Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

132

Trades

2,742

lifetime

Volume

$4.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.65K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-03 23:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 91% -$130,864

Politics

31% 93% +$8,107

Other

31% 85% -$16,933

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	35	$403.0K	212,893	212,893	+0	Yes	+$21,955	01-31 06:19
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	3	$305.8K	153,068	153,068	+0	Yes	+$0	01-25 03:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	13	$283.1K	146,659	146,659	+0	Yes	+$7,404	01-30 15:17
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	517	$194.4K	184,094	140,276	+43,818	No	-$120,303	01-31 16:41
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	22	$154.7K	157,522	0	+157,522	No	+$2,859	01-20 04:13
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 20 26	61	$145.3K	146,815	0	+146,815	Yes	+$1,553	01-20 14:39
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$139.3K	140,000	0	+140,000	Yes	+$700	01-28 05:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$127.8K	63,954	63,954	+0	No	-$24	01-31 17:32
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	117	$119.1K	63,573	63,573	+0	Yes	+$7,297	03-03 14:58
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$119.0K	119,104	0	+119,104	No	+$119	01-16 03:56
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	9	$99.7K	50,000	50,000	+0	Yes	-$80	01-30 17:39
bitcoin above 96k on january 17	126	$80.2K	85,001	0	+85,001	No	+$4,762	01-17 14:39
bitcoin above 92k on january 24	8	$75.4K	76,040	0	+76,040	No	+$684	01-24 12:30
bitcoin above 88k on january 29	21	$74.1K	74,421	0	+74,421	No	+$334	01-29 16:24
another us strike on venezuela on january 3	1	$72.3K	72,383	0	+72,383	No	+$79	01-04 04:50
bitcoin above 98k on january 17	1	$72.1K	72,154	0	+72,154	No	+$72	01-17 13:03
bitcoin above 92k on january 3	14	$71.5K	73,377	0	+73,377	No	+$1,923	01-03 05:35
bitcoin above 94k on january 20	10	$68.6K	68,686	0	+68,686	No	+$69	01-20 15:30
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	32	$67.5K	45,736	22,868	+22,868	Yes	+$1,009	03-02 13:15
bitcoin above 92k on january 2	4	$59.7K	59,903	0	+59,903	No	+$175	01-02 16:20
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	3	$57.5K	57,669	0	+57,669	Yes	+$169	01-16 01:49
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	60	$53.2K	46,081	10,000	+36,081	Yes	+$2,900	02-02 13:27
bitcoin above 90k on january 1	1	$51.1K	51,635	0	+51,635	No	+$516	01-01 12:50
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$50.2K	50,266	0	+50,266	No	+$50	01-19 03:42
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$48.3K	48,397	0	+48,397	No	+$48	01-18 04:05
bitcoin above 92k on january 10	65	$46.9K	48,058	0	+48,058	No	+$1,121	01-10 15:39
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$45.9K	46,016	0	+46,016	No	+$92	01-17 02:47
us strikes iraq by february 28	33	$45.0K	58,074	58,074	+0	Yes	-$44,865	03-03 23:52
bitcoin above 92k on january 21	7	$44.4K	44,928	0	+44,928	No	+$555	01-21 15:08
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	1	$42.8K	42,917	0	+42,917	Yes	+$139	01-07 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-03 23:57:47	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,269	100¢	$1,264	0x42ccc5…
03-03 23:52:39	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	23,821	0¢	$24	0x0aaaf5…
03-03 23:51:11	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x5807fb…
03-03 23:51:11	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x04c117…
03-03 23:51:09	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xcfd0ba…
03-03 23:51:09	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x834182…
03-03 23:51:09	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x318505…
03-03 23:51:07	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xb2bad7…
03-03 23:51:07	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x973f6a…
03-03 23:51:07	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x4a710f…
03-03 23:51:07	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	73	0¢	$0	0x41b5b3…
03-03 23:51:07	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x40beca…
03-03 23:51:07	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x0e6df7…
03-03 23:51:03	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	34,012	0¢	$39	0x686c06…
03-03 17:14:57	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	2,553	84¢	$2,141	0x9e27be…
03-03 16:41:25	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	944	85¢	$802	0xda2011…
03-03 15:55:09	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	1,751	86¢	$1,503	0x1faa61…
03-03 15:20:37	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xd47c58…
03-03 15:20:21	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	3,075	89¢	$2,735	0xee3c92…
03-03 14:59:15	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	7,265	79¢	$5,730	0x851171…
03-03 14:59:05	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	3,609	76¢	$2,753	0xb6d9bd…
03-03 14:58:29	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	8,518	100¢	$8,484	0x5c3b2c…
03-03 14:14:21	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	802	70¢	$559	0xa62052…
03-03 14:14:09	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	833	63¢	$527	0xea3ff8…
03-03 14:13:47	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	333	100¢	$332	0xe8d9cc…
03-03 13:47:05	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x9f3ef0…
03-03 13:44:25	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	2,969	53¢	$1,584	0x9b5a1f…
03-03 13:44:07	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	1,600	100¢	$1,597	0xf960c4…
03-03 13:40:13	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	497	50¢	$248	0x744c7f…
03-03 13:35:39	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	1,878	64¢	$1,197	0x3c639b…
03-03 13:33:01	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	2,773	73¢	$2,029	0x06b784…
03-03 13:32:37	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	6,309	74¢	$4,652	0x50551e…
03-03 13:32:29	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	1,105	71¢	$780	0xa777c4…
03-03 13:32:11	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	6,666	100¢	$6,653	0xfbdf24…
03-03 13:20:17	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	2,671	82¢	$2,186	0x25a2d1…
03-03 13:19:59	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	2,250	100¢	$2,246	0x0109f3…
03-03 13:06:25	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	421	77¢	$324	0x97b4f9…
03-03 12:38:55	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	734	77¢	$565	0x836a1c…
03-03 12:30:47	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	17,836	82¢	$14,580	0x03ca88…
03-03 12:30:25	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	15,500	100¢	$15,469	0x029148…
03-03 11:43:03	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	Yes	BUY	187	97¢	$181	0xc19a44…
03-03 11:36:13	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	800	100¢	$798	0xd7ed7f…
03-03 11:35:07	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	Yes	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0xf08cd9…
03-03 11:35:07	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,041	80¢	$833	0xa5f3f4…
03-03 11:34:57	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0x10585e…
03-03 11:08:57	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	1,439	99¢	$1,429	0x66bacd…
03-03 08:49:35	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	9,000	99¢	$8,937	0x1dddf6…
03-03 06:19:11	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	5,724	99¢	$5,640	0xe17c8b…
03-03 05:24:07	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	1,033	99¢	$1,020	0x888d0f…
03-03 05:19:05	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	7,650	99¢	$7,553	0x54bd79…
03-03 04:12:25	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	3,500	99¢	$3,462	0x3282ab…
03-02 15:24:59	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	93	88¢	$82	0xaec6a6…
03-02 15:22:15	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	7,881	88¢	$6,935	0x9496ff…
03-02 15:21:57	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	1,570	88¢	$1,381	0xb2a2b8…
03-02 15:17:35	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	417	88¢	$367	0x5028f2…
03-02 15:15:53	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	1,994	88¢	$1,755	0x37806a…
03-02 15:14:51	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xaa7bcc…
03-02 15:13:47	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xd608bd…
03-02 15:13:35	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x5522e5…
03-02 15:13:19	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	1,652	88¢	$1,454	0xce3244…
03-02 15:11:23	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	245	88¢	$215	0x175c61…
03-02 15:10:41	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	1,221	88¢	$1,075	0xd60c39…
03-02 15:09:27	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	167	88¢	$147	0x6a4301…
03-02 15:09:03	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	145	88¢	$128	0xfcb806…
03-02 15:08:03	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x32d3f5…
03-02 15:02:25	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	182	88¢	$160	0xf53bf8…
03-02 14:37:25	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	477	88¢	$419	0x44fb9e…
03-02 14:20:37	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	909	88¢	$800	0x0c9aae…
03-02 14:18:59	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x51f994…
03-02 14:17:31	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	514	88¢	$452	0x2245f4…
03-02 14:16:43	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x2ab4d1…
03-02 14:13:47	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	167	88¢	$147	0xdda8b4…
03-02 14:13:37	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe810bc…
03-02 13:58:05	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0x9f7e57…
03-02 13:55:05	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd52e93…
03-02 13:50:45	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xb78187…
03-02 13:50:37	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xc0de0e…
03-02 13:49:27	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	670	88¢	$590	0xa54641…
03-02 13:49:23	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	410	88¢	$361	0x3cc7a0…
03-02 13:48:49	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xa8d9b8…
03-02 13:47:49	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb4ad5e…
03-02 13:46:41	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	919	88¢	$809	0x4d9a39…
03-02 13:43:49	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	333	88¢	$293	0xc3261e…
03-02 13:42:57	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	82	88¢	$72	0xdff37f…
03-02 13:41:51	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x6d630d…
03-02 13:40:51	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xe31647…
03-02 13:39:39	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x4c2ec7…
03-02 13:36:15	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xf69f92…
03-02 13:34:25	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x010d83…
03-02 13:32:47	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xdbb077…
03-02 13:32:39	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x29c16b…
03-02 13:32:37	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xf385b2…
03-02 13:32:33	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	1,532	88¢	$1,348	0xf2071a…
03-02 13:32:33	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0xa8431f…
03-02 13:15:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	Yes	SELL	22,868	100¢	$22,845	0xac03af…
03-02 11:35:31	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	3,442	87¢	$2,994	0xe0cb00…
03-02 09:17:05	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	2,279	80¢	$1,823	0xe52010…
03-02 09:16:21	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	800	80¢	$640	0x4483e7…
03-02 09:15:13	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	82	79¢	$64	0x851dd6…
03-02 09:13:29	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0x9a8fb7…