Incredible-Barge — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$681

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved (90d)

163

Trades (90d)

380

4,848 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$26.7K

$94.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-01 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 88% -$249

Other

34% 93% +$2,345

Sports

0% 0% -$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	3	$3.2K	3,285	3,285	+0	Yes	+$3,094	05-16 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	4	$498	250	250	+0	No	+$1	10-26 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 20?	6	$498	250	250	+0	No	+$1	10-21 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?	8	$498	250	250	+0	No	+$1	10-21 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 23?	2	$497	250	250	+0	No	+$2	10-23 10:22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	2	$497	250	250	+0	No	+$2	10-24 12:23
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26?	2	$497	250	250	+0	No	+$2	09-26 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 28?	2	$497	250	250	+0	No	+$2	10-28 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	4	$497	250	250	+0	open	—	11-01 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 3?	3	$497	250	250	+0	No	+$2	10-03 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	5	$497	250	250	+0	No	+$2	10-21 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?	8	$497	250	250	+0	No	+$2	10-21 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	8	$497	250	250	-0	No	+$3	10-25 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 28?	3	$494	250	250	+0	No	+$6	09-28 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	2	$455	229	229	+0	No	+$2	10-29 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 12?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$2	09-12 10:27
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 6?	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$2	09-06 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 13?	3	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$2	09-13 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 4?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$2	09-04 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$2	09-09 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 14?	2	$340	200	200	+0	No	+$60	09-14 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 7?	6	$291	146	146	+0	No	+$1	09-07 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4?	9	$287	144	144	+0	No	+$1	10-04 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 5?	6	$220	111	111	+0	No	+$1	09-05 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or below on September 20?	4	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-20 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 20?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-20 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 2?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-02 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on September 20?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-20 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 20?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-20 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 20?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-20 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xc6f6ed…
11-01 10:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x5e9b06…
11-01 10:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x0dd93f…
11-01 10:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xfa4057…
11-01 08:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 1?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x0e9fdc…
11-01 08:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 1?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xe52257…
10-29 11:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$228	0x62736c…
10-29 11:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	229	99¢	$226	0xde3e5e…
10-28 12:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 28?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xb3d001…
10-28 12:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x60ce74…
10-26 10:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xdea531…
10-26 10:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xd42d3d…
10-26 10:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x26c963…
10-25 14:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xe7ebfb…
10-25 14:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa864a7…
10-25 14:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95456c…
10-25 14:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6677ac…
10-25 14:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xe07422…
10-25 14:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0xc8af50…
10-25 14:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x313de5…
10-25 14:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x022198…
10-24 12:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x5bf907…
10-24 12:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0xe79ae3…
10-23 10:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 23?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x636915…
10-23 10:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 23?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x2eefd8…
10-23 00:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 22?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x268558…
10-21 13:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 20?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x983116…
10-21 13:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x35b1b4…
10-21 09:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x63e904…
10-21 08:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 20?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd47ea9…
10-21 08:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4c26be…
10-21 08:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x49569e…
10-21 08:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 20?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$154	0x391ada…
10-21 08:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5fa6fc…
10-21 05:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xcde9fa…
10-21 05:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06ec7b…
10-21 05:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9f9518…
10-21 05:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x018b39…
10-21 05:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7aaa82…
10-21 05:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7efd5d…
10-21 05:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x793d10…
10-21 05:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfd876a…
10-21 05:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfa9000…
10-21 05:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb36096…
10-21 05:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa8560c…
10-21 05:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x495d6c…
10-21 05:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x1a861c…
10-21 05:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb2924f…
10-21 05:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5aad86…
10-21 05:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x32e605…
10-21 05:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x320921…
10-21 05:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7b4985…
10-21 05:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b164a…
10-21 05:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5b99ca…
10-21 05:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3d32a0…
10-20 14:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcafb2c…
10-20 14:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa53331…
10-20 14:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa442db…
10-20 14:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f00c3…
10-20 14:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x69f66c…
10-20 13:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5cf0d2…
10-20 10:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 20?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xefe2a5…
10-20 04:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x476ac2…
10-20 04:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0xbc0e6d…
10-20 04:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x01bda1…
10-14 13:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xbe6ef7…
10-14 13:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x438fa4…
10-07 11:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 7?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x805b98…
10-07 11:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 7?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x4a5752…
10-04 13:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xc91b79…
10-04 13:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x3e1d69…
10-04 13:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xe72ca7…
10-04 13:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x99aefb…
10-04 13:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x26ec99…
10-04 13:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x32c0e9…
10-04 13:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x07ad1a…
10-03 12:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 3?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0xea50ad…
10-03 12:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 3?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x515ed2…
10-03 12:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 3?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x2934ad…
10-01 11:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeae200…
10-01 11:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1893da…
10-01 11:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x31b394…
10-01 11:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4e7241…
09-28 09:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 28?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x1876cb…
09-28 09:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 28?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x0ea47d…
09-28 09:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 28?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$244	0x48557b…
09-27 14:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x000e22…
09-27 14:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x221f46…
09-27 14:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x92657d…
09-27 14:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7c56e7…
09-27 14:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbad5d4…
09-26 11:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x1dfe04…
09-26 11:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x5e26a4…
09-25 13:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4063bb…
09-25 13:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87ff00…
09-21 10:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa28225…
09-21 10:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 21?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x826d4c…
09-21 10:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x440398…
09-21 10:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbb4a87…
09-21 10:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 21?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x82fbdf…