$37	0xc0b81a…
10-28 12:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x772b7b…
10-28 12:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc5a61d…
10-28 10:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x4d6a21…
10-28 10:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xff8ef6…
10-28 10:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7f2b30…
10-28 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9febe5…