Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$141

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 11-08 06:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Sports

38% 44% -$5

Politics

33% 44% -$8

Other

29% 73% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$2	11-06 23:17
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	+5	$4	51¢	$3	-$1	11-05 06:28
Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	+5	$2	50¢	$2	+$0	11-07 12:22
Golden Knights vs. Sabres	Golden Knights	+5	$2	50¢	$2	$0	11-07 10:23
Flyers vs. Flames	Flames	+5	$2	48¢	$2	$0	11-07 02:18
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	+5	$2	36¢	$2	$0	11-07 05:21
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	+5	$3	13¢	$1	-$2	11-01 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 06:21:03	Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State	Texas Tech	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x93ad23…
11-08 00:53:42	Fresno State vs. Utah State	Utah State	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa82e43…
11-07 12:22:36	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x000159…
11-07 12:22:34	Penguins vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x856f1f…
11-07 10:23:12	Golden Knights vs. Sabres	Golden Knights	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x17fc18…
11-07 05:21:48	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1c7e46…
11-07 02:18:46	Flyers vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfbe4bf…
11-06 23:17:31	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7cb8e8…
11-06 19:19:27	Ohio vs. Miami (OH)	Ohio	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d3b87…
11-06 19:01:43	Iowa vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7844c7…
11-05 23:16:24	Bruins vs. Penguins	Bruins	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0f021c…
11-05 13:16:24	Flyers vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x849e63…
11-05 06:28:43	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa04e1c…
11-02 12:34:21	Cavaliers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x451921…
11-02 12:34:19	Golden Knights vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6b656b…
11-01 14:11:13	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x74523d…
11-01 06:34:10	Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x771c89…
11-01 06:34:10	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x06e503…
10-26 00:44:11	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2b6903…
10-26 00:44:11	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x181612…
10-23 10:43:15	Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x46ed19…
10-22 10:41:30	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb4720b…
10-22 09:05:14	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2abf2b…
10-22 02:33:47	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x687fb1…
10-20 22:40:05	Panthers vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xda1b77…
10-20 22:40:03	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x686dc6…
10-19 14:34:11	Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc7be80…
10-19 10:03:03	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdfe880…
10-16 11:02:06	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3dcbd6…
10-15 22:36:22	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x68632c…
10-07 01:26:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x265ae9…
10-07 01:26:26	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x153d55…
10-06 12:36:40	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe4b7d6…
10-06 11:45:58	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe0b626…
10-06 11:45:58	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x653342…
10-04 21:13:47	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe0fe30…
10-02 05:08:18	Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x045a41…
10-01 22:44:06	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x710c78…
10-01 18:02:57	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x614398…
10-01 17:56:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x46b433…
10-01 17:56:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x03a934…
10-01 06:56:53	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x97626a…
09-29 16:51:15	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x643957…
09-29 14:37:42	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x875713…
09-29 12:56:39	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x48e34a…
09-29 12:36:06	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3a3575…
09-29 12:26:29	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5758d4…
09-29 11:42:53	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3b0e41…
09-29 11:08:21	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc7bbe3…
09-29 11:08:20	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf09d14…
09-29 11:08:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3ef2df…
09-29 11:08:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x905d4e…
09-29 11:08:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x43705f…
09-29 11:08:15	Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf92c15…
09-29 11:08:14	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8a182f…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	11-05 06:28
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	10-02 05:08
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	10-01 06:56
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	-$4	09-29 11:08
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	09-29 11:08
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	09-29 11:42
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	09-29 12:56
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	10-07 01:26
pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	09-29 16:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	-$3	10-22 09:05
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	09-29 11:08
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	09-29 11:08
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	09-29 12:36
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	10-07 01:26
Bears vs. Packers	1	$3	5	0	+5	Packers	-$3	10-06 12:36
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	09-29 11:08
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	11-06 23:17
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$3	5	0	+5	Milwaukee Brewers	-$3	10-15 22:36
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	11-01 14:11
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	09-29 11:08
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	11-01 06:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-01 17:56
Cowboys vs. Packers	1	$3	5	0	+5	Packers	+$2	10-16 11:02
Golden Knights vs. Penguins	1	$3	5	0	+5	Golden Knights	-$3	11-02 12:34
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	1	$3	5	0	+5	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$2	10-06 11:45
Fresno State vs. Utah State	1	$2	5	0	+5	Utah State	+$2	11-08 00:53
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	11-06 19:19
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$2	5	0	+5	Thunder	-$2	10-20 22:40
Flyers vs. Flames	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	11-07 02:18
Panthers vs. Senators	1	$2	5	0	+5	Senators	+$2	10-20 22:40