Knobby-Windshield — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$414

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

299

Trades

414

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-25 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

54% 69% -$432

Politics

45% 80% +$7

Sports

0% 100% +$9

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	5	$584	424	272	+152	Yes	-$58	04-09 07:05
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	7	$494	291	291	+0	No	+$67	03-25 06:34
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 26 2026	8	$463	381	381	+0	Yes	+$4	03-26 15:13
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	2	$422	214	214	+0	Yes	+$0	03-20 06:45
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	2	$321	173	173	+0	Yes	+$23	04-08 11:59
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	2	$281	162	162	+0	Yes	-$16	04-05 11:22
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	4	$236	127	127	+0	No	+$16	04-03 08:36
highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 17c	6	$223	184	163	+21	No	-$90	04-14 15:04
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	2	$217	239	0	+239	Yes	+$21	04-03 16:22
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	4	$203	221	0	+221	No	+$18	03-11 21:31
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?	2	$179	97	97	+0	Yes	-$13	04-08 17:13
cs2 r2 vsc 2026 04 01 game1	2	$173	91	91	+0	Vasco Esports	+$8	04-01 21:31
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 27 2026	4	$162	82	82	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 12:40
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 5, 2026?	1	$154	156	0	+156	Yes	+$2	04-05 08:04
will israel take military action in gaza on march 22 2026	2	$150	199	0	+199	Yes	-$13	03-22 17:10
cs2 bst 3dmax 2026 04 02	2	$145	76	75	+0	BESTIA	+$6	04-02 13:43
cs2 tyloo sfe 2026 04 01	1	$140	163	0	+163	SemperFi Esports	+$24	04-01 08:15
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	2	$139	112	112	+0	No	-$21	04-10 10:51
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 19c	3	$114	115	113	+2	No	-$35	04-15 12:03
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	1	$103	105	0	+105	Yes	+$2	04-06 08:40
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 4, 2026?	2	$91	47	47	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 21:36
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	2	$85	88	0	+88	Yes	+$3	04-09 18:41
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 1, 2026?	2	$81	82	0	+82	Yes	+$1	04-01 17:11
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	1	$72	75	0	+75	Yes	+$3	04-09 21:56
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 3, 2026?	1	$70	72	0	+72	Yes	+$2	04-03 06:16
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$1	03-31 11:42
will israel take military action in gaza on march 27 2026	1	$60	64	0	+64	No	+$4	03-27 21:11
will israel take military action in gaza on march 30 2026	2	$55	58	0	+58	Yes	+$3	03-30 10:42
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	Yes	+$1	03-28 12:05
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 30 2026	1	$54	55	0	+55	Yes	+$1	03-30 07:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 08:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xeb5fb0…
07-31 20:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa6ed03…
07-26 18:26:52	cs2 100t ts7 2026 07 26 game2	100 Thieves	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe1211a…
07-26 15:55:16	cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26	TheMongolz	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x03ea33…
07-25 10:46:31	cs2 dendel faze 2026 07 25	FaZe	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa3387e…
07-25 10:46:21	cs2 dendel faze 2026 07 25	FaZe	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xcf5305…
07-25 10:45:27	cs2 dendel faze 2026 07 25	FaZe	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x0804c3…
07-23 23:07:21	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xa76fb1…
07-06 20:54:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcd0bf1…
07-03 15:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x64d651…
07-03 06:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xa0d6bf…
07-02 23:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x7fe5d2…
06-07 15:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xb2b3e0…
06-07 15:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0x524cae…
06-07 14:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x89d790…
06-06 22:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xeb0545…
06-06 14:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x02c8b7…
06-06 08:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x5e8497…
06-06 08:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xbcd06d…
06-05 19:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x4cc0e3…
06-05 15:32:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x5ef7e0…
06-05 14:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0xf39783…
06-05 13:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x9d8820…
06-05 09:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x188ad8…
06-05 09:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x54ea01…
06-04 21:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xa89b62…
06-04 21:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x049ec7…
06-04 15:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0x8d718e…
06-04 10:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x44dd44…
06-04 08:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x2e0453…
06-04 07:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x1165b9…
06-03 21:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x95d3bc…
06-03 08:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xaacea0…
06-02 14:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xed5708…
06-02 14:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xad6f56…
06-02 13:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x3c2fff…
06-02 08:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x647a7e…
06-02 07:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x46e58e…
06-01 21:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x2fc0d4…
06-01 14:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x726680…
05-30 23:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xc545ce…
05-30 14:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	47	84¢	$40	0x216dd2…
05-30 08:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0x0af2cc…
05-29 14:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x42598c…
05-29 14:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	57	71¢	$40	0x339875…
05-29 09:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x77df03…
05-29 09:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x7344b3…
05-29 08:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xb8e726…
05-29 08:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x38ff75…
05-28 23:58:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xe9ced2…
05-28 16:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4,000	1¢	$40	0x5af5bd…
05-28 14:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xa95c6d…
05-28 00:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x83129f…
05-27 21:57:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x92e4be…
05-27 21:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xdd83c5…
05-27 14:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xb33d26…
05-27 14:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0xe5d326…
05-27 14:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x3d77ae…
05-27 09:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xb1a4a2…
05-27 08:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x9f34a0…
05-27 08:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x0ae1b2…
05-27 08:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x85a324…
05-26 14:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x125d30…
05-26 08:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xf910c5…
05-26 00:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0605b0…
05-25 14:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x10c392…
05-25 14:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x83af13…
05-25 14:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xfc3d40…
05-25 08:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x8c9c02…
05-24 14:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x09ed19…
05-24 14:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x94f754…
05-24 08:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x1def04…
05-23 23:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	59	67¢	$40	0x5759db…
05-23 22:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x2a270b…
05-23 21:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xf0d6d5…
05-23 15:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x8779b0…
05-23 13:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x077468…
05-23 08:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x1a65b0…
05-22 15:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7ed38f…
05-22 14:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xb2eef0…
05-22 14:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x2b7104…
05-21 22:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf53ade…
05-21 15:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xfabf06…
05-21 08:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xade85e…
05-20 22:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x646857…
05-20 22:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xbec841…
05-20 21:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xe9851e…
05-20 14:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x2aaa5a…
05-20 13:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x008888…
05-19 22:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x0853af…
05-19 22:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 19?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x093c39…
05-19 22:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 19?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x95dc0e…
05-19 22:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xfddeb3…
05-19 22:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 19?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xb09bc9…
05-19 22:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 102°F or higher on May 19?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xced521…
05-19 22:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C or higher on May 19?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x88f241…
05-17 23:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xa90303…
05-17 22:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	93	21¢	$20	0xd2a631…
05-17 15:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xe9b243…
05-17 13:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x062a8b…