Optimal-Mixture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$172

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.6%

Resolved

544

Trades

1,334

lifetime

Volume

$68.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-05 07:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 31% -$155

Other

31% 1% -$12

Politics

10% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	40	$2.4K	1,223	1,223	+0	No	-$1	03-15 15:12
will sophia chikirou win the paris mayor election	28	$1.5K	771	771	+0	No	-$1	03-15 16:29
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 16	18	$1.2K	577	577	+0	No	-$3	03-15 13:19
will xrp dip to 1pt2 march 9 15	16	$1.1K	543	543	+0	No	-$1	03-15 12:40
will our homeland movement mi haznk win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	18	$1.1K	529	529	+0	No	-$1	03-15 15:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	18	$1.0K	508	508	+0	No	-$1	03-15 16:08
will conservative win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	18	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	-$1	03-15 16:14
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	14	$958	480	480	+0	No	-$1	03-29 05:15
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 440 459	16	$917	460	460	+0	No	-$1	03-15 15:55
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	12	$821	411	411	+0	No	-$1	03-25 16:01
will ethereum dip to 1750 on march 15	12	$789	396	396	+0	No	-$1	03-15 12:58
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	12	$789	395	395	+0	No	-$1	04-02 12:56
will lmp hungarys green party lmp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	12	$698	350	350	+0	No	-$1	03-15 15:46
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	12	$681	341	341	+0	No	$0	03-15 16:01
Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch?	22	$668	334	334	+0	No	$0	03-15 12:44
will the christian democratic peoples party kdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	8	$475	238	238	+0	No	$0	03-15 15:25
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 460 479	8	$458	230	230	+0	No	$0	03-15 15:56
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	6	$411	206	206	+0	No	$0	04-11 12:29
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	6	$404	202	202	+0	No	$0	04-12 04:55
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	6	$402	201	201	+0	No	$0	03-15 12:46
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$352	177	177	+0	No	$0	03-15 15:37
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	24	$346	173	173	+0	No	-$1	03-15 12:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	6	$333	167	167	+0	No	$0	03-15 16:16
will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	4	$315	158	158	+0	No	$0	03-25 15:57
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	4	$302	151	151	+0	No	$0	03-29 05:22
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$297	149	149	+0	No	$0	04-06 07:25
will march 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	4	$294	147	147	+0	No	$0	03-31 12:54
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	4	$290	145	145	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 12:17
will ethereum dip to 1300 march 30 april 5	4	$284	142	142	+0	No	$0	04-02 12:54
Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	4	$277	138	138	+0	No	$0	04-21 14:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 07:07:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xa2f407…
07-05 07:07:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xdda2de…
07-05 07:06:19	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xe8a7c4…
07-05 07:06:13	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa7defd…
07-05 07:05:55	ethereum above 1600 on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0537f4…
07-05 07:05:49	ethereum above 1600 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x2a92e5…
07-05 07:04:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x4e5903…
07-05 07:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x6e2b1e…
07-05 07:03:31	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x1db632…
07-05 07:03:13	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x28f118…
07-05 07:02:29	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x59de6e…
07-05 07:02:23	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x2d0a97…
07-04 06:34:41	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xe395e5…
07-04 06:34:29	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x0a4057…
07-04 06:33:37	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x535504…
07-04 06:33:17	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x6b91ff…
07-04 06:32:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xc3df9b…
07-04 06:32:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x29398c…
07-04 06:31:59	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x9976b4…
07-04 06:31:53	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x336bcb…
06-28 07:38:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 28?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x14c32a…
06-28 07:38:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 28?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x65326e…
06-28 07:37:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	No	SELL	47	100¢	$46	0x4249c0…
06-28 07:37:32	bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xdab73c…
06-28 07:37:16	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x2835f7…
06-28 07:37:10	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x3847a4…
06-27 07:07:07	will ethereum reach 2100 june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	47	98¢	$47	0x66696d…
06-27 07:06:55	will ethereum reach 2100 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xa782ec…
06-27 07:05:41	will bitcoin reach 70k june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x8d5127…
06-27 07:05:29	will bitcoin reach 70k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x3a1349…
06-27 07:04:53	ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xbda56f…
06-27 07:04:37	ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x665053…
06-27 07:04:13	ethereum above 1700 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x3e42d8…
06-27 07:03:58	ethereum above 1700 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x3bdc66…
06-27 07:03:13	ethereum above 1400 on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x794487…
06-27 07:03:07	ethereum above 1400 on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x063a9c…
06-27 07:02:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xc2a391…
06-27 07:02:44	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb21735…
06-27 07:01:55	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xbcb082…
06-27 07:01:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x3379d1…
06-27 07:01:05	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xfdf8a0…
06-27 07:01:01	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb16f09…
06-26 15:21:38	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	98¢	$48	0x2da684…
06-24 16:31:38	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xa8be5f…
06-22 16:59:46	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	59	82¢	$48	0x75218b…
06-21 09:30:59	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	77¢	$45	0x1776c7…
06-21 09:27:26	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x7318c4…
06-21 09:27:14	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xc11e11…
06-21 09:26:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xbbd24a…
06-21 09:26:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x0cbd8e…
06-21 09:26:29	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x6a27a5…
06-21 09:26:23	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x371d07…
06-21 09:26:11	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x44e1a6…
06-21 09:26:04	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb84b3f…
06-21 09:25:08	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x15ea17…
06-20 09:04:35	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x9c855b…
06-20 05:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or below on June 21?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x8b708d…
06-20 05:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or below on June 21?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf6e790…
06-20 05:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0a4dc8…
06-20 05:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x057eac…
06-20 05:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 21?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x6dd0e0…
06-20 05:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x22ada4…
06-20 05:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$46	0x2c23f9…
06-20 05:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x0847d0…
06-20 05:31:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$46	0x675fb3…
06-20 05:31:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xbce76f…
06-20 05:30:55	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x9388b3…
06-20 05:30:41	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x703318…
06-20 05:29:56	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xb6896f…
06-20 05:29:50	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3fb983…
06-20 05:29:17	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xfd25fe…
06-20 05:29:13	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x109df4…
06-19 09:24:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x27c03c…
06-19 09:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x311853…
06-19 09:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x125c4f…
06-19 09:23:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9c7110…
06-19 09:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x45b932…
06-19 09:20:05	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xcd8479…
06-19 09:17:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x5a9388…
06-19 09:17:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc943cd…
06-19 09:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x555517…
06-19 09:16:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x45705c…
06-19 09:16:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xd34c0d…
06-19 09:16:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xef3e21…
06-19 09:15:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xc28c71…
06-19 09:15:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x6f5a66…
06-19 09:15:25	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x3605c2…
06-19 09:15:17	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x189525…
06-19 09:13:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x2bb918…
06-19 09:13:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x940bff…
06-19 09:11:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 19?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x1ac2fc…
06-19 09:11:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 19?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xc49035…
06-19 09:11:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 19?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x51baa6…
06-19 09:11:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 19?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xd0cb4c…
06-19 09:10:25	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xa320bb…
06-19 09:10:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x3b4d6c…
06-19 09:09:38	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x2f5d6b…
06-19 09:09:32	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x8d3554…
06-17 15:34:20	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x90f250…
05-29 14:17:40	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	83¢	$41	0x2f6168…