Devoted-Insurrection — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

55 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$497 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-13 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 22% -$59

Other

34% 25% -$58

Politics

11% 0% -$25

Tech

1% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-270	-$17	3¢	$-8	+$9	05-18 12:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes		+50	$1	1¢	$1	$0	09-13 11:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$213	2,788	184	+2,604	Down	-$37	09-10 13:44
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	15	$70	1,800	1,000	+800	No	-$28	01-09 16:39
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$56	7,350	4,350	+3,000	No	-$29	01-10 15:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$2	09-01 11:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	3	$21	45	15	+30	No	-$11	01-11 15:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$17	0	270	-270	open	—	05-18 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$15	37	0	+37	Down	-$10	09-10 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	09-13 10:52
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$12	50	0	+50	No	-$12	01-07 14:36
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	1	$7	20	0	+20	No	+$12	01-07 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$5	29	0	+29	Up	-$5	09-10 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	09-13 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	-$5	09-10 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	09-10 14:15
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	105	0	+105	No	-$2	05-18 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	-$2	09-10 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$2	09-13 10:44
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	2	$2	46	0	+46	No	-$2	01-06 11:14
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	09-13 11:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	09-13 11:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	09-10 14:28
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$1	71	0	+71	Yes	-$1	09-13 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 14?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-13 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 11:09:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x241819…
09-13 11:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x027b9e…
09-13 11:06:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8679e7…
09-13 11:04:54	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x2a863c…
09-13 10:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd04a46…
09-13 10:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x0e2ec6…
09-13 10:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8e3724…
09-13 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xae03c8…
09-10 14:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x348a90…
09-10 14:28:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf9e464…
09-10 14:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x210a8b…
09-10 14:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc0154c…
09-10 14:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6a2283…
09-10 14:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf1c2d…
09-10 14:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7e3da5…
09-10 14:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x58c205…
09-10 13:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xf0de70…
09-10 13:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xded54d…
09-10 13:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	140	39¢	$55	0xc7566b…
09-10 13:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x551676…
09-10 13:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xd852e8…
09-10 13:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	44	76¢	$33	0x730252…
09-10 13:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xe44885…
09-01 11:10:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbead03…
05-18 13:35:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x2cc8f6…
05-18 12:43:42	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x75ebed…
05-18 12:42:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x6bc043…
05-18 12:42:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	267	6¢	$17	0xa07f9e…
05-18 12:41:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc572b2…
01-11 15:06:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x2f4a37…
01-11 15:05:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x72f0fe…
01-10 15:10:10	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$12	0x385d8d…
01-10 15:09:32	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	4,350	0¢	$13	0xd82dd7…
01-09 17:57:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xf373cc…
01-09 16:39:44	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0x1a3b21…
01-09 16:39:24	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x9a42ed…
01-09 16:35:52	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x327fd0…
01-09 16:35:22	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x53ae5f…
01-09 16:33:50	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x3fe0f9…
01-09 16:33:00	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0xedf375…
01-09 16:32:28	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x178cdb…
01-09 16:32:04	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x7559d3…
01-09 16:30:44	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0xbab630…
01-09 16:28:46	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$4	0x4d154b…
01-09 16:28:24	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x7f7006…
01-09 16:27:56	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x653ebf…
01-09 16:27:40	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$21	0xfa85e3…
01-09 13:56:54	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x184303…
01-09 13:56:40	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0xaf2124…
01-08 07:44:03	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$10	0x894735…
01-07 14:56:01	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	No	BUY	20	38¢	$7	0x2c4760…
01-07 14:36:43	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x0f9a96…
01-06 11:14:37	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x58c33e…
01-05 10:49:41	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xc1ecc2…
01-05 10:12:21	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,850	1¢	$20	0xf8e3e3…