Damaged-Reason — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$624

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

195

Trades

5,616

lifetime

Volume

$43.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-02 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% $-624

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No		+2,337	$30	0¢	$2	$-28	06-29 13:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$194	159	159	+0	open	—	05-28 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10PM ET	1	$103	190	0	+190	open	—	05-03 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	5	$101	186	0	+186	Up	$-101	05-05 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	1	$100	186	0	+186	open	—	05-04 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	1	$100	185	0	+185	Up	+$85	05-06 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5PM ET	1	$91	169	0	+169	open	—	05-01 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	1	$87	171	0	+171	Up	+$84	05-06 05:00
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 1pm et	6	$86	168	0	+168	open	—	06-27 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7PM ET	1	$86	175	0	+175	open	—	05-01 23:00
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	9	$81	82	82	+0	open	—	01-14 18:14
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6am et	10	$80	162	0	+162	open	—	06-21 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET	5	$78	156	0	+156	Down	$-78	05-06 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	1	$77	143	0	+143	Up	+$66	05-07 01:00
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 3pm et	10	$76	144	0	+144	open	—	06-26 19:00
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	45	$74	331	325	+6	open	—	01-15 18:59
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 7am et	2	$73	135	0	+135	open	—	04-18 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	2	$72	148	0	+148	open	—	05-01 16:03
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	26	$72	440	495	-55	open	—	01-15 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	10	$70	138	0	+138	open	—	05-21 19:00
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 7am et	3	$69	126	0	+126	open	—	04-16 11:00
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 1pm et	2	$69	137	0	+137	open	—	06-19 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	5	$68	44	44	+0	open	—	06-01 07:17
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 9pm et	11	$68	129	0	+129	open	—	06-21 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	7	$67	139	0	+139	Up	+$72	05-11 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2AM ET	11	$65	132	0	+132	Down	$-65	05-12 06:00
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 3am et	5	$65	117	0	+117	open	—	04-15 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	7	$64	119	53	+67	open	—	05-31 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9PM ET	3	$64	118	0	+118	open	—	04-30 01:00
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 4pm et	2	$63	115	0	+115	open	—	04-16 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	8	$63	136	0	+136	open	—	05-03 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 01:00:14	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7762b6…
07-02 00:59:59	btc updown 5m 1782954000	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xb2b625…
07-02 00:14:59	btc updown 5m 1782951300	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x62ed2c…
07-02 00:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad3165…
07-02 00:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0x4f84d4…
07-02 00:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0e1489…
07-01 23:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x51d93d…
07-01 23:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x13b190…
07-01 21:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x95d2af…
07-01 21:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8f996a…
07-01 21:00:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x57a86b…
07-01 20:00:46	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5474fd…
07-01 19:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xde5bd2…
07-01 17:00:17	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6096d3…
07-01 17:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0ff385…
07-01 17:00:14	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x146323…
07-01 17:00:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x3df374…
07-01 17:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x684d4d…
07-01 17:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x53014d…
07-01 17:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9a6318…
07-01 17:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5e6f9e…
07-01 16:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc929ea…
07-01 16:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7c0d62…
07-01 15:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xe94f9a…
07-01 15:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x28f44c…
07-01 15:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xedcd40…
07-01 15:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3f2b03…
07-01 15:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x314886…
07-01 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x825d78…
07-01 13:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x791ddb…
07-01 13:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3ea4df…
07-01 11:00:49	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xe37f01…
07-01 10:00:25	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x03da1c…
07-01 10:00:23	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x478b1a…
07-01 10:00:17	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x949061…
07-01 10:00:17	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x5b32c8…
07-01 07:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x955e64…
07-01 07:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe65c7c…
07-01 07:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2a1792…
07-01 06:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x023ad6…
07-01 04:00:22	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x553ec5…
07-01 04:00:19	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x67db94…
07-01 04:00:14	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x807bc7…
07-01 02:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb7c611…
07-01 02:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4f2a73…
07-01 02:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x4045d8…
07-01 01:00:22	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe1e240…
07-01 01:00:22	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa6f577…
07-01 01:00:20	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x1330de…
07-01 01:00:16	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xfe3322…
07-01 00:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x3fde4c…
07-01 00:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x066f66…
06-30 23:24:59	btc updown 5m 1782861900	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xea4e25…
06-30 23:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4f0722…
06-30 22:00:08	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	49	44¢	$21	0x3350b4…
06-30 21:50:01	btc updown 5m 1782856200	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xfc5ce0…
06-30 21:50:01	btc updown 5m 1782856200	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x6e479d…
06-30 21:00:08	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xea8141…
06-30 21:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xf3d8dc…
06-30 17:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0xd01617…
06-30 16:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x568d43…
06-30 16:00:08	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf73609…
06-30 16:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xfd5c47…
06-30 16:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xcef0be…
06-30 16:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcc2c10…
06-30 16:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x58f77d…
06-30 16:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2f05f0…
06-30 15:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x11c14e…
06-30 15:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd5f940…
06-30 15:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa29412…
06-30 14:00:46	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x70591d…
06-30 13:00:14	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x64f50f…
06-30 12:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x91b464…
06-30 12:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x35ec52…
06-30 12:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x299983…
06-30 12:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xea8d77…
06-30 12:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0cf14a…
06-30 11:10:01	btc updown 5m 1782817800	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x6540d5…
06-30 11:09:59	btc updown 5m 1782817800	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x7b5bd1…
06-30 11:00:16	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe91ff0…
06-30 11:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x67404c…
06-30 11:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x360803…
06-30 11:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd5e6cc…
06-30 11:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x82009e…
06-30 11:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x23b55c…
06-30 10:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x3bd016…
06-30 09:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8489f9…
06-30 08:05:07	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x33a8ef…
06-30 08:05:01	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x05eea4…
06-30 07:49:59	btc updown 5m 1782805800	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe7d072…
06-30 07:49:59	btc updown 5m 1782805800	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x3e969d…
06-30 07:05:07	btc updown 5m 1782803100	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa1b8d9…
06-30 07:05:05	btc updown 5m 1782803100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbaaedf…
06-30 07:05:05	btc updown 5m 1782803100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa1b0b8…
06-30 07:05:05	btc updown 5m 1782803100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9048a9…
06-30 07:05:05	btc updown 5m 1782803100	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7692a0…
06-30 07:05:04	btc updown 5m 1782803100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x905eab…
06-30 07:05:04	btc updown 5m 1782803100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x3fd73b…
06-30 07:05:04	btc updown 5m 1782803100	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x369fae…
06-30 07:00:14	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x5eb605…