Embarrassed-Determination — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$229

Unrealized P&L

-$137

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

281

15,088 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$62.5K

$2.39M lifetime

Avg / trade

$159

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-17 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Other

99% 74% +$80,403

Sports

1% 50% -$9,522

Crypto

1% 70% -$5,109

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+79	$163	33¢	$26	-$137	10-10 12:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-07-26?	29	$23.2K	19,246	16,338	+2,909	No	-$313	07-26 16:55
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?	10	$10.8K	7,701	7,701	+0	Yes	+$2,794	07-08 16:52
fif prt nga 2026 06 10 spread home 1pt5	55	$10.6K	15,428	14,274	+1,154	Nigeria	-$200	06-10 20:58
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	48	$10.0K	24,300	0	+24,300	No	-$10,012	07-19 17:59
Will LKP Motor Lublin win on 2026-07-26?	23	$9.9K	23,026	22,741	+285	No	-$937	07-26 16:59
Will EC Juventude vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	7	$9.3K	5,413	5,413	+0	No	+$1,335	08-05 00:25
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02?	3	$9.2K	5,406	5,406	+0	Yes	+$1,190	08-03 02:19
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?	4	$9.2K	7,745	3,299	+4,445	No	+$1,613	07-23 03:59
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 corners total 8pt5	54	$9.1K	6,246	6,246	+0	Over	+$639	06-27 04:52
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	6	$8.6K	7,692	7,692	+0	Yes	+$616	07-05 21:42
pol wlo mot 2026 07 26 total 4pt5	6	$8.5K	11,786	0	+11,786	Under	-$8,506	07-26 16:54
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-08-01?	9	$8.2K	4,794	4,794	+0	Yes	+$966	08-01 18:29
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	3	$8.0K	4,998	4,998	+0	Yes	+$850	06-16 22:44
Will LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?	13	$7.9K	4,959	4,043	+916	No	+$776	08-04 02:06
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-02?	5	$7.6K	6,583	6,583	+0	No	-$444	08-02 21:12
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-12?	21	$7.3K	8,130	8,130	+0	No	+$359	08-13 00:45
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 corners total 7pt5	30	$7.1K	5,984	5,984	+0	Over	+$590	06-27 04:32
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?	7	$7.1K	5,546	5,546	+0	No	+$253	07-23 00:16
Will Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić end in a draw?	10	$6.9K	4,229	4,229	+0	No	+$903	07-08 16:52
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 btts	4	$6.8K	10,846	0	+10,846	Yes	+$4,067	06-14 17:07
Will KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC end in a draw?	11	$6.7K	3,975	3,975	+0	No	+$648	07-07 20:57
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 8pt5	21	$6.3K	5,487	5,487	+0	Under	+$665	07-01 17:12
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-25?	6	$6.1K	5,273	5,273	+0	Yes	+$2,046	07-25 12:16
es2 rrc spo 2026 04 01 total 4pt5	5	$6.0K	3,030	3,030	+0	Under	+$27	04-01 21:34
sud boc rec1 2026 08 11 total 4pt5	3	$6.0K	7,411	0	+7,411	Under	-$6,000	08-11 23:36
fif nor che 2026 03 31 draw	2	$6.0K	3,030	3,030	+0	Yes	+$59	03-31 17:56
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	33	$5.6K	4,058	4,058	+0	Over	-$13	07-01 17:26
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?	7	$5.4K	3,189	3,189	+0	Yes	+$641	08-01 12:57
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 first half team total away 0pt5	3	$5.4K	6,385	0	+6,385	Under	-$5,400	06-17 05:14
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts first half	3	$5.4K	100,486	0	+100,486	No	-$5,400	06-17 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 14:46:51	Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	494	81¢	$400	0xa064a3…
10-17 05:16:52	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	45	65¢	$29	0xb690ef…
10-17 05:16:52	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x8f53ea…
10-17 05:13:49	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0xfc8970…
10-17 05:13:49	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x83ab2d…
10-17 04:47:56	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	202	66¢	$133	0xf56072…
10-17 04:44:37	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	166	70¢	$116	0x2aa8d9…
10-17 04:44:22	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	145	68¢	$99	0x755ee3…
10-17 04:44:19	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	44	70¢	$31	0x98902a…
10-17 04:43:52	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x582ee0…
10-17 04:42:47	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	572	70¢	$400	0xbd87fa…
10-16 22:15:03	CD Los Chankas vs. AD Tarma: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	137	32¢	$43	0x734527…
10-16 21:52:45	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	427	42¢	$179	0x420903…
10-16 21:20:41	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	No	SELL	106	72¢	$76	0xbb5337…
10-16 21:20:39	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	No	SELL	375	73¢	$274	0xaf591a…
10-16 21:20:38	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	No	SELL	269	74¢	$199	0x46c6ed…
10-16 21:19:02	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	No	BUY	464	65¢	$300	0x5567cd…
10-16 21:19:02	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x1149b2…
10-16 21:16:53	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	63	64¢	$40	0xe432ce…
10-16 21:16:48	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	220	68¢	$150	0xb30d0b…
10-16 21:15:15	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	284	72¢	$204	0x9d4dcc…
10-16 20:51:42	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	24	48¢	$12	0x2c962d…
10-16 20:42:44	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x2da893…
10-16 17:57:24	Will FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	No	SELL	281	73¢	$205	0x0561a2…
10-16 17:56:51	Will FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	No	SELL	526	72¢	$380	0x1e25b3…
10-16 17:56:50	Will FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	No	SELL	213	74¢	$157	0x027dc4…
10-16 17:56:23	Will FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	No	SELL	32	74¢	$24	0xfada09…
10-16 17:54:32	Will FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	No	BUY	540	74¢	$400	0xafdde4…
10-16 17:54:32	Will FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	No	BUY	540	74¢	$400	0x3c04ab…
10-16 16:14:34	Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-10-16?	No	SELL	454	55¢	$250	0x45fd99…
10-16 16:14:34	Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-10-16?	No	SELL	236	55¢	$130	0x3f4317…
10-16 16:14:33	Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-10-16?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x215feb…
10-16 16:14:09	Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-10-16?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xb4e019…
10-16 16:13:07	Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-10-16?	No	BUY	236	63¢	$149	0x7e36ac…
10-16 16:13:07	Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-10-16?	No	BUY	496	60¢	$300	0x7ce266…
10-16 13:47:06	uae1 ald dub 2026 10 16 ald	Yes	SELL	73	58¢	$42	0xb4ad58…
10-16 13:46:48	uae1 ald dub 2026 10 16 ald	Yes	SELL	77	57¢	$44	0xa0adfd…
10-16 13:45:42	uae1 ald dub 2026 10 16 ald	Yes	BUY	151	53¢	$81	0x91322b…
10-15 20:18:17	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x7d657c…
10-15 20:16:45	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbcb0b0…
10-15 20:12:10	Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	176	47¢	$82	0x9a3052…
10-15 18:00:46	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	99	55¢	$54	0xeaf999…
10-15 18:00:26	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	70	10¢	$7	0x56abd7…
10-15 18:00:20	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	2,422	10¢	$254	0x98ba7d…
10-15 18:00:16	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x368668…
10-15 17:59:59	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	232	12¢	$28	0xdcb061…
10-15 17:59:59	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	539	12¢	$65	0x9060dc…
10-15 17:59:50	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x6c43c5…
10-15 17:58:16	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	143	9¢	$13	0x747df2…
10-15 17:58:14	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	57	10¢	$5	0x5b6eda…
10-15 17:58:08	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	549	10¢	$55	0x58b7f6…
10-15 17:58:05	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0xae185f…
10-15 17:57:11	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	3,358	12¢	$400	0xce664a…
10-15 17:57:10	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	1,215	12¢	$150	0x377f45…
10-15 10:44:19	Gangwon FC vs. Phnom Penh Crown FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x25e2b0…
10-15 02:30:55	Will St. Louis City SC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	115	25¢	$29	0xc02174…
10-15 02:30:53	Will St. Louis City SC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xf0ab23…
10-15 02:30:23	Will St. Louis City SC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0xdfad77…
10-15 01:03:14	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	136	79¢	$107	0xcf0f51…
10-15 01:02:19	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	136	77¢	$105	0xcd3816…
10-14 23:43:00	Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0xcc66ba…
10-14 20:22:03	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c9f0e…
10-14 20:17:13	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	897	78¢	$700	0x79ab81…
10-14 20:17:13	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	897	78¢	$700	0x42b0af…
10-14 20:16:18	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	940	74¢	$700	0xe6987b…
10-14 20:16:18	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	933	75¢	$700	0x6c2e45…
10-14 20:15:40	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	958	56¢	$539	0xe7a213…
10-14 20:15:39	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	859	57¢	$490	0x4ec538…
10-14 20:15:33	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	1,039	67¢	$699	0xd6e6b0…
10-14 20:15:33	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	860	73¢	$624	0xa80e80…
10-14 20:08:01	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x51d118…
10-14 20:08:01	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	72	65¢	$47	0x0fec2d…
10-14 20:07:06	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	72	57¢	$41	0x55e372…
10-14 20:07:06	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x19e6c8…
10-14 19:40:42	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	1,428	39¢	$557	0xb9412e…
10-14 19:40:42	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	1,428	39¢	$557	0x6de949…
10-14 19:40:37	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	1,461	48¢	$700	0xf19a8a…
10-14 19:40:37	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	1,458	48¢	$700	0xd10421…
10-13 19:47:46	Portugal vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0xf53d0e…
10-13 19:35:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	108	67¢	$72	0x80346d…
10-13 19:34:28	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	108	61¢	$66	0xb28fb6…
10-13 17:24:57	Will Poland win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x70d9d4…
10-13 16:43:40	Will Poland win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xa63311…
10-12 20:13:56	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	261	99¢	$258	0x140ed0…
10-12 20:13:54	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb5f523…
10-12 20:13:51	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	864	88¢	$760	0x894b97…
10-12 20:13:51	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	757	88¢	$666	0x6ccfcb…
10-12 20:13:51	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	547	99¢	$542	0x51499f…
10-12 20:13:45	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	107	84¢	$90	0xbb5e6b…
10-12 20:12:48	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	875	80¢	$700	0xd82698…
10-12 20:12:48	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	843	83¢	$700	0xd67481…
10-12 20:12:48	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	843	83¢	$700	0xa3aee9…
10-12 20:12:48	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1,428	49¢	$700	0xa21dc3…
10-12 20:12:48	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	875	80¢	$700	0x517621…
10-12 16:09:41	Burgos CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd8f326…
10-12 16:09:29	Burgos CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x7a9b98…
10-12 16:09:27	Burgos CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x696bca…
10-12 16:09:27	Burgos CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	495	1¢	$5	0x25c889…
10-12 16:09:26	Burgos CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	459	1¢	$5	0xe9a49d…
10-12 16:08:38	Burgos CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,628	43¢	$700	0x1e5627…