Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$145

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

6.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$231

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$42

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-02

last 09-22 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

78% 14% -$135

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

4% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+82	$20	18¢	$15	-$5	09-05 08:00
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	+53	$10	27¢	$14	+$4	09-04 12:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+76	$20	16¢	$13	-$7	09-22 06:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$100	244	+244	No	-$100	09-02 12:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	76	+76	open	—	09-22 06:59
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$20	43	+43	open	—	09-02 12:33
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	1	$20	92	+92	No	-$20	09-02 12:34
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$20	82	+82	open	—	09-05 08:00
spx up or down on september 2 2026	1	$10	16	+16	Up	+$6	09-02 12:30
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	1	$10	53	+53	open	—	09-04 12:39
bitcoin above 82k on september 5 2026	1	$10	32	+32	No	-$10	09-04 12:28
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	1	$10	67	+67	No	-$10	09-06 14:40
Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?	1	$5	556	+556	No	-$5	09-02 12:35
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	1	$5	26	+26	Yes	-$5	09-02 12:36
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	269	+269	No	-$1	09-02 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 06:59:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xddd132…
09-08 19:24:40	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe6e124…
09-06 14:40:25	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x5166f8…
09-05 08:00:52	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0x6901f0…
09-04 12:39:04	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x00c69c…
09-04 12:28:10	bitcoin above 82k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8374a8…
09-02 12:37:58	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	269	0¢	$1	0x47dc4a…
09-02 12:36:01	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x22455e…
09-02 12:35:16	Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x59daf9…
09-02 12:34:37	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0x1f571f…
09-02 12:33:31	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xc4d78d…
09-02 12:30:15	spx up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x525f05…
09-02 12:22:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x770f4f…