Vivacious-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,536

lifetime

Volume

$7.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-09 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 09:48
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 05:54
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 16:23
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 12:13
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-14 15:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 22:14
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-13 15:29
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 08:55
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:58
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
lol wb al 2026 04 14 game2	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-13 16:18
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-13 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 18:01
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nor	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-27 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5e936…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9842e5…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x493dd7…
06-07 21:58:13	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92a50c…
06-07 21:09:33	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d84ca…
06-07 19:10:43	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x781609…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b782e…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8930fd…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf656fa…
06-06 23:10:01	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55ad67…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x939de3…
06-06 12:06:00	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25d20c…
06-06 11:32:33	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68c5ec…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x74cc1f…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8634f2…
06-05 01:10:57	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3b338…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x970600…
06-03 16:06:13	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcbd13…
06-03 16:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92f904…
06-03 04:48:44	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9f6dd4…
06-02 22:56:10	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab1e5a…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48be57…
06-02 14:02:06	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e10aa…
06-01 02:23:20	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77c214…
06-01 01:30:06	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	NRG	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf17d5…
05-31 20:39:40	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15e707…
05-31 20:15:03	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f0c34…
05-31 19:30:45	T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Durham	Nottinghamshire	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c5b13…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x359e12…
05-31 18:59:02	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x538622…
05-31 18:08:26	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x219d42…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c846f…
05-31 13:42:38	Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Edward Winter	Giles Hussey	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f3f60…
05-31 11:26:57	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fc962…
05-31 11:10:02	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e6dbf…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98784e…
05-30 19:09:17	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9efc53…
05-30 18:04:17	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dd355…
05-30 15:55:11	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x063f0f…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5cc4ab…
05-30 11:17:29	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2c9f3…
05-30 05:54:04	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x084c5e…
05-30 04:48:42	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x29f325…
05-29 22:14:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1ac861…
05-29 21:05:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e56fe…
05-29 21:05:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69623a…
05-29 21:01:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9cf685…
05-29 20:22:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09d685…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf47f53…
05-29 18:27:16	Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7c58d…
05-29 17:27:48	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda25a5…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5425ab…
05-28 16:52:24	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4054d…
05-28 16:30:42	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8ebb17…
05-28 16:30:42	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x444a51…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7f4a0…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e8424…
05-27 07:24:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76daa0…
05-27 00:06:56	Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1efc9…
05-26 21:29:21	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd904b8…
05-26 20:00:22	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f53ac…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x219cdd…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2a3fb…
05-26 09:00:53	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5301c…
05-25 20:56:02	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcde0ea…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x028730…
05-25 04:48:22	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x100409…
05-25 03:03:15	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ecb94…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x901530…
05-24 20:51:42	Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)	Como 1907	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x129b27…
05-24 19:25:20	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1000e…
05-24 16:02:43	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6d9926…
05-24 15:29:51	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7b84e…
05-23 23:09:35	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac6cc2…
05-23 22:55:07	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30affb…
05-23 17:47:07	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33b2bd…
05-23 16:16:09	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7f613…
05-23 01:24:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1eb8fb…
05-22 17:12:22	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8530e8…
05-22 11:42:29	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbee285…
05-22 10:23:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5439c1…
05-21 20:07:43	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8790ec…
05-21 11:20:11	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e502b…
05-20 21:43:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3a362…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5479df…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x463aa9…
05-20 19:29:25	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc38b99…
05-20 19:13:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3eb89c…
05-20 16:49:45	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4aa48c…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5bbd5…
05-20 08:53:26	ITF Wuning: Yuhan Chen vs Yingqun Sun	Yingqun Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x720aa7…
05-20 04:04:50	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5211a…
05-20 02:09:00	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2869c…
05-20 01:31:56	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb28e85…
05-19 20:50:09	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x178713…
05-19 19:58:58	AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd4701…
05-19 14:13:31	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Sada Nahimana	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x090b32…
05-19 13:47:42	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22be8f…
05-19 04:19:03	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x159e2a…
05-18 23:04:29	Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa4292…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Snappy-Embossing 0x8cc4…39b8	784	$4.10K	825	06-09 17:22
Kindhearted-Lieutenant 0xe193…ad34	728	$74.6K	835	06-09 17:38
(anonymous) 0x5356…5f32	727	$3.74K	752	06-08 21:37
Meaty-Humor 0xda0c…8c48	718	$3.67K	738	06-08 21:37
Athletic-Diarist 0xdc7a…b761	717	$3.69K	744	06-08 21:37
Round-Shaw 0x28ad…d8e1	717	$3.69K	744	06-09 17:38
Unwieldy-Win 0x6532…a87c	714	$18.4K	760	06-08 21:37
Raw-Structure 0x0038…0ae9	712	$3.71K	748	06-09 17:38