Noxious-Zebra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.9%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$637

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 06-17 15:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

50% 39% -$40

Politics

21% 20% -$71

Crypto

16% 45% -$24

Sports

8% 40% -$2

Tech

5% 0% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	6	$128	40,264	256	+40,008	Yes	-$68	06-17 15:42
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	2	$34	72	72	+0	No	-$14	05-21 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	9	$33	42	0	+42	Up	-$17	06-01 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?	1	$28	42	0	+42	No	+$14	05-27 06:03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29?	1	$25	50	0	+50	No	-$25	05-29 09:36
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-21 16:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	3	$22	34	34	+0	No	+$2	05-29 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?	2	$21	48	48	+0	Yes	+$1	05-29 10:20
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	3	$21	18	15	+3	Miami Marlins	-$1	06-14 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	2	$20	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	05-26 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	2	$18	18	18	+0	Yes	+$10	05-30 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?	2	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$5	06-01 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	2	$16	17	17	+0	Yes	-$4	06-03 05:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?	2	$16	88	88	+0	No	+$6	05-29 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?	4	$15	2,490	0	+2,490	No	-$15	06-02 08:20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$11	31	31	+0	No	+$1	06-17 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?	4	$10	15	15	+0	No	-$8	06-04 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?	5	$10	2,161	0	+2,161	No	-$10	06-02 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?	1	$10	34	0	+34	Yes	+$24	05-27 12:35
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$9	29	29	+0	Yes	-$1	06-17 15:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	4	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$8	25	0	+25	Down	-$1	05-21 16:18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$8	37	37	+0	No	$0	06-12 10:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	06-01 19:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?	3	$7	2,038	0	+2,038	No	-$7	06-02 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 1?	3	$6	10	5	+5	No	-$2	06-01 08:27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-01 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 30?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	05-29 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?	1	$5	28	0	+28	No	-$5	05-21 21:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	05-29 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:42:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xde717c…
06-17 15:41:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	18¢	$6	0xed8282…
06-17 15:39:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x8decda…
06-17 15:36:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x67b32d…
06-15 12:10:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe832ba…
06-15 12:09:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	256	12¢	$30	0x4d16a6…
06-15 08:00:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	222	13¢	$30	0x7212c6…
06-15 04:08:51	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x05615a…
06-14 17:17:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0x9e4408…
06-14 17:12:37	chi1 cd1 cdl 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5ee865…
06-14 17:00:16	Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Miami Marlins	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x4076fb…
06-14 16:59:13	mlb mia pit 2026 06 14	Miami Marlins	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7d9f52…
06-14 16:57:09	mlb mia pit 2026 06 14	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc0393e…
06-14 16:53:25	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6c81d1…
06-14 14:32:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0c7974…
06-14 14:32:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x754fbc…
06-14 14:29:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa9c1ac…
06-14 14:28:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x610110…
06-14 14:28:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x002b31…
06-14 08:52:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x68ad84…
06-14 08:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x75fae0…
06-14 08:49:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x52422a…
06-14 08:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0000a9…
06-14 08:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe3148a…
06-14 08:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc7954d…
06-13 20:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x743cc6…
06-13 19:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x869dc8…
06-13 19:36:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1d8871…
06-13 13:43:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6760b5…
06-13 13:29:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfdcc89…
06-13 13:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7265bf…
06-13 11:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x560580…
06-12 10:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11e483…
06-12 10:20:45	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	37	10¢	$4	0xf6a88b…
06-11 12:58:10	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0x0fc0cb…
06-11 12:58:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x872b65…
06-11 12:57:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1bfc8e…
06-04 12:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xc8083a…
06-04 12:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x04c65f…
06-04 11:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0efef8…
06-04 11:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x83d9a3…
06-04 11:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x48eb66…
06-04 11:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x0bea63…
06-04 11:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x43e3fd…
06-03 05:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xf76fd6…
06-02 08:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf98d82…
06-02 08:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1ed902…
06-02 08:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	681	0¢	$3	0xa70929…
06-02 08:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	679	1¢	$4	0xb605a5…
06-02 08:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	816	1¢	$6	0x52ffe7…
06-02 08:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1,021	0¢	$3	0x8d9829…
06-02 08:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0xb368e7…
06-02 08:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	732	0¢	$3	0xa5a024…
06-02 08:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x94f4f4…
06-02 08:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	603	0¢	$1	0xac0362…
06-02 08:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	337	0¢	$1	0x19f60d…
06-02 08:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x9aee46…
06-02 08:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x494a85…
06-02 08:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	745	1¢	$5	0x7a7107…
06-01 20:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe5660b…
06-01 20:05:00	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x41adda…
06-01 19:59:59	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x132f6f…
06-01 19:59:56	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x78fb52…
06-01 19:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2dae97…
06-01 19:56:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc828c…
06-01 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd01364…
06-01 19:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7bcde6…
06-01 19:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x092818…
06-01 19:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x748e1e…
06-01 19:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x364a2f…
06-01 19:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9eef07…
06-01 19:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfef361…
06-01 19:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe29878…
06-01 19:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5d0fd8…
06-01 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80a15f…
06-01 19:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x3135a8…
06-01 19:04:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x47298e…
06-01 19:03:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6a5bc0…
06-01 18:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1d865b…
06-01 17:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x182de9…
06-01 17:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd9bced…
06-01 17:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4958d0…
06-01 17:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f4373…
06-01 17:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x69f6b2…
06-01 17:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x416f40…
06-01 17:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6be5b9…
06-01 17:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x54f4f3…
06-01 14:44:49	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a0801…
06-01 14:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6498e7…
06-01 12:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2afbdc…
06-01 12:47:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x668417…
06-01 12:46:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x105ea3…
06-01 12:46:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x619062…
06-01 12:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa10325…
06-01 12:23:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xb7931d…
06-01 12:19:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf96f0e…
06-01 12:16:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0xd284e8…
06-01 10:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x29db8f…
06-01 10:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd91169…
06-01 09:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6103ee…