Hollow-Compassionate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

18.0%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$449

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-23 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 50% -$27

Other

25% 2% -$69

Politics

4% 0% -$7

Tech

2% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+19	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-23 02:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:40 UTC	1	$134	608	0	+608	Up	-$134	04-16 17:40
bitcoin above 72k on march 25	5	$97	155	71	+84	No	-$32	03-25 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:20 UTC	2	$43	32	31	+1	Up	+$18	04-16 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:30 UTC	1	$30	142	0	+142	Down	+$112	04-16 17:31
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	3	$13	79	79	+0	No	-$2	04-16 17:07
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$7	199	0	+199	No	-$7	03-30 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:10 UTC	1	$6	13	0	+13	Down	+$8	04-16 17:10
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$5	297	0	+297	Yes	-$5	03-25 17:57
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$4	93	0	+93	Yes	-$4	03-25 17:59
will google have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$4	77	0	+77	Yes	-$4	03-25 18:00
will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	4	$3	56	0	+56	No	-$3	03-25 22:28
will annual inflation increase by 3pt0 in march	4	$3	167	0	+167	No	-$3	03-27 03:18
will tisza win 110119 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$2	16	0	+16	No	-$2	04-04 21:54
will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$2	18	0	+18	No	-$2	04-04 21:54
will a dozen eggs cost 2pt00 in march	3	$2	58	58	+0	No	$0	03-29 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$0	03-25 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	12	$2	50	37	+13	No	-$1	04-26 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?	2	$2	22	21	+1	No	-$1	04-28 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	2	$2	15	14	+1	No	-$1	04-26 07:51
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	2	$2	38	0	+38	No	-$2	03-30 09:06
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 28?	2	$1	52	50	+3	No	-$1	04-28 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?	2	$1	24	23	+1	No	-$1	04-28 10:52
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 28?	2	$1	15	14	+1	No	-$1	04-28 10:52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	3	$1	24	23	+1	No	-$1	04-28 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 29?	1	$1	16	0	+16	No	-$1	04-27 09:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	2	$1	18	17	+1	No	-$1	04-28 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	1	$1	18	0	+18	No	-$1	04-26 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	04-27 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 28?	1	$1	21	0	+21	No	-$1	04-27 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?	2	$1	17	16	+1	Yes	$0	04-28 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 02:04:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x4bae3c…
05-06 09:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x9ec18d…
05-06 04:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x035211…
05-05 23:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xaa7603…
05-05 14:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x221e77…
05-05 11:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x377d73…
05-05 07:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x6b5d9d…
05-05 02:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x11e64e…
05-04 23:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xe2fdce…
05-04 20:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5bd49b…
05-03 19:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xe2f5ff…
05-03 19:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x0cfca0…
05-01 08:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 2?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x1aa70a…
05-01 05:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x1c760e…
04-30 22:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 2?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x1426d9…
04-30 22:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xeac829…
04-30 14:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x1b374b…
04-29 08:52:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xf592c5…
04-29 08:52:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xf0b912…
04-29 07:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xac0736…
04-29 07:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x58bd77…
04-29 07:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd5fd86…
04-29 07:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1e3a75…
04-29 07:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd9fb40…
04-29 07:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x4f1bc7…
04-29 07:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd0a47c…
04-29 06:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x2b148c…
04-29 06:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xfba468…
04-29 02:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xa01f2e…
04-29 00:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x728ec2…
04-28 10:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xbcc3d2…
04-28 10:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xff45c3…
04-28 10:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x59d8c4…
04-28 10:52:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x1718c7…
04-28 10:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x511986…
04-28 10:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x1e4df4…
04-28 10:52:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x9af5de…
04-28 10:52:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x9ea8cc…
04-28 10:52:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x04688f…
04-28 10:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xb92969…
04-28 10:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x178349…
04-28 10:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x3e051e…
04-28 08:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x959fdf…
04-28 03:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8ff102…
04-28 03:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x53bd5a…
04-28 03:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x0e9cf2…
04-28 03:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf2e760…
04-27 21:02:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xbe90d3…
04-27 21:02:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x0a77a3…
04-27 19:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x0c9a61…
04-27 18:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xd8ffce…
04-27 17:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb29bda…
04-27 17:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0xaed9a0…
04-27 15:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xb578aa…
04-27 14:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xdc9965…
04-27 11:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x18ff41…
04-27 10:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x79ca2e…
04-27 10:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x6cff01…
04-27 09:55:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x4c1b0e…
04-27 09:55:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xfdccba…
04-27 09:34:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x5165ab…
04-27 09:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x11374a…
04-27 09:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x9fb93e…
04-27 09:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xebc9e8…
04-27 09:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0x505bb5…
04-27 09:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 29?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd4b993…
04-27 09:30:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on April 29?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xbf9e51…
04-27 09:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 29?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xd72b43…
04-27 09:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2beaff…
04-27 09:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x774583…
04-27 09:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xba4f69…
04-27 09:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xcba07d…
04-27 09:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xb9c700…
04-27 07:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xf5a881…
04-27 07:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xa0f315…
04-26 18:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb7db67…
04-26 18:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x212441…
04-26 17:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x95bd90…
04-26 14:40:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x7b4ac4…
04-26 14:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x85f4a3…
04-26 12:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xb5ff70…
04-26 09:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x596fb6…
04-26 08:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x895d0e…
04-26 07:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x76d459…
04-26 07:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xe61bbe…
04-26 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd116e1…
04-26 00:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x2c8368…
04-25 23:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x0ec81b…
04-25 23:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x63eb23…
04-25 22:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xa8f135…
04-25 22:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xce0a26…
04-25 22:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x788c9c…
04-25 22:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xc6e9a1…
04-25 22:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa76cae…
04-25 22:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x34f4a4…
04-25 22:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa9978f…
04-25 22:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9a63cd…
04-25 22:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x568278…
04-25 21:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xeae5e3…
04-25 21:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x129d39…