Great-Audience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$425

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

747

Trades

1,710

lifetime

Volume

$9.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$124

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

72% 43% -$576

Sports

14% 58% +$56

Politics

12% 48% +$96

Pop-Culture

2% 57% +$18

Crypto

0% 33% -$10

Tech

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+60	$49	85¢	$51	+$3	10-03 23:27
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+52	$46	82¢	$43	-$2	10-22 18:19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+68	$35	40¢	$27	-$8	10-12 11:20
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+5	$2	36¢	$2	$0	10-12 11:25
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+0	$2	98¢	$0	-$1	09-02 09:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+12	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-28 12:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+0	-$2	98¢	$0	+$2	10-27 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol vksa est 2026 07 27	4	$195	123	123	+0	Estral Esports	+$11	07-27 22:52
cs2 tl1 atp1 2026 08 01	5	$94	108	23	+85	cancelled	-$16	07-31 17:47
Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?	5	$89	61	61	+0	Yes	+$8	09-11 06:08
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell	20	$88	156	15	+141	Darwin Blanch	-$73	06-10 16:44
lol t1 dnf 2026 07 27	3	$85	115	0	+115	T1	+$30	07-27 10:16
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	3	$84	117	64	+53	Yes	+$37	10-09 07:09
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	5	$79	74	74	+0	No	-$1	10-17 00:43
will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	5	$78	109	0	+109	Yes	+$32	07-27 16:01
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	3	$78	76	76	+0	Yes	+$6	07-27 20:15
mlb bos tb 2026 06 10 nrfi	23	$74	66	65	+1	No	+$3	06-10 17:15
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?	5	$72	61	61	+0	Yes	-$9	09-28 16:42
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	3	$71	61	51	+10	No	+$21	09-10 10:19
atp kouame dimitro 2026 07 27	4	$71	139	0	+139	cancelled	-$1	07-28 00:39
Will Angel Reese win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?	5	$69	54	54	+0	Yes	+$14	09-28 20:10
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	3	$68	68	68	+0	cancelled	-$1	10-04 22:12
Will the match end in a draw?	9	$66	69	66	+3	Yes	+$2	08-27 07:41
Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?	3	$66	52	21	+31	No	+$4	09-11 18:09
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	9	$65	83	82	+1	No	-$1	10-03 04:41
Spread: Nebraska (-0.5)	2	$65	50	50	+0	Indiana	+$7	10-08 19:26
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	9	$65	71	71	+0	Yes	+$25	09-25 15:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	10-27 12:35
Games Total: O/U 3.5	21	$62	60	45	+15	Under	-$4	06-01 17:03
Spread: Missouri (-0.5)	2	$61	54	54	+0	Missouri	+$3	10-08 09:51
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	2	$60	60	60	+0	Karmine Corp	+$3	10-15 22:36
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	2	$59	60	60	+0	Aurora	+$2	10-08 14:45
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$56	61	61	+0	No	-$2	10-02 02:44
will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	2	$54	60	0	+60	No	+$7	09-30 03:37
cs2 lavked justpl 2026 07 06	15	$53	101	0	+101	Just Players	-$53	07-06 07:39
dota2 bald kw1 2026 07 27	6	$51	100	0	+100	cancelled	-$1	07-27 20:29
Will Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?	11	$51	55	0	+55	No	+$4	06-01 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:32:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xddf46e…
10-30 06:00:13	Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x6e79cd…
10-30 05:01:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x73c561…
10-28 21:31:41	Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x5dc05e…
10-28 12:21:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xa13c21…
10-28 00:46:57	Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x168b7f…
10-27 17:18:00	Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x02b881…
10-27 12:35:51	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0xac9bcc…
10-27 10:52:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xb2e0d2…
10-27 10:50:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xa3c2e3…
10-27 09:53:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x90a66e…
10-27 07:17:48	Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x4db3cd…
10-27 04:24:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xa605b3…
10-26 19:30:12	Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x00038d…
10-26 14:56:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x00ddf3…
10-26 14:50:00	Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x25ec74…
10-26 12:02:20	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xae4b24…
10-26 04:18:02	Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x5417ed…
10-26 03:41:42	Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf7ed66…
10-26 03:20:57	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x16cb98…
10-25 08:24:35	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xf9f749…
10-24 20:27:32	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xedbe69…
10-24 20:13:48	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x3750eb…
10-24 19:50:21	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x69424f…
10-24 06:04:08	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x351995…
10-23 23:23:45	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9c13da…
10-23 17:47:02	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0x9447b0…
10-23 14:44:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0xdc9a86…
10-23 13:09:44	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x28545d…
10-22 20:58:53	Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7fc39b…
10-22 18:19:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xa5bff1…
10-22 15:23:54	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0xdfd994…
10-22 14:08:12	Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$3	0xc7a45e…
10-22 14:02:36	Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x39cc33…
10-22 13:38:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x2ebd7b…
10-22 13:17:03	Will South Africa win?	No	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x8dee73…
10-22 13:14:02	Will South Africa win?	No	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xa9e683…
10-22 13:13:57	Will South Africa win?	No	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xfc4e4e…
10-22 13:04:57	Will South Africa win?	No	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xe27df8…
10-22 11:53:57	Will South Africa win?	No	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x22dd9b…
10-22 09:11:50	New Zealand Women Tour of Australia T20s: Australia Women vs New Zealand Women	Australia Women	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0x36edc2…
10-22 06:57:29	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xb86fbd…
10-22 01:28:03	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x55db30…
10-21 15:21:26	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$16	0x97eb13…
10-21 10:14:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xfb6989…
10-21 10:14:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	13	66¢	$8	0x4b7da1…
10-21 01:23:09	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x474e5e…
10-20 11:09:50	Will Australia win?	No	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x7d20a5…
10-19 22:09:04	Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x0accb4…
10-19 20:18:11	Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Rare Atom (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup Playoffs	Rare Atom	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x9e7801…
10-19 18:44:05	Counter-Strike: Brute vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Phantom	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x3d1246…
10-19 11:25:44	Cricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs Nepal	Oman	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x40c7e5…
10-17 15:47:38	Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x1cbd28…
10-17 11:12:53	Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc03b64…
10-17 11:11:33	Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x69a4d0…
10-17 11:09:56	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x5614d0…
10-17 11:01:53	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x11649b…
10-17 10:11:54	Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x5224df…
10-17 06:11:47	Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 70000?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xdc6422…
10-17 04:04:15	Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfcda60…
10-17 03:59:32	Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xea9789…
10-17 03:45:23	Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4b4e28…
10-17 02:47:11	Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?	No	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x4dcdf6…
10-17 02:46:12	Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x6c9729…
10-17 02:36:29	Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0x1830bf…
10-17 00:43:30	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	39	82¢	$32	0xe3c6c6…
10-17 00:42:50	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x9c3251…
10-17 00:42:23	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x804234…
10-17 00:40:38	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0xbd10a2…
10-16 19:49:42	Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	G2 Ares	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x13a80f…
10-16 17:39:32	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x25da58…
10-16 17:39:18	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x5ca52f…
10-16 17:05:04	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xdd31b8…
10-16 14:50:46	Counter-Strike: Voca vs RoundsGG (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #2 Group B	RoundsGG	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0x392031…
10-16 14:50:39	Counter-Strike: Voca vs RoundsGG (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #2 Group B	RoundsGG	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x86b994…
10-16 14:40:01	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0x4ee3cc…
10-16 13:18:30	Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	Saint Sinners	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7244fd…
10-16 11:49:16	Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	Saint Sinners	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xe47bca…
10-16 11:49:15	Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	Saint Sinners	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x97b438…
10-16 09:01:16	Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Revise (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 Group C	Lilmix	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xe6e4c9…
10-16 08:35:10	Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Resp Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Team Tidebound	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x50d0ee…
10-16 07:43:27	ECA Women's European Cup T20: Romania Women vs Bulgaria Women	Romania Women	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x058b78…
10-16 07:33:13	Will a team from EMEA win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x3c1ca0…
10-16 02:15:45	Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - Logitech G Pro Series Group B	Abyssal	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x2fcf44…
10-15 22:36:52	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0x38ec10…
10-15 22:33:37	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0xd4ec3f…
10-15 15:54:17	Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xdd4542…
10-14 21:19:45	val flyr mibrf 2026 10 14	FlyQuest RED	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xaa92d3…
10-14 21:19:36	val flyr mibrf 2026 10 14	FlyQuest RED	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x7fa157…
10-14 21:19:21	val flyr mibrf 2026 10 14	FlyQuest RED	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xf6ca9c…
10-14 21:13:25	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x98375a…
10-12 11:25:05	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4a338c…
10-12 11:20:51	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	68	52¢	$35	0xdbde10…
10-12 02:12:27	T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Hong Kong vs Maldives	Maldives	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x8adcc8…
10-12 01:38:41	T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: China vs Saudi Arabia	China	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0xff4816…
10-12 00:53:02	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x879f51…
10-12 00:46:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x605531…
10-12 00:45:59	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xff463d…
10-12 00:43:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x0477e0…
10-11 14:31:55	World Championship of Legends: Australia Champions vs West Indies Champions	West Indies Champions	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x3089b3…