Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved
75
Trades
402
lifetime
Volume
$10.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$274
13 positions
First seen
2026-11-06
last 11-15 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
98% 40% -$1
Politics
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +149 $131 88¢ $130 -$1 11-14 14:39
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026? No +44 $41 95¢ $42 +$1 11-15 00:08
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +22 $13 97¢ $21 +$8 11-14 00:33
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +150 $21 14¢ $20 -$1 11-13 05:59
EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by June 30, 2028? No +25 $18 74¢ $18 +$0 11-12 09:24
Will Jensen Huang be arrested by November 30, 2026? No +15 $14 99¢ $14 +$0 11-13 00:25
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? Yes +13 $9 67¢ $9 $0 11-12 05:55
EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028? Yes +23 $7 30¢ $7 +$0 11-12 09:23
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? No +12 $4 38¢ $5 +$1 11-12 05:55
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027? Yes +33 $3 8¢ $3 $0 11-15 00:08
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? Yes +22 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 11-14 02:25
Gemini Krypton released by March 31, 2027? Yes +2 $2 91¢ $2 +$0 11-14 06:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 $0 11-15 07:05