Optimal-Mixture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,106

lifetime

Volume

$57.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-28 07:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 26% $-6

Other

22% 0% $-0

Politics

12% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	40	$2.4K	1,223	1,223	+0	open	—	03-15 15:12
will sophia chikirou win the paris mayor election	28	$1.5K	771	771	+0	open	—	03-15 16:29
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 16	18	$1.2K	577	577	+0	open	—	03-15 13:19
will xrp dip to 1pt2 march 9 15	16	$1.1K	543	543	+0	open	—	03-15 12:40
will our homeland movement mi haznk win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	18	$1.1K	529	529	+0	open	—	03-15 15:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	18	$1.0K	508	508	+0	open	—	03-15 16:08
will conservative win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	18	$1.0K	503	503	+0	open	—	03-15 16:14
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	14	$958	480	480	+0	open	—	03-29 05:15
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 440 459	16	$917	460	460	+0	open	—	03-15 15:55
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	12	$821	411	411	+0	open	—	03-25 16:01
will ethereum dip to 1750 on march 15	12	$789	396	396	+0	open	—	03-15 12:58
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	12	$789	395	395	+0	open	—	04-02 12:56
will lmp hungarys green party lmp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	12	$698	350	350	+0	open	—	03-15 15:46
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	12	$681	341	341	+0	open	—	03-15 16:01
Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch?	22	$668	334	334	+0	No	$-0	03-15 12:44
will the christian democratic peoples party kdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	8	$475	238	238	+0	open	—	03-15 15:25
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 460 479	8	$458	230	230	+0	open	—	03-15 15:56
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	6	$411	206	206	+0	open	—	04-11 12:29
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	6	$404	202	202	+0	open	—	04-12 04:55
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	6	$402	201	201	+0	open	—	03-15 12:46
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$352	177	177	+0	open	—	03-15 15:37
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	24	$346	173	173	+0	open	—	03-15 12:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	6	$333	167	167	+0	open	—	03-15 16:16
will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	4	$315	158	158	+0	open	—	03-25 15:57
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	4	$302	151	151	+0	open	—	03-29 05:22
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$297	149	149	+0	open	—	04-06 07:25
will march 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	4	$294	147	147	+0	open	—	03-31 12:54
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	4	$290	145	145	+0	open	—	04-01 12:17
will ethereum dip to 1300 march 30 april 5	4	$284	142	142	+0	open	—	04-02 12:54
Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	4	$277	138	138	+0	open	—	04-21 14:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 07:37:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	No	SELL	47	100¢	$46	0x4249c0…
06-28 07:37:32	bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xdab73c…
06-28 07:37:16	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x2835f7…
06-28 07:37:10	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x3847a4…
06-27 07:07:07	will ethereum reach 2100 june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	47	98¢	$47	0x66696d…
06-27 07:06:55	will ethereum reach 2100 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xa782ec…
06-27 07:05:41	will bitcoin reach 70k june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x8d5127…
06-27 07:05:29	will bitcoin reach 70k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x3a1349…
06-27 07:04:53	ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xbda56f…
06-27 07:04:37	ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x665053…
06-27 07:04:13	ethereum above 1700 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x3e42d8…
06-27 07:03:58	ethereum above 1700 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x3bdc66…
06-27 07:03:13	ethereum above 1400 on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x794487…
06-27 07:03:07	ethereum above 1400 on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x063a9c…
06-27 07:02:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xc2a391…
06-27 07:02:44	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb21735…
06-27 07:01:55	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xbcb082…
06-27 07:01:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x3379d1…
06-27 07:01:05	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xfdf8a0…
06-27 07:01:01	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb16f09…
06-26 15:21:38	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	98¢	$48	0x2da684…
06-24 16:31:38	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xa8be5f…
06-22 16:59:46	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	59	82¢	$48	0x75218b…
06-21 09:30:59	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	77¢	$45	0x1776c7…
06-21 09:27:26	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x7318c4…
06-21 09:27:14	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xc11e11…
06-21 09:26:29	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x6a27a5…
06-21 09:26:23	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x371d07…
06-21 09:26:11	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x44e1a6…
06-21 09:26:04	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb84b3f…
06-21 09:25:08	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x15ea17…
06-20 09:04:35	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x9c855b…
06-20 05:30:55	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x9388b3…
06-20 05:30:41	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x703318…
06-20 05:29:56	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xb6896f…
06-20 05:29:50	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3fb983…
06-20 05:29:17	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xfd25fe…
06-20 05:29:13	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x109df4…
06-19 09:16:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xd34c0d…
06-19 09:16:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xef3e21…
06-19 09:10:25	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xa320bb…
06-19 09:10:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x3b4d6c…
06-19 09:09:38	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x2f5d6b…
06-19 09:09:32	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x8d3554…
06-17 15:34:20	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x90f250…
05-29 14:17:40	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	83¢	$41	0x2f6168…
05-29 14:15:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 25-31?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xb38fce…
05-29 14:15:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 25-31?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x5e4db0…
05-29 14:14:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 25-31?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x3115b1…
05-29 14:14:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 25-31?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x3ef4de…
05-29 14:13:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 25-31?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$41	0x19e79e…
05-29 14:12:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 25-31?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0x0904fe…
05-29 14:10:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x5610ac…
05-29 14:10:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x8950b2…
05-29 14:10:15	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xc7444d…
05-29 14:10:05	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x02404e…
05-29 14:09:51	will bitcoin reach 81k on may 29	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x1de2ff…
05-29 14:09:44	will bitcoin reach 81k on may 29	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x4569f5…
05-29 14:09:11	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x1ac647…
05-29 14:09:04	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x38d4d0…
05-29 14:08:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x446a89…
05-29 14:08:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x6511d4…
05-29 14:07:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xd9869b…
05-29 14:07:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x275acd…
05-28 14:16:50	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xb9a91d…
05-28 14:16:43	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x978df6…
05-28 14:15:47	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x1500d0…
05-28 14:15:40	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x5ea49f…
05-28 14:15:22	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xcb9a73…
05-28 14:15:17	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x6ec94f…
05-28 14:14:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xd8e93b…
05-28 14:14:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x09d7e5…
05-28 14:13:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x207d3c…
05-28 14:13:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf6d176…
05-28 14:12:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x7f760f…
05-28 14:12:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf9ca36…
05-27 14:21:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 25-31?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xd708e5…
05-27 14:20:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 25-31?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xe8b4e3…
05-25 16:16:32	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xdd66d9…
05-25 16:16:25	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x87bcb3…
05-24 06:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2e9ca6…
05-24 06:21:06	New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x9d6495…
05-24 06:20:50	New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x645409…
05-24 04:37:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 18-24?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x883878…
05-24 04:37:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 18-24?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xefc33d…
05-24 04:36:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xa9b211…
05-24 04:36:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xaf9d4b…
05-24 04:35:57	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x191881…
05-24 04:35:50	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x875ad9…
05-24 04:35:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x045e1f…
05-24 04:35:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9aaa11…
05-22 15:51:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xed059d…
05-22 13:41:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x9cbb76…
05-22 13:36:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0e36bf…
05-22 13:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa90f16…
05-19 14:00:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x09e770…
05-19 13:57:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 18-24?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xfb75cc…
05-19 13:56:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 18-24?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x340dfd…
05-19 13:54:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xe41648…
05-19 13:54:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x860ec8…