Realized P&L
+$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
20
Trades
135
lifetime
Volume
$23.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$71
26 positions
First seen
2026-10-09
last 10-27 10:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
69% 67% +$929
Other
31% 50% +$252
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? Yes +24 $3 24¢ $6 +$3 10-21 04:22
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +13 $3 38¢ $5 +$2 10-19 12:28
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage Nemiga +5 $3 94¢ $5 +$2 10-27 00:41
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 10-16 04:10
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $3 22¢ $4 +$1 10-10 08:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +33 $3 12¢ $4 +$1 10-25 18:44
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +6 $4 64¢ $4 +$0 10-23 16:39
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes — +7 $3 46¢ $3 +$0 10-19 02:18
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $3 38¢ $3 +$0 10-22 00:27
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +22 $3 15¢ $3 +$0 10-14 12:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-22 10:28
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-18 06:08
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +9 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-27 10:41
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $3 38¢ $3 $0 10-24 02:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +11 $3 26¢ $3 $0 10-21 14:19
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +14 $3 20¢ $3 $0 10-14 22:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +12 $3 24¢ $3 $0 10-26 04:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $3 34¢ $3 $0 10-12 20:33
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +4 $3 58¢ $2 -$1 10-20 08:15
us imports russian diesel by october 31 Yes +27 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 10-14 12:12
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +62 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 10-10 08:12
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +17 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 10-13 06:19
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +33 $3 2¢ $0 -$2 10-22 00:27
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +36 $3 1¢ $0 -$2 10-11 04:11
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? Yes +15 $3 3¢ $0 -$2 10-17 20:09
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? Yes +5 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-24 02:38