Authorized-Yurt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$131

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 11-03 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

92% 53% +$133

Other

6% 17% -$3

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump post potus this week on truth social	2	$551	433	433	+0	Yes	-$49	04-20 13:38
Will King Charles say "Freedom" 5+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?	2	$158	100	100	+0	No	+$40	04-28 20:26
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$119	142	142	+0	No	+$25	05-15 17:03
will trump say think about during events with rutte	2	$110	70	70	+0	No	+$29	04-08 22:21
will trump say roaring or like a rock during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	1	$100	156	0	+156	No	+$56	04-21 11:36
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$94	104	104	+0	No	-$3	05-14 09:52
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during WHCA Dinner events?	2	$84	56	55	+1	No	+$25	04-26 03:16
Will Keir Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	2	$82	52	52	+0	No	+$22	04-29 14:06
will trump say common sense during tpusa events on april 17	1	$57	142	0	+142	No	+$86	04-17 22:30
will trump say congress during address to the nation 113	3	$52	54	27	+27	No	+$10	04-01 23:28
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	2	$51	65	65	+0	Yes	-$51	04-29 19:10
will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	2	$36	34	34	+0	Yes	-$1	04-01 22:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$36	37	37	+0	No	+$0	06-01 15:26
will trump say regime change during address to the nation 537	2	$35	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 23:16
will trump say biden obama 5 times during taoiseach events	4	$20	15	15	+0	Yes	+$4	03-17 16:05
will trump say heritage or culture during taoiseach events	2	$20	64	64	+0	Yes	-$12	03-17 14:48
Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	1	$20	37	0	+37	No	-$20	10-30 18:58
Will Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?	2	$16	40	40	+0	Yes	-$4	05-06 16:39
will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during fox interview on wednesday	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	04-15 10:36
Will Trump say "Daylight Saving" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	11-01 17:54
Will Trump say "Terminated" or "Terminating" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$10	25	0	+25	Yes	-$10	09-22 12:54
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	10-30 17:57
will jd vance say border 2 times during michigan visit 913	1	$8	22	0	+22	Yes	-$8	03-18 13:35
Will AMD say "Debt" during earnings call?	1	$4	9	0	+9	Yes	-$4	11-03 20:47
Will AMD say "Microsoft / Azure" during earnings call?	1	$1	9	0	+9	Yes	-$1	11-03 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 2?	1	$1	21	0	+21	No	-$1	11-01 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:52:25	Will AMD say "Microsoft / Azure" during earnings call?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1b2532…
11-03 20:47:40	Will AMD say "Debt" during earnings call?	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xa1f29c…
11-01 17:54:07	Will Trump say "Daylight Saving" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8e6aa6…
11-01 17:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x2fa73c…
10-30 18:58:28	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x95c163…
10-30 17:57:33	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xae9748…
09-22 12:54:25	Will Trump say "Terminated" or "Terminating" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xf398b5…
06-01 15:26:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0x158d7f…
06-01 15:25:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	47¢	$18	0x19e013…
05-15 17:03:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0xe7ad25…
05-15 07:47:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xcc02a1…
05-15 06:50:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	104	33¢	$35	0xc38dec…
05-14 09:52:36	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	104	42¢	$44	0x0efa5c…
05-14 09:52:10	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	104	44¢	$46	0x11ff19…
05-14 09:22:11	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	104	47¢	$49	0x84f680…
05-06 16:39:40	Will Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?	No	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xc62421…
05-06 15:12:24	Will Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x515b3b…
04-29 19:10:18	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	No	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0xfb094a…
04-29 17:18:06	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	No	BUY	65	79¢	$51	0xe378cb…
04-29 14:06:02	Will Keir Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xe68aa3…
04-29 09:34:22	Will Keir Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xdd7653…
04-28 20:26:56	Will King Charles say "Freedom" 5+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xad72e3…
04-28 19:23:16	Will King Charles say "Freedom" 5+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xab7859…
04-26 03:16:22	Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0xcef794…
04-25 21:38:30	Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xa2a88e…
04-21 11:36:58	will trump say roaring or like a rock during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x24bdba…
04-20 13:38:28	will trump post potus this week on truth social	No	SELL	433	58¢	$251	0x0d7554…
04-20 06:42:12	will trump post potus this week on truth social	No	BUY	433	69¢	$300	0x6a82b6…
04-17 22:30:56	will trump say common sense during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	142	40¢	$57	0xe71844…
04-15 10:36:56	will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x7f2dae…
04-15 10:10:54	will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x374efe…
04-08 22:21:39	will trump say think about during events with rutte	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xdda36d…
04-08 18:14:41	will trump say think about during events with rutte	No	BUY	70	58¢	$40	0x385ea0…
04-01 23:28:27	will trump say congress during address to the nation 113	No	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x42b031…
04-01 23:22:35	will trump say congress during address to the nation 113	No	SELL	27	63¢	$17	0x9f0ac5…
04-01 23:19:59	will trump say congress during address to the nation 113	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xe2e3ca…
04-01 23:16:29	will trump say regime change during address to the nation 537	Yes	SELL	32	54¢	$17	0x839867…
04-01 23:11:37	will trump say regime change during address to the nation 537	Yes	BUY	32	55¢	$17	0x38bc4a…
04-01 22:22:59	will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	No	SELL	34	51¢	$18	0x817d0e…
04-01 21:58:53	will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	No	BUY	34	54¢	$19	0x12531f…
03-18 13:35:51	will jd vance say border 2 times during michigan visit 913	No	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x009989…
03-17 16:05:23	will trump say biden obama 5 times during taoiseach events	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x51e143…
03-17 16:00:49	will trump say biden obama 5 times during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x777101…
03-17 15:36:09	will trump say biden obama 5 times during taoiseach events	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x8e0c48…
03-17 15:18:33	will trump say biden obama 5 times during taoiseach events	No	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0x422a78…
03-17 14:48:55	will trump say heritage or culture during taoiseach events	No	SELL	64	7¢	$4	0x424f8d…
03-17 14:48:27	will trump say heritage or culture during taoiseach events	No	BUY	64	25¢	$16	0x255ba3…