Imaginary-Mouton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$452

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

998

Trades

1,258

lifetime

Volume

$45.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-21 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$452

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$484	329	329	+0	Up	+$142	05-19 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$455	364	364	+0	Down	+$112	05-19 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$421	416	416	+0	Up	+$121	05-18 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$415	311	311	+0	Down	+$129	05-18 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$397	509	326	+183	Down	+$254	05-01 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$349	382	304	+77	Up	-$2	05-15 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$341	217	217	+0	Up	+$89	05-19 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$337	259	259	+0	Up	+$77	04-30 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$327	280	280	+0	Down	+$37	05-19 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$312	227	227	+0	Down	+$78	05-20 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$291	197	197	+0	Up	+$87	05-21 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$279	267	267	+0	Down	+$79	05-17 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$278	195	195	+0	Down	+$78	05-19 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$265	196	196	+0	Up	+$65	05-04 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$263	185	185	+0	Up	+$63	05-18 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$261	227	227	+0	Up	+$25	05-21 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$256	216	216	+0	Up	+$16	05-17 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$255	168	168	+0	Up	+$75	04-29 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$252	154	154	+0	Up	+$52	05-21 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$251	266	191	+75	Up	-$45	05-19 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$244	192	184	+8	Down	+$88	04-26 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$244	225	225	+0	Down	+$4	04-29 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$240	158	158	+0	Up	+$70	05-17 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$237	166	166	+0	Up	+$77	05-19 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$237	160	160	+0	Up	+$77	05-06 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$236	150	150	+0	Down	+$60	05-06 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:50 UTC	2	$233	160	154	+6	Down	+$78	04-17 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$227	177	177	+0	Down	+$27	05-21 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$226	218	218	+0	Down	+$66	05-17 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$225	158	158	+0	Up	+$63	05-19 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 21:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	208	46¢	$97	0x12dbc3…
05-21 21:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	206	50¢	$103	0x920556…
05-21 21:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x98c7e0…
05-21 21:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	227	63¢	$143	0x7a9a1d…
05-21 21:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	227	52¢	$118	0xb6369a…
05-21 21:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	177	72¢	$127	0x8a2eab…
05-21 21:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0x9db0e2…
05-21 21:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	211	40¢	$85	0x75e2c0…
05-21 21:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	154	99¢	$152	0xa90cef…
05-21 21:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x9d749f…
05-21 21:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	197	96¢	$189	0x6685d1…
05-21 20:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	197	52¢	$102	0xe84ecd…
05-21 20:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x728510…
05-21 20:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0xfa084d…
05-21 20:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	81	56¢	$46	0xd4ebcb…
05-21 11:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	236	57¢	$135	0x81dcfa…
05-21 11:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xbf58f4…
05-21 11:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0x4fed48…
05-21 11:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x378772…
05-21 11:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	116	52¢	$60	0xfabc22…
05-20 12:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0x625f94…
05-20 12:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0x705f11…
05-20 11:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	105	49¢	$52	0x6e4a45…
05-20 11:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x537fae…
05-20 11:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xa2f826…
05-20 11:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	189	83¢	$157	0x0bf238…
05-20 11:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	227	52¢	$117	0x0aa051…
05-20 11:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	108	52¢	$56	0x5282e6…
05-20 11:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x0ec77a…
05-20 11:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0xd2f596…
05-20 11:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	133	51¢	$68	0x7b57e6…
05-20 11:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	155	48¢	$74	0x8f4678…
05-20 11:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	155	42¢	$65	0x23fd88…
05-20 11:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0xa3e7c7…
05-20 10:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x4d5e88…
05-20 10:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	98	57¢	$56	0x980f39…
05-20 10:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x86f63a…
05-20 10:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	78	59¢	$46	0x457d33…
05-20 10:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	125	40¢	$50	0x5678f3…
05-20 10:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	38¢	$47	0x92800b…
05-20 10:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	102	86¢	$88	0x5f5c63…
05-20 10:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xafe557…
05-19 23:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	195	91¢	$178	0x86d164…
05-19 23:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xea84ae…
05-19 23:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	121	38¢	$46	0x6e76f8…
05-19 23:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	112	82¢	$92	0x051469…
05-19 23:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x7e073c…
05-19 23:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	75	64¢	$48	0x1f5a4a…
05-19 23:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	191	54¢	$103	0x252768…
05-19 23:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x647a67…
05-19 23:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	158	91¢	$144	0x185b17…
05-19 23:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	158	51¢	$81	0x4ed814…
05-19 23:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	98	97¢	$95	0xa7b0ce…
05-19 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x032695…
05-19 23:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0xcaa723…
05-19 23:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	329	95¢	$313	0x2a60ad…
05-19 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	329	52¢	$171	0xbe2ad6…
05-19 22:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	171	41¢	$70	0xa04914…
05-19 22:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	138	52¢	$72	0x8a3d1d…
05-19 22:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	118	47¢	$56	0x34bdaa…
05-19 22:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	118	60¢	$71	0xe30a41…
05-19 22:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0xb154a2…
05-19 22:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	95	64¢	$61	0x5a70c2…
05-19 22:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	217	99¢	$215	0xfd78b6…
05-19 22:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	217	58¢	$126	0xad976a…
05-19 22:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x2d5d47…
05-19 22:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x8d0964…
05-19 22:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	58¢	$37	0x7054ab…
05-19 12:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x10304c…
05-19 12:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	142	71¢	$101	0x2dbe3d…
05-19 12:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	142	55¢	$78	0xaf29da…
05-19 11:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	364	78¢	$283	0x068e09…
05-19 11:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	364	47¢	$171	0xf8a9c0…
05-19 11:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	280	65¢	$182	0x3dda82…
05-19 11:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	280	52¢	$145	0x1904d4…
05-19 09:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	210	59¢	$124	0x994e48…
05-19 09:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	204	53¢	$108	0x3f1c0e…
05-19 09:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x16ad9a…
05-19 08:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	166	95¢	$157	0x3c51e4…
05-19 08:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	166	48¢	$80	0x739e3b…
05-19 08:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	129	35¢	$45	0x292ca3…
05-19 08:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0x433076…
05-18 23:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xb7a066…
05-18 23:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0x83e4c5…
05-18 23:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	139	41¢	$57	0x5f080e…
05-18 23:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x824a9b…
05-18 22:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0x77155d…
05-18 22:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	96	91¢	$87	0xacf723…
05-18 22:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x05a861…
05-18 22:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	99	40¢	$40	0xd27d20…
05-18 22:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	94	18¢	$17	0xcbb76a…
05-18 22:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x4991c1…
05-18 22:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xbabecb…
05-18 12:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	416	65¢	$271	0xac93af…
05-18 12:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	416	36¢	$150	0xcf7fb5…
05-18 12:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	247	57¢	$140	0xd425fe…
05-18 11:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0x1c72f1…
05-18 11:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	223	39¢	$87	0x75d8ce…
05-18 11:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	223	49¢	$109	0x8e740c…
05-18 11:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	112	48¢	$54	0xb8ebab…