Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$791

Unrealized P&L

+$706

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,365 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$10.6K

$102.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$1.39K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Politics

42% 41% +$1,182

Other

35% 40% -$880

Crypto

19% 33% +$3,693

Tech

4% 14% -$3,228

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,450	$874	81¢	$1.2K	+$300	09-23 09:21
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+265	-$274	44¢	$115	+$389	08-22 08:47
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	+1,000	$40	4¢	$42	+$2	10-28 17:33
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	+100	$58	36¢	$36	-$21	04-28 13:37
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	-253	-$79	6¢	$-15	+$63	05-07 21:58
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+209	$33	3¢	$7	-$26	07-24 07:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	19	$12.2K	7,007	7,007	+0	Yes	+$1,459	06-14 23:16
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$6.7K	7,000	3,500	+3,500	Yes	+$3,477	04-30 09:49
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	5	$6.4K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	+$159	04-28 14:45
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	8	$4.4K	3,841	2,100	+1,741	No	+$596	01-14 21:58
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	16	$4.2K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$51	03-31 23:59
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	38	$3.0K	8,135	3,946	+4,188	No	-$892	09-24 12:07
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	27	$2.5K	2,050	1,785	+265	open	—	08-22 08:47
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$2.5K	2,612	2,612	+0	No	+$416	03-29 22:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	11	$2.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$1,005	04-07 23:16
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	13	$2.1K	5,601	5,601	+0	Yes	+$826	03-24 19:26
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	7	$2.0K	1,137	1,129	+7	TEAM VISION	+$12	08-20 08:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	3,669	3,669	+0	No	-$9	05-23 14:15
will axiom be accused of insider trading	4	$1.8K	1,600	1,590	+10	Yes	+$827	02-26 14:45
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$1,665	06-23 04:24
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	10	$1.4K	7,896	6,994	+902	No	+$322	04-29 09:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	15	$1.4K	4,400	4,400	+0	No	+$17	03-29 12:25
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$1.3K	1,655	1,655	+0	Yes	+$584	01-29 22:10
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	7	$1.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$65	04-21 14:47
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	16	$1.2K	2,744	2,744	+0	No	+$83	04-23 17:42
nothing ever happens microstrategy	14	$1.1K	2,646	2,656	-10	No	-$13	03-04 10:23
dota2 ngx boombo 2026 08 22 game1	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	BoomBoys	+$1	08-22 05:56
footballfun fdv above 70m one day after launch	11	$1.1K	3,000	1,943	+1,057	Yes	-$116	01-16 18:04
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	17	$1.1K	2,136	2,136	+0	No	+$79	07-14 15:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	10	$1.0K	1,162	632	+530	No	-$268	04-16 18:02
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	1	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$1,020	02-28 06:12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$1.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$0	04-13 16:31
dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	1	$1000	1,006	0	+1,006	TEAM VISION	+$6	08-22 12:40
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	5	$958	9,000	9,000	+0	Yes	-$782	04-23 15:02
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	1	$918	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$82	03-03 18:10
dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	1	$900	902	0	+902	Team Yandex	+$2	08-20 12:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:33:40	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	398	4¢	$16	0xe9d97f…
10-28 17:33:22	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	425	4¢	$17	0xa04525…
10-28 17:33:22	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	157	4¢	$6	0x8e2406…
10-28 17:33:19	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x5218a1…
09-24 12:07:01	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xce50ac…
09-24 12:06:22	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	16¢	$78	0x861a22…
09-24 11:32:12	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	510	25¢	$128	0xfbd51f…
09-23 09:21:31	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	57¢	$63	0x04eb7b…
09-23 09:19:55	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x174ddb…
09-23 09:19:53	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	57¢	$45	0xee0c82…
09-23 09:19:53	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x44e80b…
09-21 08:38:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2,476	0¢	$7	0x66d0ad…
09-21 08:38:02	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xfdd54f…
09-21 08:34:45	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	987	0¢	$3	0xe0fca2…
09-21 08:34:03	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x21e4e4…
09-21 08:25:36	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	525	0¢	$2	0x62e7df…
09-20 15:30:18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x82f0b3…
09-20 15:30:18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	664	8¢	$52	0x18046e…
09-20 13:09:46	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	714	8¢	$56	0xbb7803…
09-20 12:19:40	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0xf3d3dd…
09-20 12:19:40	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf0d6ae…
09-20 12:19:40	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	450	15¢	$68	0x5140ec…
09-20 12:19:40	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x3c7a81…
09-20 12:19:40	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	95	15¢	$15	0x2ae442…
09-18 18:39:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x81f2c1…
09-18 18:39:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	403	17¢	$68	0x3cd419…
09-18 18:24:54	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	121	17¢	$20	0x9201d8…
09-18 04:54:49	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	368	61¢	$224	0xe3fc72…
09-17 10:53:13	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcba490…
09-16 18:30:18	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x06c338…
09-16 18:07:36	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	807	61¢	$492	0x27ae4b…
09-10 19:00:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	330	20¢	$67	0xa8ea9e…
09-10 19:00:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	758	20¢	$154	0x22cc72…
09-10 10:05:45	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	312	20¢	$63	0x3333d9…
09-10 10:03:28	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$21	0xd0c4a7…
09-07 20:07:22	will hunter biden launch a coin by september 9	No	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xa84008…
09-07 18:06:55	will hunter biden launch a coin by september 9	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0482df…
09-06 16:44:45	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	35¢	$175	0x840e91…
09-06 15:50:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0xfcd1ec…
09-06 15:48:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	19¢	$10	0xfbfcc1…
09-06 15:48:19	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	19¢	$10	0x016d30…
09-05 21:45:54	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,831	29¢	$531	0x8de55e…
09-03 07:42:55	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	10¢	$21	0x6c4b5a…
09-03 00:31:42	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x0ec882…
09-02 22:17:30	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x7d1776…
09-02 22:17:07	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0x3d10dc…
09-02 19:36:15	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xc3e3da…
09-02 19:13:27	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	10¢	$34	0xfb6d0c…
09-01 20:55:18	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	18¢	$21	0xca1ff0…
09-01 20:43:04	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	18¢	$27	0x7ba9a4…
09-01 20:21:30	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xfde0f1…
09-01 20:21:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	18¢	$23	0x3066e9…
09-01 18:44:07	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xcfbc48…
09-01 17:40:22	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	18¢	$32	0x5ca63f…
09-01 10:21:51	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,164	22¢	$256	0x3ecc3e…
08-29 11:38:45	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	558	15¢	$84	0x493bbe…
08-29 06:56:40	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x22d51b…
08-29 03:36:48	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x97317e…
08-27 09:37:18	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc00df6…
08-27 09:37:18	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0x96ade9…
08-23 13:06:21	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	179	23¢	$41	0xcba194…
08-23 13:06:21	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	183	23¢	$42	0xb51e5f…
08-23 13:06:19	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	292	23¢	$67	0x5c1c58…
08-23 13:06:18	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	86	23¢	$20	0xffc80e…
08-23 12:40:15	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	739	27¢	$200	0xd83c66…
08-23 12:27:10	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	SELL	600	50¢	$303	0xa54a05…
08-23 11:04:49	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	600	35¢	$210	0x7e9764…
08-23 07:56:21	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x778063…
08-22 12:40:10	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0x765319…
08-22 10:48:22	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game2	TEAM VISION	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0x2b2846…
08-22 08:47:55	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x46b25a…
08-22 05:56:39	dota2 ngx boombo 2026 08 22 game1	BoomBoys	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x0edad5…
08-21 10:57:58	dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xd05efc…
08-20 12:52:33	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	Team Yandex	BUY	902	100¢	$900	0x361d5b…
08-20 08:06:37	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	SELL	257	89¢	$229	0x987b97…
08-20 08:06:28	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	SELL	796	89¢	$708	0x4ac538…
08-20 07:58:33	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0x77fd68…
08-20 07:58:31	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	SELL	16	89¢	$15	0xac6048…
08-20 07:25:54	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	BUY	674	89¢	$600	0x80a9a8…
08-20 07:16:40	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0xa12b94…
08-20 07:04:42	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	BUY	234	85¢	$200	0x9f49d9…
08-16 08:21:18	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	213	49¢	$104	0xadf0a3…
08-16 07:24:28	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	104	49¢	$51	0x00f131…
08-16 04:45:06	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	430	30¢	$129	0x5a39c1…
08-15 15:25:16	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xb3c710…
08-15 12:10:13	base fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x66bb92…
08-14 23:23:48	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xa62c26…
08-14 23:23:46	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	55	30¢	$17	0x72ee89…
08-14 22:00:19	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	647	49¢	$317	0x04566a…
08-14 18:20:36	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	34	19¢	$7	0x58ad97…
08-14 05:57:03	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xc85986…
08-13 14:05:57	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xe71e2a…
08-13 12:48:54	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x689cda…
08-13 12:48:48	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	908	19¢	$173	0x685172…
08-13 03:02:49	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdbb7e1…
08-13 03:02:40	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x995d5c…
08-13 03:02:39	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb23cd9…
08-09 03:48:22	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xbce56b…
08-01 20:46:47	base fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x7f9d4d…
07-26 04:56:18	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	59¢	$34	0xbfd068…