Defiant-Unique — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$240

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

234

Trades

953

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-06 17:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 67% -$206

Politics

11% 15% -$17

Other

10% 17% -$13

Sports

2% 0% -$3

Tech

1% 25% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	70	$77	251	0	+251	Down	-$76	04-15 06:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 19	31	$34	40	0	+40	Yes	-$34	04-18 01:13
bitcoin above 78k on april 15	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$1	04-14 18:49
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	3	$31	34	0	+34	No	+$3	04-15 19:12
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 19	27	$30	49	0	+49	Yes	-$30	04-19 19:16
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	24	$26	40	0	+40	No	+$2	04-18 19:37
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	16	$23	85	85	+0	No	-$1	04-22 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	19	$21	27	0	+27	Up	-$13	05-06 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	16	$17	25	0	+25	Up	-$11	05-06 16:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	14	$17	270	116	+154	No	-$7	04-22 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	15	$16	21	0	+21	Down	-$6	05-06 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	15	$16	31	0	+31	Up	-$12	05-06 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	15	$16	198	0	+198	Up	-$9	05-06 15:33
bitcoin above 74k on april 21	14	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	-$3	04-15 06:15
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$15	17	0	+17	Yes	+$2	04-15 19:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	7	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$0	04-26 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	13	$14	29	0	+29	Up	+$4	05-06 17:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 20	8	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$2	04-19 19:01
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 14	4	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	04-14 18:33
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 15	12	$13	22	0	+22	Yes	-$2	04-15 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	12	$13	23	0	+23	Down	+$1	05-06 16:58
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	12	$13	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-06 17:08
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	7	$12	16	16	+0	Yes	-$1	04-22 16:29
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	7	$11	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 13:04
bitcoin above 74k on april 16	5	$11	19	0	+19	Yes	-$6	04-16 07:25
will bitcoin reach 76k on april 15	6	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	04-15 19:05
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	7	$11	21	21	+0	No	$0	04-21 21:37
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$10	36	25	+11	Yes	-$3	04-22 19:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 15	9	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	$0	04-15 15:53
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$10	24	24	+0	Yes	-$1	04-22 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 17:08:05	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x310fba…
05-06 17:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x861b82…
05-06 17:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1dce5c…
05-06 17:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaede9f…
05-06 17:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xf71e25…
05-06 17:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc828dc…
05-06 17:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x86cbbe…
05-06 17:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xddb182…
05-06 17:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xa73024…
05-06 17:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf889c4…
05-06 17:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x67d7a8…
05-06 17:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x333e30…
05-06 17:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe59d66…
05-06 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaad6ba…
05-06 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x790c35…
05-06 17:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb26bcb…
05-06 17:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x48695c…
05-06 17:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa76aa9…
05-06 17:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc6bb22…
05-06 17:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x41543e…
05-06 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe22b03…
05-06 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb7ee04…
05-06 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x952af2…
05-06 17:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2b4cc5…
05-06 17:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa7be1…
05-06 17:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x51359b…
05-06 17:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x912b59…
05-06 17:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x11d1c0…
05-06 17:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf9e0a7…
05-06 17:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdcc5b5…
05-06 17:02:13	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xecca29…
05-06 17:02:13	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x75dd72…
05-06 17:02:13	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x74c6a3…
05-06 17:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x861ffc…
05-06 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xedf4ab…
05-06 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xbf1b23…
05-06 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x0cbcb0…
05-06 16:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x14ca47…
05-06 16:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x54c4b8…
05-06 16:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe508b0…
05-06 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x24dea3…
05-06 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdc0824…
05-06 16:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdecf0f…
05-06 16:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9a3254…
05-06 16:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x892aba…
05-06 16:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbaf5bf…
05-06 16:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xef9ec4…
05-06 16:52:01	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbd1599…
05-06 16:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdfdfff…
05-06 16:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x92554b…
05-06 16:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa4a700…
05-06 16:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0fa96e…
05-06 16:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x77f86a…
05-06 16:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x49009d…
05-06 16:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7ce6e6…
05-06 16:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x4bb3fc…
05-06 16:43:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3b2bc1…
05-06 16:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59cd1a…
05-06 16:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ec92a…
05-06 16:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd4df11…
05-06 16:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9c6ec4…
05-06 16:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a0c0e…
05-06 16:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff3545…
05-06 16:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd653bd…
05-06 16:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x95aa70…
05-06 16:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b20b2…
05-06 16:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x427e5f…
05-06 16:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78ffb5…
05-06 16:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xce1174…
05-06 16:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x876009…
05-06 16:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc43210…
05-06 16:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9674b5…
05-06 16:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x803a79…
05-06 16:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x903194…
05-06 16:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7d0d35…
05-06 16:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb716cc…
05-06 16:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x1cbac0…
05-06 16:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x0d8c15…
05-06 16:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x046a13…
05-06 16:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe21b9c…
05-06 16:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x5e9364…
05-06 16:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x788163…
05-06 16:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb6e21f…
05-06 16:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1e3201…
05-06 16:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x564ab5…
05-06 16:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xae459b…
05-06 16:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c4562…
05-06 16:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfd66de…
05-06 16:29:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd918b7…
05-06 16:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x87d807…
05-06 16:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff2179…
05-06 16:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xed9185…
05-06 16:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xdc97ee…
05-06 16:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x11065b…
05-06 16:24:01	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbe686d…
05-06 16:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa04a3e…
05-06 16:23:38	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x60638a…
05-06 16:23:34	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xd2892c…
05-06 16:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc2b546…
05-06 16:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7521a8…