Wide-Eyed-Sesame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-23 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

39% 100% +$0

Tech

12% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-200	$-11	4¢	$-9	+$2	06-20 22:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$432	220	220	+0	open	—	04-15 10:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$431	220	220	+0	open	—	04-15 05:13
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$278	181	181	+0	open	—	03-28 14:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$256	130	130	+0	open	—	04-03 23:58
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	9	$252	237	247	-10	open	—	03-20 21:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$237	120	120	+0	open	—	04-15 07:44
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	3	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 05:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-03 15:30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	05-03 13:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-03 14:19
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 100 119	2	$159	214	214	+0	open	—	04-15 04:04
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	05-11 13:44
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	12	$148	150	150	+0	open	—	07-22 09:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$112	79	34	+45	open	—	05-12 07:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$84	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 08:13
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	2	$73	100	220	-120	open	—	03-20 19:26
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	05-15 05:32
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	3	$66	211	211	+0	open	—	03-20 19:40
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 13:32
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	9	$58	75	75	+0	open	—	07-08 11:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-12 07:29
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	05-15 05:32
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	4	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 12:43
will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	6	$43	60	60	+0	open	—	07-08 11:50
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 12:34
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	07-12 05:45
iran full airspace closure by july 24	4	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	07-23 06:39
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	07-12 05:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	3	$37	14	30	-16	open	—	05-17 12:40
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	3	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	05-15 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 08:11:48	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8a012a…
07-23 08:11:40	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2pt5t cny 20260722211138917	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xb912bc…
07-23 07:18:03	will jon bernthal or tom holland say soccer on hot ones 20260721145535507	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x55a896…
07-23 07:10:16	will jon bernthal or tom holland say soccer on hot ones 20260721145535507	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x718d31…
07-23 07:09:57	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2026 20260721191705881	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x58a485…
07-23 07:09:27	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2026 20260721191705881	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xe4fecd…
07-23 07:01:55	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x58a210…
07-23 06:53:13	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xef9d4f…
07-23 06:39:39	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x05b0c5…
07-23 06:39:12	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb8a76a…
07-23 06:38:01	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0b07e5…
07-23 06:20:15	will seltzers with 5 thc be legal by november 13 2026 20260721192819155	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x6c1819…
07-23 06:18:10	will seltzers with 5 thc be legal by november 13 2026 20260721192819155	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xceea7a…
07-23 05:42:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x6b2930…
07-23 05:40:09	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xbb7e87…
07-23 05:13:48	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xe958e8…
07-23 05:12:27	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x87b4ba…
07-22 09:21:03	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x368e5e…
07-22 09:15:12	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x31d994…
07-22 09:12:37	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt75t in 2026 20260721192934668	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x0f051e…
07-22 09:12:03	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt75t in 2026 20260721192934668	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x77051e…
07-22 09:05:52	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x1fd491…
07-22 09:05:34	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xf1640b…
07-22 09:05:33	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xb04b96…
07-22 09:05:33	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xa9c4de…
07-22 09:05:33	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x8add28…
07-22 09:05:33	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x7a1411…
07-22 09:05:33	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x054cbc…
07-22 09:01:07	pins quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt36	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x5680c7…
07-22 09:00:54	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x170a8e…
07-22 09:00:33	pins quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt36	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x344710…
07-22 09:00:28	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x1a4aa1…
07-22 08:58:15	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x62f5fd…
07-22 08:54:54	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x878f4a…
07-22 08:54:25	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xa7b937…
07-12 07:16:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x6408f9…
07-12 07:16:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xedadba…
07-12 07:06:05	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xc7b887…
07-12 05:45:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x59818e…
07-12 05:38:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xfe048b…
07-12 05:30:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xcd4cac…
07-12 05:29:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	183	50¢	$92	0x89877b…
07-12 05:29:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x552d2c…
07-12 05:29:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfe0ef8…
07-12 05:28:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x4a5b9f…
07-12 05:15:26	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xe70f63…
07-12 05:15:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xaa0242…
07-12 05:14:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x1dcab8…
07-12 05:14:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x2924b8…
07-12 05:09:43	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x68560c…
07-12 05:00:22	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0xc1c4bf…
07-12 04:59:07	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x0572f2…
07-08 11:50:44	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xe0da2a…
07-08 11:50:11	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x615097…
07-08 11:49:28	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5473fe…
07-08 11:45:56	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x510a3c…
07-08 11:45:32	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x91bced…
07-08 11:40:10	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x315c96…
07-08 11:37:28	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xec44d7…
07-08 11:36:52	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf8a325…
07-08 11:36:43	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x205454…
07-08 11:32:40	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xc4d328…
07-08 11:31:07	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x9a9729…
07-08 11:29:14	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x31ee5b…
07-08 11:28:44	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf19357…
07-08 11:16:58	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xb6f63d…
07-08 11:15:26	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	No	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xc81331…
07-08 11:13:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xf4139b…
07-08 11:12:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xba9ece…
07-08 09:22:53	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xd5906b…
07-08 09:21:26	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xea9538…
07-08 09:20:47	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x181229…
07-08 09:20:26	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x8a9ae1…
07-08 09:20:19	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x4b56e7…
07-08 09:20:01	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xbf5583…
07-08 09:19:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x594e66…
07-08 09:17:16	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x301aaf…
07-08 09:15:13	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc2a48c…
07-02 11:12:20	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439788	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xb26a43…
07-02 06:07:10	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439788	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd53208…
07-02 05:36:28	will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x1b87f8…
07-02 05:35:46	will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x073ca5…
07-02 05:24:55	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439788	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xd2a911…
06-20 22:35:14	ebola pandemic in 2026	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xa455e6…
06-20 22:35:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0xafb798…
06-02 20:03:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	476	2¢	$10	0x01eae3…
06-02 15:24:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0xdf1892…
05-28 17:41:37	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$14	0xd7829e…
05-28 15:11:31	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0xc50932…
05-27 14:45:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa7fbdf…
05-21 12:34:23	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xedba97…
05-20 13:13:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	367	1¢	$2	0x455843…
05-19 01:04:42	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x319f82…
05-17 12:40:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	84¢	$13	0x7baeb5…
05-17 11:30:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x528f73…
05-17 10:44:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x97c6cc…
05-17 07:51:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xb68be3…
05-17 07:43:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x4ec187…
05-17 07:31:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xcda473…
05-15 17:05:39	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x614b24…