Stiff-Switching — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

173

Trades

4,141

lifetime

Volume

$7.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 06-09 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 88% $-5

Other

13% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 292 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 29c	2	$72	76	72	+4	open	—	04-14 08:21
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 33c	2	$51	55	52	+3	open	—	04-11 05:28
highest temperature in jeddah on april 13 2026 29c	2	$31	34	33	+2	open	—	04-13 15:09
highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 11c	2	$29	31	29	+1	open	—	04-12 14:22
highest temperature in seoul on april 8 2026 11c	13	$18	47	45	+2	open	—	04-07 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	17	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	05-19 21:27
highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 82 83f	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 20:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 16c	9	$12	29	28	+1	open	—	04-07 19:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-21 06:12
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	4	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-21 02:55
highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 82 83f	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 20:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-23 15:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 18c	2	$7	7	6	+0	open	—	04-15 07:03
eth updown 5m 1775735700	5	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-09 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-23 16:02
highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 82 83f	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-22 21:06
highest temperature in atlanta on april 21 2026 78 79f	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 22:08
highest temperature in milan on april 13 2026 15c	3	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 08:31
btc updown 5m 1775157600	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-02 19:20
highest temperature in nyc on april 9 2026 50 51f	6	$6	12	11	+0	open	—	04-07 19:38
eth updown 15m 1775766600	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-09 20:45
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 15:59
eth updown 5m 1775160300	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-02 20:08
highest temperature in jakarta on april 12 2026 36c	5	$5	510	0	+510	open	—	04-12 08:10
highest temperature in warsaw on april 14 2026 18c	5	$5	169	0	+169	open	—	04-13 16:37
xrp updown 5m 1775736900	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-09 12:19
btc updown 5m 1775158800	5	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-02 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-02 06:59
eth updown 15m 1775737800	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-09 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:32:30	btc updown 5m 1781062200	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf50123…
06-09 21:28:34	eth updown 5m 1781040300	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xeab3da…
06-09 21:27:37	btc updown 5m 1781040300	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x491c80…
06-09 21:24:30	btc updown 5m 1781040000	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x26ee85…
06-09 21:08:30	doge updown 5m 1781039100	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2c1ecd…
06-09 20:43:30	sol updown 5m 1781037600	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8de479…
06-09 20:43:30	btc updown 5m 1781037600	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4c7a82…
06-09 20:29:00	bnb updown 5m 1781036700	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdbda2b…
06-09 19:51:51	btc updown 5m 1781034600	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeb24dd…
06-09 19:48:28	eth updown 5m 1781034300	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x73f63d…
06-09 19:48:28	btc updown 5m 1781034300	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x104b40…
06-09 19:33:37	eth updown 5m 1781033400	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x238b1b…
06-09 19:32:45	btc updown 5m 1781033400	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x413150…
06-09 18:57:33	bnb updown 5m 1781031300	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe13afa…
06-09 18:43:25	sol updown 5m 1781030400	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x914f31…
06-09 18:27:22	eth updown 5m 1781029500	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4200d4…
06-09 18:22:13	btc updown 5m 1781029200	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb5c7d2…
06-09 18:22:13	eth updown 5m 1781029200	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa079af…
06-09 18:12:31	sol updown 5m 1781028600	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4ca6b0…
06-09 17:52:15	btc updown 5m 1781027400	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x47483a…
06-09 17:24:36	bnb updown 5m 1781025600	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa0e3bf…
06-09 17:08:51	eth updown 5m 1781024700	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc46834…
06-09 16:57:57	btc updown 5m 1781024100	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x919ae2…
06-09 16:22:24	bnb updown 5m 1781022000	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc08f98…
06-09 15:39:49	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x6d91a5…
06-09 15:19:28	btc updown 5m 1781018100	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb0e9d8…
06-09 15:13:04	eth updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa367ad…
06-09 15:12:34	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x462fd6…
06-09 13:58:34	bnb updown 5m 1781013300	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc30b89…
06-09 13:58:34	btc updown 5m 1781013300	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6724f2…
06-09 13:58:24	doge updown 5m 1781013300	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x458f11…
06-09 13:09:15	doge updown 5m 1781010300	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcbbdd2…
06-09 13:09:15	bnb updown 5m 1781010300	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb3c9c3…
06-09 13:08:54	sol updown 5m 1781010300	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x61ecea…
06-09 13:07:01	btc updown 5m 1781010300	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x13ea2d…
06-09 13:07:00	eth updown 5m 1781010300	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7c615a…
06-09 12:59:43	doge updown 5m 1781009700	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2477d7…
06-09 12:58:27	sol updown 5m 1781009700	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9e32a3…
06-09 12:44:09	btc updown 5m 1781008800	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa17bfb…
06-09 12:37:12	sol updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe586f1…
06-09 12:37:04	bnb updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x408bbb…
06-09 12:37:00	doge updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0d49ed…
06-09 12:28:25	btc updown 5m 1781007900	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xea8564…
06-09 12:22:43	btc updown 5m 1781007600	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xafa188…
06-09 12:19:34	sol updown 5m 1781007300	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xfda7aa…
06-09 12:17:34	eth updown 5m 1781007300	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x476dba…
06-09 12:17:24	btc updown 5m 1781007300	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc08066…
06-09 12:13:15	sol updown 5m 1781007000	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7b8ba5…
06-09 12:13:15	btc updown 5m 1781007000	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x47577b…
06-09 12:09:24	bnb updown 5m 1781006700	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x1a73dc…
06-09 11:59:48	eth updown 5m 1781006100	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x93e606…
06-09 11:58:28	sol updown 5m 1781006100	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb6a5c8…
06-09 11:58:28	bnb updown 5m 1781006100	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8a9f93…
06-09 11:49:15	bnb updown 5m 1781005500	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x776f2d…
06-09 11:42:57	doge updown 5m 1781005200	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x26c236…
06-09 11:42:40	eth updown 5m 1781005200	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xff3e5c…
06-09 11:42:40	bnb updown 5m 1781005200	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa1cddc…
06-09 11:39:07	eth updown 5m 1781004900	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x16015f…
06-09 11:24:37	eth updown 5m 1781004000	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9112f5…
06-09 11:09:24	eth updown 5m 1781003100	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xff0629…
06-09 11:07:51	bnb updown 5m 1781003100	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x32fc64…
06-09 10:58:10	sol updown 5m 1781002500	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x286d08…
06-09 10:53:33	sol updown 5m 1781002200	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcb51ae…
06-09 10:36:40	bnb updown 5m 1781001300	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x54e5de…
06-09 10:32:21	sol updown 5m 1781001000	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd4f9f3…
06-09 10:18:45	btc updown 5m 1781000100	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x244feb…
06-09 10:18:43	eth updown 5m 1781000100	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2d6d25…
06-09 10:18:43	doge updown 5m 1781000100	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0ad0f4…
06-09 10:16:40	sol updown 5m 1781000100	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x07bc47…
06-09 10:08:24	btc updown 5m 1780999500	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4f1736…
06-09 10:08:13	eth updown 5m 1780999500	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xeb9a94…
06-09 10:07:42	sol updown 5m 1780999500	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x72e984…
06-09 09:59:28	bnb updown 5m 1780998900	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd8ce52…
06-09 09:08:34	eth updown 5m 1780995900	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdce897…
06-09 08:57:42	eth updown 5m 1780995300	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5f70b3…
06-09 08:57:33	sol updown 5m 1780995300	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xcdd8cd…
06-09 08:56:39	btc updown 5m 1780995300	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x44ed2e…
06-09 08:53:12	doge updown 5m 1780995000	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x136284…
06-09 08:53:03	btc updown 5m 1780995000	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfb8c95…
06-09 08:52:31	sol updown 5m 1780995000	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xdf7fc8…
06-09 08:52:31	eth updown 5m 1780995000	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0b6965…
06-09 06:54:37	eth updown 5m 1780987800	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb1573e…
06-09 06:54:25	sol updown 5m 1780987800	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf4f96c…
06-09 06:54:04	btc updown 5m 1780987800	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf8df87…
06-09 06:44:33	eth updown 5m 1780987200	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfc6521…
06-09 06:43:42	btc updown 5m 1780987200	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc1f7e5…
06-09 06:39:46	eth updown 5m 1780986900	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x49ad92…
06-09 06:39:19	sol updown 5m 1780986900	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfc3ab9…
06-09 06:38:22	doge updown 5m 1780986900	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4fceec…
06-09 06:24:55	bnb updown 5m 1780986000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9faea5…
06-09 06:24:55	eth updown 5m 1780986000	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2dfef3…
06-09 06:24:52	doge updown 5m 1780986000	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3b6d49…
06-09 06:23:33	btc updown 5m 1780986000	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa55547…
06-09 06:19:22	eth updown 5m 1780985700	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf3cb25…
06-09 06:18:51	sol updown 5m 1780985700	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x13314a…
06-09 06:09:12	bnb updown 5m 1780985100	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb40566…
06-09 05:48:52	btc updown 5m 1780983900	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe01f3c…
06-09 05:39:24	eth updown 5m 1780983300	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x051d16…
06-09 05:32:49	eth updown 5m 1780983000	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4c5ceb…
06-09 05:32:49	btc updown 5m 1780983000	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x02face…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	847	$69.0K	10,147	06-09 19:49
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	839	$253.9K	43,997	06-09 19:48
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	825	$77.3K	5,197	06-09 19:47
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	795	$66.8K	14,020	06-09 19:48
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	775	$35.6K	5,067	06-09 19:47
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	760	$36.3K	4,939	06-09 19:47
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	756	$256.0K	17,100	06-02 20:27
(anonymous) 0x7109…f4c9	751	$522	2,506	06-09 12:44