Imperfect-Allowance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$59

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up		-1	$-1	94¢	$-1	$-0	05-06 18:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$13	23	0	+23	open	—	05-06 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-06 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	05-06 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-06 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-06 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-06 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-06 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-06 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-06 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-06 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-06 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-06 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Up	$-1	05-05 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Up	$-1	05-05 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-06 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-06 18:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 18:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x71e158…
05-06 15:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2172fe…
05-06 13:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7b6028…
05-06 13:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfc5df7…
05-06 12:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0a42d0…
05-06 12:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f471e…
05-06 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd89c03…
05-06 07:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6fb97c…
05-06 06:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xe777e4…
05-06 06:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd7d201…
05-06 06:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf92dda…
05-06 06:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6656d7…
05-06 05:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8d5802…
05-06 04:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x653480…
05-06 04:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x779098…
05-06 04:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x140d5c…
05-06 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3cdcc9…
05-06 04:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0e6f60…
05-06 04:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7cd8d5…
05-06 03:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29b623…
05-06 03:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc95ed5…
05-06 03:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc68438…
05-05 19:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x55cafb…
05-05 19:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9fb396…
05-05 18:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x154435…
05-05 17:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfe1ff6…
05-05 16:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc2e46c…
05-05 16:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x270308…
05-05 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5d9e45…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdf92d5…
05-05 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd32c9a…
05-05 02:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x32507f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	28	$5.06K	196	05-06 18:19
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	26	$2.12K	191	05-06 18:19
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	25	$20.7K	172	05-06 18:19
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	24	$975	77	05-06 18:15
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	23	$765	93	05-06 18:19
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	22	$1.51K	130	05-06 18:19
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	22	$1.46K	50	05-06 18:19
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	21	$1.71K	297	05-06 07:10