Drafty-Winter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

117

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

93% 60% -$18

Politics

6% 67% -$20

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-20 18:31
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:18
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	2	$26	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 01:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-27 20:28
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 12:53
will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-29 02:44
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:01
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:01
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-20 00:54
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-20 09:02
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-03 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 30?	3	$16	32	0	+32	No	+$0	05-29 15:56
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	08-01 07:01
Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	08-31 03:03
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on April 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-30 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-11 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-28 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 25?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-07 04:59
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 16?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-16 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	3	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-08 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:20:18	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b294d…
08-31 03:03:04	Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x403b96…
08-01 07:01:47	Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x35811d…
07-04 00:46:59	will aniya harvey be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759014	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x97a600…
06-29 02:44:19	will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x88f414…
06-28 23:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb44a2e…
06-28 23:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xde704d…
06-28 21:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x53eade…
06-28 10:54:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbbc687…
06-28 05:43:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfd4d0c…
06-28 03:35:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x2ad4cd…
06-28 03:28:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5c8944…
06-28 03:13:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xdab9b1…
06-27 16:02:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x866949…
06-26 13:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3fb660…
06-26 12:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa97548…
06-25 12:53:28	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7b2e01…
06-25 04:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe5060c…
06-25 04:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x67aba8…
06-25 03:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf4afc7…
06-24 07:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x10db66…
06-24 07:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x0293df…
06-24 01:45:20	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xb0d146…
06-23 06:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 23?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf57667…
06-23 06:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 23?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe54c45…
06-23 05:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xadd465…
06-23 05:37:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa95a08…
06-23 05:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6d68d1…
06-23 05:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 23?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x30f023…
06-22 00:08:14	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x30cadb…
06-20 18:31:02	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe17b19…
06-20 14:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe75614…
06-20 14:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x953c69…
06-20 14:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xbc89f4…
06-20 00:54:17	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4433ab…
06-19 18:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x80c0dd…
06-19 12:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x49c0b8…
06-18 03:47:25	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6a1740…
06-16 05:39:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x90d57d…
06-16 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe71289…
06-16 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x822cba…
06-16 05:16:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9fec63…
06-16 03:21:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 16?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5a0b38…
06-15 06:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xb6de29…
06-15 06:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xd100e8…
06-15 00:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 15?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xfd0080…
06-14 00:44:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x4ebd03…
06-13 06:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfe87c4…
06-13 06:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x205293…
06-12 07:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xdd055e…
06-12 07:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xdf40d4…
06-11 13:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x51ff34…
06-11 13:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb52e9d…
06-10 17:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 11?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x283515…
06-10 15:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 11?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8119e8…
06-08 16:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x36a4a6…
06-08 16:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3cfb49…
06-08 15:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc80908…
06-08 15:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1c1f35…
06-07 19:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0ab072…
06-07 19:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7d8428…
06-07 18:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x07cb52…
06-07 04:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2015a3…
06-07 04:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x805608…
06-06 15:34:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1670c3…
06-06 12:55:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc630d9…
06-06 00:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa3a05d…
06-05 23:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb97eb4…
06-05 23:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc4dcbd…
06-05 11:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x62e527…
06-05 11:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2849ed…
06-05 05:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x395318…
06-04 12:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 5?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x200a5e…
06-04 05:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x25b301…
06-03 16:24:45	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1af85f…
06-03 12:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 4?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x308698…
06-02 22:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xc15f3b…
06-02 12:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8e72f9…
06-02 06:39:58	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc48471…
06-01 16:27:46	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x433a8f…
06-01 06:39:53	Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x4aec92…
05-31 14:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xccce75…
05-31 12:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x418dfe…
05-31 12:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on June 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x70554c…
05-31 00:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xe76e76…
05-30 23:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 31?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0d1263…
05-30 08:48:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x300bf3…
05-30 08:40:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1110f0…
05-29 23:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x2e79dc…
05-29 21:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xdf85d2…
05-29 15:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4a7b22…
05-29 15:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x56d2d8…
05-29 07:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7a4e5d…
05-29 04:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x47c80c…
05-28 17:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa585ec…
05-28 07:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa02918…
05-28 07:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7b0834…
05-28 03:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x99fb1b…
05-27 20:28:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x25cb94…
05-27 13:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa504b1…