Medium-Marimba — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$451

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,921

lifetime

Volume

$123.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-13 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-451

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773816000	2	$1.3K	756	751	+5	open	—	03-18 06:45
btc updown 5m 1773811500	2	$1.3K	686	683	+3	open	—	03-18 05:30
btc updown 5m 1773813000	2	$1.0K	641	633	+9	open	—	03-18 05:55
btc updown 5m 1773811200	2	$997	593	586	+6	open	—	03-18 05:25
btc updown 5m 1773937500	2	$898	605	595	+9	open	—	03-19 16:29
btc updown 5m 1774013700	3	$823	1,085	546	+539	open	—	03-20 13:37
btc updown 5m 1774275900	4	$740	621	613	+8	open	—	03-23 14:29
btc updown 5m 1774016400	6	$738	519	512	+6	open	—	03-20 14:24
btc updown 5m 1774017300	4	$680	588	582	+6	open	—	03-20 14:38
btc updown 5m 1773837300	2	$679	393	390	+3	open	—	03-18 12:39
btc updown 5m 1773728400	3	$679	386	383	+3	open	—	03-17 06:24
btc updown 5m 1773847200	2	$672	427	422	+5	open	—	03-18 15:24
btc updown 5m 1774014900	2	$644	376	372	+3	open	—	03-20 13:58
btc updown 5m 1774014000	2	$644	393	388	+5	open	—	03-20 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$619	657	638	+19	open	—	04-27 19:18
btc updown 5m 1774008600	1	$607	1,380	0	+1,380	open	—	03-20 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$569	395	381	+14	open	—	04-27 21:10
btc updown 5m 1774277100	2	$483	298	295	+4	open	—	03-23 14:48
btc updown 5m 1773316200	4	$481	277	275	+2	open	—	03-12 11:52
btc updown 5m 1774363200	3	$480	608	345	+263	open	—	03-24 14:41
btc updown 5m 1776787800	2	$475	400	378	+22	open	—	04-21 16:15
btc updown 5m 1773413400	2	$447	260	258	+2	open	—	03-13 14:55
btc updown 5m 1773994200	2	$445	308	303	+5	open	—	03-20 08:12
btc updown 5m 1773805800	2	$437	258	255	+3	open	—	03-18 03:55
btc updown 5m 1776870300	4	$433	362	350	+12	open	—	04-22 15:10
btc updown 5m 1773328800	2	$420	301	297	+4	open	—	03-12 15:24
btc updown 5m 1773986100	2	$419	295	292	+3	open	—	03-20 05:58
btc updown 5m 1772628300	7	$414	357	354	+4	open	—	03-04 12:49
btc updown 5m 1774270800	2	$407	439	436	+3	open	—	03-23 13:04
eth updown 5m 1772207100	8	$404	354	314	+40	open	—	02-27 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 16:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0xe5ac23…
05-13 16:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x82283f…
05-13 16:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	91¢	$35	0x811941…
05-13 16:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3805c1…
05-13 16:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x009774…
05-13 16:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0de513…
05-13 16:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe88d35…
05-13 16:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0x0e5e84…
05-13 15:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	46	53¢	$25	0x0531ea…
05-13 15:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x3caf42…
05-13 15:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x277dee…
05-13 15:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6ea7bd…
05-13 15:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	52	90¢	$47	0xbbf7b4…
05-13 15:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xc17654…
05-13 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x805746…
05-13 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0x20df6b…
05-13 15:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x897df5…
05-13 15:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x5c0eb9…
05-13 15:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0x691cc4…
05-13 15:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x73a3d6…
05-13 15:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xc251aa…
05-13 15:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	52	68¢	$36	0x68beb6…
05-13 15:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x83e5e6…
05-13 15:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x4b6e2a…
05-13 15:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	51	50¢	$25	0x32ed3c…
05-13 15:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x4d97a2…
05-13 15:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9cbd62…
05-13 15:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1b688e…
05-13 15:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x09a5e6…
05-13 10:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x9278ff…
05-12 16:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x6e9bdc…
05-12 16:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x2a7432…
05-12 16:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	192	36¢	$70	0xfc6c56…
05-12 16:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xcf636b…
05-12 16:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x461217…
05-12 16:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	84	66¢	$55	0x43bcef…
05-12 16:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0x9afc2f…
05-12 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	60	81¢	$49	0x797d2f…
05-12 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x2499bb…
05-12 15:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	118	25¢	$30	0xfc7df8…
05-12 15:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x248bec…
05-12 15:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x646273…
05-12 15:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xd69d41…
05-12 15:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	45	92¢	$42	0x4d1afb…
05-12 15:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x54b287…
05-12 15:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	132	49¢	$65	0xf10bab…
05-12 15:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x7515f6…
05-12 15:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x657c8a…
05-12 15:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xc99839…
05-12 15:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x60c765…
05-12 14:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	96	76¢	$73	0x29210d…
05-12 14:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xe7c3d1…
05-12 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	93	47¢	$44	0x9b933c…
05-12 14:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xe24627…
05-12 14:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0x03e7e4…
05-12 14:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0xcb1108…
05-12 14:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x3bf777…
05-12 14:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	49	85¢	$42	0xdff9e9…
05-12 14:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xb78ca9…
05-12 14:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xfbb961…
05-11 17:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x22ef05…
05-11 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xc074c2…
05-11 16:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xddda6c…
05-08 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4a4383…
05-08 16:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	124	32¢	$40	0x8f4b7d…
05-08 16:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	93	33¢	$31	0xea6594…
05-08 16:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xd2d017…
05-08 15:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	95	54¢	$51	0x2dd76f…
05-08 15:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf35489…
05-08 15:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	162	31¢	$50	0x1891b1…
05-08 13:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xeecad4…
05-08 13:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	125	24¢	$30	0x41ffb4…
05-08 13:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xd1df17…
05-08 13:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa192c5…
05-08 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbc9e58…
05-08 13:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	109	14¢	$15	0x122283…
05-08 13:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x9e0879…
05-08 13:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	106	64¢	$68	0x32406c…
05-08 13:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x66d6c0…
05-08 12:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	115	95¢	$109	0x523cc4…
05-08 12:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	115	35¢	$40	0xb8531f…
05-07 20:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x29019f…
05-07 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xebf382…
05-07 19:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x0e281a…
05-07 19:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x2612c9…
05-07 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xab5036…
05-07 19:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	81	97¢	$79	0x0a858a…
05-07 19:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x009200…
05-07 19:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	99	90¢	$89	0x7d1aaa…
05-07 19:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x5fc9e3…
05-07 16:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x24a440…
05-07 16:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	79	59¢	$47	0x422a76…
05-07 16:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x385b5f…
05-07 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xc37ad2…
05-07 15:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xafa637…
05-07 15:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x4f4ebe…
05-07 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x8f554c…
05-07 15:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xb79e75…
05-07 14:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	77	56¢	$43	0x062d75…
05-07 13:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	98	81¢	$79	0x5d7016…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	894	$920.9K	200,348	05-13 16:39
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	862	$1.78K	4,336	05-13 16:40
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	821	$71.3K	12,840	05-13 16:39
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	815	$31.6K	7,160	05-13 16:19
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	802	$6.32K	8,220	05-08 17:00
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	770	$62.4K	8,188	05-13 16:35
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	752	$145.1K	27,343	05-13 16:39
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	728	$3.55K	5,144	05-07 15:30