Deserted-Association — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

Trades

459

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-23 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 14% $-120

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$404	460	429	+31	open	—	04-25 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$341	521	382	+140	open	—	04-26 00:04
btc updown 5m 1776003000	3	$288	292	190	+102	open	—	04-12 14:15
btc updown 5m 1775991600	2	$267	174	168	+5	open	—	04-12 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$245	212	203	+9	open	—	04-25 22:05
btc updown 5m 1781022900	3	$227	171	171	+0	open	—	06-09 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$217	324	193	+132	open	—	04-25 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$214	174	166	+8	open	—	04-26 09:44
btc updown 5m 1776080100	3	$213	409	158	+251	open	—	04-13 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$210	220	118	+102	open	—	04-25 22:29
btc updown 5m 1781022300	4	$207	171	169	+2	open	—	06-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$205	234	222	+11	open	—	04-25 23:59
btc updown 5m 1775991000	2	$201	155	147	+7	open	—	04-12 10:55
btc updown 5m 1776080700	2	$195	185	173	+12	open	—	04-13 11:50
btc updown 5m 1776099900	2	$193	152	144	+7	open	—	04-13 17:10
btc updown 5m 1781023800	2	$187	135	135	+0	open	—	06-09 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$186	224	107	+117	open	—	04-25 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$185	187	177	+10	open	—	04-26 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$178	183	81	+102	open	—	04-25 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$173	1,190	183	+1,006	open	—	04-25 22:55
btc updown 5m 1776079800	3	$173	289	107	+182	open	—	04-13 11:35
btc updown 5m 1776001500	2	$171	128	123	+6	open	—	04-12 13:50
btc updown 5m 1775991900	2	$164	140	132	+8	open	—	04-12 11:10
btc updown 5m 1776002100	2	$161	147	140	+7	open	—	04-12 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$161	220	68	+152	open	—	04-25 23:04
btc updown 5m 1776005100	2	$155	98	95	+3	open	—	04-12 14:51
btc updown 5m 1776100500	3	$152	168	93	+76	open	—	04-13 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$151	189	180	+9	open	—	04-26 09:29
btc updown 5m 1776003600	2	$148	412	0	+412	open	—	04-12 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$146	175	175	+0	Up	+$104	05-07 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 19:02:31	btc updown 5m 1782241200	Down	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x1740b1…
06-17 13:36:34	btc updown 5m 1781703300	Down	BUY	131	29¢	$38	0xeb73eb…
06-17 13:32:46	btc updown 5m 1781703000	Down	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xa12259…
06-17 13:32:17	btc updown 5m 1781703000	Down	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x6ea764…
06-17 13:29:40	btc updown 5m 1781702700	Down	SELL	281	18¢	$51	0xa86d35…
06-17 13:29:28	btc updown 5m 1781702700	Down	BUY	281	8¢	$22	0x7f0f66…
06-17 13:28:41	btc updown 5m 1781702700	Up	SELL	62	63¢	$39	0xf264a1…
06-17 13:27:23	btc updown 5m 1781702700	Up	BUY	62	35¢	$22	0xce27a3…
06-09 17:01:18	btc updown 5m 1781024400	Down	BUY	347	26¢	$91	0x5c23f3…
06-09 16:55:34	btc updown 5m 1781024100	Down	BUY	220	37¢	$81	0xa9beca…
06-09 16:53:03	btc updown 5m 1781023800	Down	SELL	135	94¢	$127	0xa3013a…
06-09 16:51:21	btc updown 5m 1781023800	Down	BUY	135	44¢	$60	0xa399b7…
06-09 16:45:33	btc updown 5m 1781023500	Down	BUY	240	25¢	$60	0xdbdefb…
06-09 16:41:42	btc updown 5m 1781023200	Down	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0x0001c1…
06-09 16:40:24	btc updown 5m 1781023200	Down	BUY	46	61¢	$28	0xc626f2…
06-09 16:38:57	btc updown 5m 1781022900	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xcc3edb…
06-09 16:38:24	btc updown 5m 1781022900	Down	SELL	154	97¢	$149	0xb2cd55…
06-09 16:35:48	btc updown 5m 1781022900	Down	BUY	171	35¢	$60	0xde103e…
06-09 16:30:07	btc updown 5m 1781022600	Down	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0x415025…
06-09 16:29:51	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Up	SELL	22	57¢	$13	0x70aaeb…
06-09 16:27:31	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x802cc7…
06-09 16:26:57	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Down	SELL	146	86¢	$126	0x3a6268…
06-09 16:25:16	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Down	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0xd17b63…
06-09 16:19:42	btc updown 5m 1781022000	Down	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x17ffcc…
06-09 16:19:10	btc updown 5m 1781021700	Down	SELL	89	67¢	$60	0xa80f8b…
06-09 16:18:43	btc updown 5m 1781021700	Down	BUY	89	34¢	$30	0x148f83…
06-09 16:15:24	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x67c45a…
06-09 16:09:57	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x6e7512…
06-09 16:08:24	btc updown 5m 1781021100	Down	SELL	77	81¢	$62	0x20a100…
06-09 16:04:48	btc updown 5m 1781021100	Down	BUY	77	48¢	$37	0xb9555b…
06-09 16:04:06	btc updown 5m 1781020800	Down	SELL	88	87¢	$76	0xe82cb9…
06-09 16:01:15	btc updown 5m 1781020800	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2a2319…
06-09 15:59:00	btc updown 5m 1781020800	Down	BUY	88	49¢	$43	0x8b3a5a…
06-09 15:57:15	btc updown 5m 1781020500	Down	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0xe84161…
06-09 15:55:09	btc updown 5m 1781020500	Down	BUY	90	47¢	$42	0xe0dfa2…
06-09 15:45:45	btc updown 5m 1781019600	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xcb121e…
06-09 15:40:25	btc updown 5m 1781019600	Down	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0x9c77c2…
06-09 15:37:33	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x6dc8a4…
06-09 14:55:01	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xe9fb5b…
06-09 14:50:00	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x1fd4d0…
06-09 14:40:45	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x477315…
06-09 14:39:25	btc updown 5m 1781015700	Up	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0xd66b6f…
06-09 11:16:10	btc updown 5m 1781003700	Down	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0xc9fc3d…
06-08 19:27:42	btc updown 5m 1780946700	Down	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x955c77…
06-05 19:23:12	btc updown 5m 1780687200	Down	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xff0e7e…
06-05 19:18:00	btc updown 5m 1780686900	Up	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x31dfbf…
06-05 16:19:39	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	549	3¢	$15	0x72eb9f…
06-04 13:31:45	btc updown 5m 1780579800	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7ba960…
06-04 13:31:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	1,245	0¢	$6	0x089f4d…
06-03 21:52:10	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Up	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0x53a740…
06-03 21:44:27	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Down	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0xa93ede…
06-02 21:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	107	17¢	$18	0xbce48b…
06-02 21:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x61a09b…
06-02 21:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	48	82¢	$40	0x3a0add…
06-02 21:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	45¢	$22	0xf1a0f6…
06-02 21:31:12	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	1,245	1¢	$10	0xa50c9e…
06-02 16:41:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	434	3¢	$11	0x9e3f61…
06-02 16:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	336	6¢	$20	0x392373…
05-29 18:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	92	26¢	$24	0xbc3249…
05-29 17:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	159	17¢	$27	0x53f5c8…
05-29 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	159	13¢	$21	0x42cdc8…
05-16 22:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	180	5¢	$9	0xf8993a…
05-16 22:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	73	22¢	$16	0x2516fc…
05-16 21:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xf0f89b…
05-16 21:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xa4affb…
05-16 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x1686f3…
05-16 21:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x463036…
05-16 21:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x972f04…
05-16 21:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xc7aacf…
05-14 15:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	123	8¢	$10	0x6974bf…
05-14 15:41:33	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	47	23¢	$11	0x466d71…
05-14 15:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	139	14¢	$20	0xd21159…
05-14 15:38:12	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	53	40¢	$21	0x188f76…
05-14 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x8beda0…
05-14 14:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3d0039…
05-14 14:30:44	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0x58b2d2…
05-14 14:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7a7f7a…
05-14 14:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xbb5a9f…
05-14 14:24:45	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0xd80d84…
05-14 14:17:33	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x04dd36…
05-14 14:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x52780e…
05-14 14:10:36	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	134	16¢	$22	0x0f1cfe…
05-14 14:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	110	19¢	$21	0xa8fbea…
05-14 11:23:20	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	134	22¢	$29	0xfb0475…
05-14 11:22:19	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x92b993…
05-14 11:22:05	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	262	8¢	$20	0x3530d4…
05-14 11:21:44	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xa0e28c…
05-14 11:21:32	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xc5470b…
05-07 18:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	225	12¢	$27	0xb4d1f8…
05-07 18:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x91ddd5…
05-07 18:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	187	11¢	$20	0x8b2e6d…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xfef63e…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	48	14¢	$7	0xf70ba3…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xf11627…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc5212c…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xbd3838…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xaf3788…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xa8baa0…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x647428…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x3cb239…