Definite-Signify — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

18 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$68

$68 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (2)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	+7	$4	99¢	$7	+$2	05-14 19:33
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	+7	$4	60¢	$4	$-0	05-14 19:13
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	-6	$-2	77¢	$-4	$-3	05-14 19:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$6	9	9	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 21:34
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 13:36
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 14:09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-13 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 18:24
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 13:48
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-13 21:38
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-13 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 13:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-14 02:36
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 19:13
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	$-4	05-13 22:39
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	open	—	05-14 18:19
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$2	0	6	-6	open	—	05-14 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 19:33:04	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x19d276…
05-14 19:13:04	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x4bab67…
05-14 19:13:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x91f424…
05-14 18:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9a0cb2…
05-14 18:19:54	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x4aa588…
05-14 14:09:30	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5937de…
05-14 13:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x1f5cc0…
05-14 13:43:06	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x31a5e4…
05-14 13:36:04	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3ab4c6…
05-14 13:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x53ab92…
05-14 02:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xbd5352…
05-13 23:24:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd4470d…
05-13 23:09:04	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x00f190…
05-13 22:39:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x670e02…
05-13 21:38:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x5f55a8…
05-13 21:34:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x0cd321…
05-13 21:34:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x3d867a…
05-13 21:33:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2709de…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	8	$616	66	05-14 19:33
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	3	$558	63	05-14 18:29