Imperfect-Allowance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

4,461

Trades

8,178

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-30 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 212 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$98

Other

0% 30% -$5

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	—	+3	$0	2¢	$0	$0	10-30 11:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:05 UTC	3	$46	37	28	+9	Down	+$16	07-08 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:20 UTC	2	$33	27	20	+7	Down	+$12	07-08 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$26	26	25	+1	Up	+$3	04-27 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 07:15 UTC	4	$24	24	24	+1	Down	-$2	04-13 07:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:00 UTC	7	$24	21	16	+5	Down	+$5	06-22 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$8	05-26 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:20 UTC	3	$24	27	7	+20	Up	-$12	07-11 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:00 UTC	3	$21	26	13	+13	Up	+$14	07-06 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 17:25 UTC	3	$20	13	13	+0	Up	+$6	07-11 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 19:35 UTC	4	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$5	06-24 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 19:55 UTC	3	$16	29	0	+29	Up	-$16	06-24 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:30 UTC	3	$16	14	14	+0	Down	+$8	06-24 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 17:10 UTC	2	$15	12	6	+6	Down	+$1	07-08 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 06:30 UTC	5	$15	16	8	+8	Down	+$7	06-15 06:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 11:10 UTC	1	$15	30	0	+30	Down	+$15	07-08 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:45 UTC	2	$15	16	8	+8	Down	+$7	07-08 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 17:35 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	07-10 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:20 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	07-12 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:40 UTC	5	$15	12	5	+7	Down	+$1	06-04 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	6	$14	15	7	+8	Up	+$7	05-22 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$14	18	10	+8	Up	$0	10-30 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 19:30 UTC	2	$13	14	7	+7	Down	+$6	06-23 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	6	$13	14	4	+10	Down	+$3	05-10 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:40 UTC	1	$13	26	0	+26	Down	-$13	07-08 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$13	23	0	+23	Down	+$10	05-06 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:25 UTC	2	$13	20	5	+15	Down	+$7	07-12 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:15 UTC	3	$13	15	7	+8	Up	+$7	07-07 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:10 UTC	2	$12	20	0	+20	Down	+$8	06-19 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	05-26 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	05-26 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x82c337…
10-30 11:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x63a96d…
10-30 11:07:09	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xcd98a4…
10-30 11:00:52	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc28d54…
10-30 09:34:52	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3bb979…
10-30 07:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0xbd262b…
10-30 07:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xd56d76…
10-30 07:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x8ce954…
10-30 07:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xff9bb0…
10-30 07:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xae3d65…
10-30 07:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3ab70b…
10-30 07:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa336b3…
10-30 07:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9d7ece…
10-30 07:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x821697…
10-30 07:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x547fac…
10-30 07:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x504516…
10-30 07:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe98196…
10-30 06:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7a52ec…
10-30 06:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf72f4f…
10-30 06:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xcf47ff…
10-30 06:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6aaa38…
10-30 06:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xca4015…
10-29 15:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0f454e…
10-29 13:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x69abf6…
10-29 13:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x565007…
10-29 13:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x78c844…
10-29 13:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x71b611…
10-29 13:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3372d3…
10-29 13:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x45ea94…
10-29 12:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1b662a…
10-29 12:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x730d02…
10-29 12:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd8ba47…
10-29 11:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xd87e14…
10-29 11:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x55aeb4…
10-29 11:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x14d968…
10-29 11:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf0b811…
10-29 10:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8bc229…
10-29 10:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb95a5e…
10-29 10:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x045290…
10-29 09:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2ad90f…
10-29 09:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0893ac…
10-29 09:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x41fd2c…
10-29 08:15:47	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbf1b1c…
10-29 06:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0xad4aa0…
10-29 06:29:47	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa13e3c…
10-29 06:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x533f8e…
10-29 06:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x793826…
10-29 06:17:05	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x46f1da…
10-29 06:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x09f0b1…
10-29 06:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x302081…
10-29 06:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x462517…
10-29 05:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x11ab43…
10-29 05:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x95b579…
10-29 05:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf46fe5…
10-29 05:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd59dc4…
10-29 05:23:14	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x88e71c…
10-29 05:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xec7386…
10-29 05:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa9de0a…
10-29 05:01:56	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x417bf2…
10-29 05:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x837e21…
10-29 04:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x846c1b…
10-29 04:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4b06be…
10-29 04:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x28bcf7…
10-29 04:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x9fe4cc…
10-29 04:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x05671e…
10-29 03:41:32	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x56e6d7…
10-29 03:30:25	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfe4d06…
10-29 03:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9fdf36…
10-29 02:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x442b09…
10-29 02:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4490f4…
10-28 21:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x84fccb…
10-28 21:00:04	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6c6b37…
10-28 20:58:26	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaab02f…
10-28 20:22:01	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xb59f47…
10-28 20:12:29	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc316b4…
10-28 20:01:05	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x099f6d…
10-28 20:00:50	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x14e312…
10-28 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb7918e…
10-28 19:56:16	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd7bb27…
10-28 18:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa6db5a…
10-28 18:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x02b2f4…
10-28 18:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0xaf3051…
10-28 18:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0x5bb5a8…
10-28 18:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6a0a9b…
10-28 18:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xd7c525…
10-28 18:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x425f1f…
10-28 17:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd817ef…
10-28 17:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x86ca02…
10-28 17:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x072017…
10-28 13:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbddfa4…
10-28 12:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x931eb5…
10-28 12:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x279893…
10-28 12:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2fafbb…
10-28 12:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa49c7b…
10-28 11:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf17c16…
10-28 11:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x2d3fb3…
10-28 11:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf7f75b…
10-28 08:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xb06217…
10-28 08:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xa26381…
10-28 08:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x280fa9…