Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved

106

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-13 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 29% -$1,624

Tech

6% 0% -$518

Politics

1% 33% +$395

Other

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$773	977	977	+0	No	+$173	02-04 04:51
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	5	$670	5,435	2,050	+3,385	Yes	-$308	06-09 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 17:00 UTC	4	$634	676	667	+9	Down	+$38	01-21 17:02
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$488	2,721	2,721	+0	No	+$36	02-04 05:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 11:00 UTC	10	$443	835	827	+8	Up	-$87	01-21 11:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 06:30 UTC	2	$440	360	354	+5	Up	+$46	01-23 06:34
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:15 UTC	2	$434	1,421	0	+1,421	Down	-$434	02-04 05:24
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$375	1,761	740	+1,022	Yes	+$75	01-21 21:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 17:30 UTC	3	$351	339	334	+5	Up	-$49	01-21 17:31
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 08:00 UTC	5	$349	879	640	+239	Down	+$220	01-22 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:10 UTC	4	$343	362	362	+0	Up	+$313	06-09 12:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 06:45 UTC	3	$330	1,514	0	+1,514	Down	-$330	01-23 06:53
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	4	$305	1,043	1,043	+0	No	-$83	02-03 04:35
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 21:15 UTC	4	$298	436	431	+5	Down	-$20	01-21 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 15:00 UTC	2	$290	578	0	+578	Up	+$288	01-21 15:02
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	5	$253	1,020	390	+630	Up	-$116	02-04 05:11
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$246	605	605	+0	No	-$54	01-30 19:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 21:00 UTC	2	$238	218	215	+3	Down	+$41	01-21 21:10
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$237	455	455	+0	No	+$37	01-21 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:05 UTC	5	$225	500	133	+367	Up	-$28	06-15 19:09
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	3	$223	426	426	+0	Yes	+$43	01-23 07:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	2	$215	213	209	+3	Up	+$15	02-04 05:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	3	$210	303	298	+5	Up	-$108	02-04 05:10
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	2	$200	409	0	+409	Yes	-$200	06-09 07:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 14:30 UTC	1	$182	336	0	+336	Up	+$155	01-21 14:41
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$181	114	114	+0	No	+$10	02-02 06:35
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$180	300	300	+0	Yes	+$72	02-04 04:40
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	2	$176	568	567	+1	No	-$24	01-20 15:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 20	2	$165	962	962	+0	Yes	+$65	01-20 16:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 21:30 UTC	2	$163	1,354	0	+1,354	Up	-$163	01-21 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 11:02:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0xfb0ba3…
10-13 11:02:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x33b1b7…
10-13 11:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb68e32…
10-13 10:58:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd8cf67…
10-13 10:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0x74c930…
10-13 10:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xaade6c…
10-13 10:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x1b5ef6…
10-13 10:39:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xec4270…
10-13 10:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7fda50…
10-13 10:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xa90ede…
10-13 10:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x85c041…
10-13 10:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1652f9…
06-17 11:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe1d4e5…
06-17 11:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2b7cec…
06-17 11:53:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xdc5acd…
06-17 11:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	159	22¢	$35	0xfb944f…
06-17 11:50:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	99	35¢	$35	0x7b56f7…
06-17 11:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	946	3¢	$25	0xbbf3af…
06-17 11:48:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0x31e4bd…
06-17 11:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	354	10¢	$35	0x8aad68…
06-17 11:39:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	167	29¢	$48	0x235086…
06-17 11:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x43cad2…
06-15 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	318	11¢	$35	0x73491a…
06-15 19:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	49	44¢	$21	0x3a778e…
06-15 19:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:05 UTC	Up	SELL	133	74¢	$99	0x770088…
06-15 19:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x1d0da2…
06-15 19:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	73	48¢	$35	0xe7c944…
06-15 19:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0xa3d53a…
06-15 19:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x0fe4a6…
06-15 19:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	206	17¢	$35	0xbc0cc2…
06-15 19:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x8b116b…
06-15 18:59:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	284	9¢	$24	0x5fe7d2…
06-15 18:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:55 UTC	Up	SELL	261	4¢	$11	0x8baef3…
06-15 18:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	261	10¢	$25	0x70dd22…
06-15 18:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:55 UTC	Up	SELL	208	15¢	$31	0x3046af…
06-15 18:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x991f13…
06-09 15:57:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0x49b51f…
06-09 14:34:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	74	32¢	$24	0x8b10e8…
06-09 14:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	45	44¢	$20	0xcbbbab…
06-09 14:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x5dfbdb…
06-09 14:29:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x58a635…
06-09 14:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	72	94¢	$67	0x05d428…
06-09 14:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	72	49¢	$35	0xc61aac…
06-09 12:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x9079db…
06-09 12:29:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x90258a…
06-09 12:28:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xea6427…
06-09 12:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x190057…
06-09 12:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	362	91¢	$328	0x64ea7e…
06-09 12:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x10ebaf…
06-09 12:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb4af84…
06-09 12:12:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x801a94…
06-09 08:45:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	3,000	9¢	$279	0x4e1220…
06-09 08:16:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	2,050	9¢	$181	0xf8bec5…
06-09 07:48:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x974ef6…
06-09 07:48:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	794	13¢	$100	0x37d89f…
06-09 07:47:45	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	645	1¢	$6	0x167334…
06-09 07:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xe8241d…
06-09 07:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	200	13¢	$25	0x0cc9af…
06-09 07:41:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x19badf…
06-09 07:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	70	42¢	$29	0x4c0dbe…
06-09 07:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x8e3eea…
06-09 07:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x35715d…
06-09 07:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x7e69c3…
06-09 05:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x8ab42a…
06-09 05:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd3b7c4…
06-09 05:33:45	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	479	2¢	$10	0xff33a2…
06-09 05:31:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,256	8¢	$100	0x71a4a9…
06-09 05:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	175	18¢	$32	0x8cbf6f…
06-09 05:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	175	20¢	$35	0xb1734a…
06-09 05:27:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	88	49¢	$43	0x9c76ad…
06-09 05:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x8bcf15…
06-09 05:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x118a9c…
06-08 20:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	307	11¢	$35	0x28f935…
06-08 20:19:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x579ad4…
06-08 20:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x59a9fd…
06-08 20:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	125	88¢	$110	0xe6ab6f…
06-08 20:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x206872…
06-08 20:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0xc3ce09…
06-08 20:09:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x8c9c18…
06-08 20:07:12	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	645	3¢	$20	0x18ba21…
06-08 20:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x98e9c5…
06-08 19:50:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	224	2¢	$5	0x211185…
06-08 19:49:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0x56f18a…
06-08 19:47:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	355	4¢	$14	0xd675f5…
06-05 07:31:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	485	6¢	$30	0x02317b…
06-05 07:31:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	No	BUY	651	5¢	$30	0xd4f065…
06-05 07:31:12	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 5 2026	No	BUY	508	6¢	$30	0x8f4f97…
06-03 08:47:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$100	0x3e7464…
02-06 09:08:03	Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?	No	BUY	314	29¢	$90	0x03b219…
02-06 09:02:23	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,697	5¢	$80	0xa7a487…
02-06 09:00:25	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	89	7¢	$6	0x02f70c…
02-04 05:24:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	838	12¢	$100	0x70f164…
02-04 05:23:26	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	677	15¢	$104	0x19c80e…
02-04 05:14:56	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	583	57¢	$334	0xb16696…
02-04 05:11:50	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	626	10¢	$60	0x548c48…
02-04 05:10:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	298	17¢	$51	0x0e2697…
02-04 05:09:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xb7176a…
02-04 05:08:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x805599…
02-04 05:08:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	140	25¢	$35	0x928dcc…
02-04 05:06:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	140	19¢	$27	0x1fe324…