Pricey-Stimulus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

940

lifetime

Volume

$185.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-06 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% +$9

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774298400	5	$12.0K	7,974	7,919	+55	open	—	03-23 20:44
btc updown 5m 1774302300	2	$8.9K	4,572	4,571	+1	open	—	03-23 21:50
btc updown 5m 1774303200	4	$8.8K	5,170	5,150	+20	open	—	03-23 22:02
btc updown 5m 1774291500	4	$8.7K	5,143	5,103	+39	open	—	03-23 18:49
btc updown 5m 1774298100	2	$8.5K	4,326	4,325	+0	open	—	03-23 20:40
btc updown 5m 1774296300	2	$7.5K	3,773	3,773	+0	open	—	03-23 20:10
btc updown 5m 1774296000	2	$7.4K	3,765	3,765	+0	open	—	03-23 20:05
btc updown 5m 1774295700	2	$7.3K	3,720	3,720	+1	open	—	03-23 19:59
btc updown 5m 1774295100	2	$7.1K	3,671	3,669	+2	open	—	03-23 19:49
btc updown 5m 1774294500	2	$6.8K	3,815	3,803	+13	open	—	03-23 19:39
btc updown 5m 1774294200	2	$6.6K	3,343	3,343	+0	open	—	03-23 19:35
btc updown 5m 1774329000	3	$6.3K	5,780	1,307	+4,473	open	—	03-24 05:14
btc updown 5m 1774293900	2	$6.3K	3,332	3,326	+7	open	—	03-23 19:30
btc updown 5m 1774290300	4	$6.2K	3,407	3,395	+12	open	—	03-23 18:29
btc updown 5m 1774292100	3	$6.0K	3,018	3,018	+0	open	—	03-23 19:00
btc updown 5m 1774292700	2	$6.0K	3,095	3,094	+1	open	—	03-23 19:08
btc updown 5m 1774293600	2	$5.9K	3,032	3,030	+2	open	—	03-23 19:25
btc updown 5m 1774290600	4	$5.8K	3,206	3,201	+5	open	—	03-23 18:34
btc updown 5m 1774297500	2	$4.4K	2,446	2,433	+14	open	—	03-23 20:30
btc updown 5m 1774292400	2	$4.3K	2,792	2,763	+29	open	—	03-23 19:04
btc updown 5m 1774290000	4	$4.2K	2,254	2,247	+7	open	—	03-23 18:25
btc updown 5m 1774291800	2	$4.0K	2,148	2,145	+2	open	—	03-23 18:52
btc updown 5m 1774293300	2	$3.3K	3,766	0	+3,766	open	—	03-23 19:16
btc updown 5m 1774296900	2	$3.1K	1,630	1,628	+2	open	—	03-23 20:20
btc updown 5m 1774289400	3	$2.4K	2,325	1,375	+951	open	—	03-23 18:11
btc updown 5m 1774293000	2	$2.1K	1,426	1,410	+16	open	—	03-23 19:13
btc updown 5m 1774290900	2	$2.0K	1,633	1,610	+23	open	—	03-23 18:36
btc updown 5m 1774289100	2	$1.6K	809	809	+0	open	—	03-23 18:09
btc updown 5m 1774288500	5	$1.1K	1,090	903	+187	open	—	03-23 17:58
btc updown 5m 1774287300	4	$833	447	445	+2	open	—	03-23 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 09:06:00	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xb425be…
06-06 09:05:15	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x558af8…
06-06 09:01:00	btc updown 5m 1780736400	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd066ac…
06-06 08:57:55	btc updown 5m 1780736100	Up	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x827901…
06-06 08:56:46	btc updown 5m 1780736100	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2bd2b4…
06-06 08:55:54	btc updown 5m 1780736100	Up	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0xebba65…
06-06 08:55:25	btc updown 5m 1780736100	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x52d83f…
06-06 08:52:52	btc updown 5m 1780736100	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x847ccc…
06-06 08:49:28	btc updown 5m 1780735500	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1a09b5…
06-06 08:49:19	btc updown 5m 1780735500	Up	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0xa3ea5d…
06-06 08:47:48	btc updown 5m 1780735500	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x251fa6…
06-06 08:47:40	btc updown 5m 1780735500	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x426b9a…
06-06 08:46:42	btc updown 5m 1780735500	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x732b2f…
06-06 08:44:31	btc updown 5m 1780735200	Up	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x91b54e…
06-06 08:43:12	btc updown 5m 1780735200	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xce83b7…
06-06 08:39:43	btc updown 5m 1780734900	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x06ab3e…
06-06 08:34:33	btc updown 5m 1780734900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x04d325…
06-06 08:32:03	btc updown 5m 1780734600	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2c0a65…
06-06 08:31:15	btc updown 5m 1780734600	Down	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xa3a3ac…
06-06 08:31:06	btc updown 5m 1780734600	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xd23d5d…
06-06 08:30:13	btc updown 5m 1780734600	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3940fd…
06-06 08:28:46	btc updown 5m 1780734600	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf12785…
05-26 11:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xf117ac…
05-26 11:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xef7507…
05-26 11:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x32e0cf…
05-26 11:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb4f121…
05-26 11:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x511966…
05-26 11:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x253ec5…
05-12 10:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x43b6d1…
05-12 10:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x67144f…
05-12 10:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa7bab8…
05-12 09:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd54814…
05-12 09:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x58663d…
05-12 09:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x197ebd…
05-12 09:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x288be7…
05-12 09:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x532fea…
05-12 09:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x055a1a…
05-12 09:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ed8f5…
05-12 02:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	87¢	$26	0xa2a8b2…
05-12 02:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7234df…
05-12 02:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x476bf3…
05-12 02:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0x580f0c…
05-12 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x4798d0…
05-12 02:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe0d9d5…
05-12 02:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	38	91¢	$35	0x105d67…
05-12 02:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x05ff3d…
05-12 02:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x859243…
05-12 02:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x60b57e…
05-12 02:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0e4295…
05-12 02:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcf87b3…
05-12 02:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	73¢	$24	0xac36cc…
05-12 02:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x97b432…
05-12 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6623b8…
05-12 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x6901a6…
05-12 02:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5d1b42…
05-12 02:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xbf4dda…
05-12 02:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xceb544…
05-12 02:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xfc26b5…
05-12 02:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd5e757…
05-12 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x418ea0…
05-12 02:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x46e57a…
05-12 02:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb13f9d…
05-12 02:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	60¢	$12	0x42db27…
05-12 02:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4184b2…
05-12 02:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xdd4838…
05-12 02:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbadaf8…
05-12 02:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xc8afdd…
05-12 02:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc50ad1…
05-11 18:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x08a9e4…
05-11 18:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xa584c1…
05-11 18:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x958279…
05-11 18:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa431bc…
05-11 18:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe7c530…
05-11 18:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xb4254e…
05-11 18:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9852c8…
05-11 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x08eb31…
05-11 18:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x72befe…
05-11 18:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x103ce1…
05-11 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb8e079…
05-11 18:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	72¢	$25	0x27baa4…
05-11 18:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8a5e03…
05-11 18:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd3d148…
05-11 18:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xa7c7bc…
05-11 18:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1b2a73…
05-11 18:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x10406b…
05-11 18:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc79c02…
05-11 18:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x1c30b6…
05-11 18:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7782e4…
05-11 18:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x943357…
05-11 18:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x55646d…
05-11 18:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x132b1d…
05-11 18:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xf96163…
05-11 18:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x26c882…
05-11 18:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x22d1e7…
05-11 18:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xf7ab96…
05-11 18:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc905a6…
05-11 18:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0xc1a0ac…
05-11 18:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x77a30b…
05-11 18:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xfd69c5…
05-11 18:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf7433d…