Inconsequential-Hedge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

295

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$3.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-07 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% -$2

Politics

2% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 04:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:17
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 06:51
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:39
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:25
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x029ec6…
11-06 09:20:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x158ed0…
11-04 13:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x682d3d…
11-03 17:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x319eb6…
11-02 06:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x897de4…
10-31 15:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x998936…
10-30 14:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b1f2e…
10-29 17:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4efc3e…
10-29 09:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfff901…
10-28 08:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4431f…
10-27 10:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x892a99…
10-26 09:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x208cc4…
10-24 11:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa94c1…
10-22 10:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f9101…
10-20 08:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9f25d…
10-19 09:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0a2f3…
10-18 10:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b8f72…
10-17 15:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x015e67…
10-16 10:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24e9ba…
10-15 14:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec0cc8…
10-14 10:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75da5f…
10-13 10:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47c1a5…
10-12 10:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe364bf…
10-11 09:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd00abd…
10-08 12:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x522ed4…
10-07 15:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedd8e6…
10-06 15:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1a907…
10-05 06:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f2f8d…
10-03 09:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8054cf…
10-02 13:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc94f58…
10-01 09:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa588d0…
09-30 14:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7fe4e…
09-30 03:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe163ec…
09-28 10:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc273d5…
09-27 09:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1352c…
09-25 16:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc29fc9…
09-24 08:51:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36f3d1…
09-23 10:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x728de8…
09-22 08:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x045417…
09-21 09:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1e988…
09-20 05:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ef25f…
09-19 09:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d3020…
09-18 07:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cfebd…
09-17 04:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x167ff1…
09-16 08:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x190027…
09-15 10:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd74187…
09-14 09:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x460d38…
09-13 03:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea479b…
09-11 09:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc90dab…
09-10 08:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3e131…
09-09 02:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeefbb4…
09-08 06:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89bde9…
09-07 08:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfccf44…
09-06 11:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc73a1…
09-05 05:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeffbf3…
09-04 01:02:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc51684…
09-02 07:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0152b4…
08-30 14:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcee808…
08-29 09:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf8b61…
08-28 09:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf28bab…
08-27 09:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa41a26…
08-26 08:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72f283…
08-25 09:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb2bf7…
08-24 14:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x42b067…
08-23 15:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01f29b…
08-22 09:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe97832…
08-21 08:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38d9df…
08-20 09:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bf46c…
08-18 08:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf8c76…
08-17 08:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab3772…
08-16 14:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ca4e3…
08-15 10:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x796899…
08-14 06:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d00ad…
08-13 09:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b14f2…
08-12 09:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbda272…
08-11 07:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5c25b…
08-10 08:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc567d7…
08-09 06:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38be4a…
08-08 07:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9062d…
08-07 08:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7478a5…
08-06 08:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cf0c0…
08-05 08:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0e0cf…
08-04 08:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b6965…
08-03 07:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe56a9…
08-02 06:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x721979…
08-01 07:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd092e5…
07-31 14:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f0d73…
07-30 07:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3b723…
07-29 07:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x654209…
07-28 07:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bb160…
07-27 09:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa11fc4…
07-26 08:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91d8c9…
07-25 09:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c4344…
07-24 13:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb412dc…
07-23 08:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d8d6e…
07-22 02:12:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60e7b1…
07-21 09:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6956ec…
07-21 00:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09639b…
07-20 08:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4a538…
07-18 23:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9883c…