Natural-Metallurgist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$835

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

421

Trades

1,961

lifetime

Volume

$27.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 53% -$776

Other

6% 43% -$45

Politics

1% 0% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 18	42	$1.8K	1,750	1,750	+0	Down	+$17	02-18 00:10
bitcoin up or down february 16 2am et	30	$1.8K	1,800	900	+900	Up	+$17	02-16 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	26	$1.1K	848	848	+0	Down	+$8	06-01 00:46
bitcoin up or down february 8 9pm et	52	$983	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	-$7	02-09 02:46
bitcoin up or down february 17 2am et	1	$899	0	900	-900	Down	-$1	02-17 08:03
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	13	$703	478	478	+0	open	—	06-01 04:27
bitcoin up or down january 17 10pm et	41	$668	600	600	+0	Up	+$12	01-18 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11PM ET	7	$594	600	300	+300	Up	+$6	05-22 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET	13	$594	600	300	+300	Down	+$6	05-22 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3AM ET	17	$594	600	300	+300	Down	+$6	05-22 08:10
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	2	$584	796	796	+0	open	—	06-01 23:10
bitcoin up or down january 18 4am et	8	$304	298	298	+0	Up	+$3	01-18 09:39
bitcoin up or down january 19 5pm et	14	$298	300	300	+0	Down	+$5	01-19 22:38
bitcoin up or down january 20 7pm et	5	$297	300	150	+150	Up	+$3	01-21 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6AM ET	36	$294	600	0	+600	Up	+$6	05-22 10:03
bitcoin up or down january 19 8am et	17	$289	290	290	+0	Down	+$4	01-19 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2AM ET	12	$280	200	200	+0	Down	+$80	05-30 06:36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?	3	$280	157	157	+0	Up	+$6	06-01 08:49
bitcoin up or down january 20 7am et	4	$277	280	140	+140	Up	+$3	01-20 13:01
bitcoin up or down january 21 5pm et	12	$276	280	140	+140	Down	+$4	01-21 23:05
bitcoin up or down january 19 5am et	5	$267	270	135	+135	Up	+$3	01-19 11:03
bitcoin up or down january 20 5am et	7	$267	270	135	+135	Up	+$3	01-20 11:01
bitcoin up or down january 19 4am et	24	$265	267	267	+0	Down	+$3	01-19 09:19
bitcoin up or down january 21 6am et	15	$259	260	260	+0	Down	+$4	01-21 11:19
bitcoin up or down january 20 3am et	11	$258	260	130	+130	Down	+$1	01-20 09:01
bitcoin up or down january 21 7pm et	11	$258	271	131	+140	Up	-$10	01-22 00:28
bitcoin up or down january 20 11pm et	6	$257	260	130	+130	Up	+$2	01-21 05:03
bitcoin up or down january 21 7am et	5	$257	260	130	+130	Down	+$2	01-21 13:01
bitcoin up or down january 19 10pm et	9	$256	260	130	+130	Down	+$4	01-20 04:01
bitcoin up or down january 20 6pm et	6	$252	226	289	-63	Down	+$33	01-20 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 05:46:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd4f1cc…
08-12 04:01:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbd6aea…
08-12 00:45:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc01dd2…
08-12 00:45:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xb57cdc…
08-12 00:00:01	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcb444b…
08-11 10:03:18	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6e2a40…
08-11 07:15:06	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5a2d92…
08-11 03:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xdfa460…
08-11 03:38:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xba72f0…
08-11 03:38:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3ac90b…
08-11 03:17:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xadb11e…
08-11 03:15:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x2f3793…
08-11 03:15:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd52310…
08-11 00:59:03	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4586e0…
07-31 02:54:45	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x37a558…
07-31 02:54:03	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6a9b98…
07-31 02:53:17	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	62	46¢	$29	0x0725b5…
07-31 02:52:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9bead3…
07-31 02:52:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x49e47f…
07-31 02:51:15	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x0a19b7…
07-31 02:44:17	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x611e4c…
07-31 02:39:48	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xc697b8…
07-31 02:39:14	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbd4807…
07-31 02:37:50	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	49	46¢	$22	0x2107cb…
07-31 01:59:35	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	111	46¢	$51	0xfbfd6d…
07-31 01:59:35	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x0dbe61…
07-31 01:59:24	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	49	46¢	$23	0x5cff85…
07-30 13:13:03	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x0463cd…
07-30 12:55:44	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9d9b82…
07-30 12:55:39	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x955644…
07-30 12:55:36	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x45f39f…
07-30 12:54:36	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x9177ee…
07-30 12:53:02	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x19fd38…
07-30 12:52:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xea8c21…
07-30 12:49:38	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6235b6…
07-30 12:49:38	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x40645f…
07-30 12:47:50	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	98	45¢	$44	0x174560…
07-30 11:56:09	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xc59f64…
07-30 11:56:09	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xaffdc4…
07-30 11:55:59	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x36b705…
07-30 11:55:59	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1dd6a8…
07-30 11:55:57	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xbdc069…
07-30 11:55:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	120	45¢	$54	0x73ed95…
07-30 11:55:18	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac11a1…
07-30 11:54:59	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xc99e69…
07-30 10:57:02	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0xcb4fbf…
07-30 10:56:29	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x73263c…
07-30 10:52:57	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	98	49¢	$48	0x6a99fd…
07-30 10:50:21	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xa03858…
07-30 09:09:23	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	256	49¢	$125	0x410fd8…
07-30 08:05:48	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4c9cbd…
07-30 08:05:48	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x3320ce…
07-30 08:05:48	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2ea117…
07-30 08:05:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb7db6…
07-30 08:05:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xdc09fe…
07-30 08:05:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc06427…
07-30 08:05:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x60ec3a…
07-30 08:05:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x5b57c2…
07-30 08:05:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x545e0e…
07-30 08:05:21	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0b3eab…
07-30 08:03:00	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xf7051d…
07-30 08:02:59	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xf61556…
07-30 08:02:57	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x03c647…
07-30 06:01:08	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0xe90b09…
07-30 05:52:56	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	78	49¢	$38	0xbb1e8f…
07-30 04:59:35	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	129	46¢	$59	0xcd86b8…
07-30 04:59:35	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	71	46¢	$33	0xabed9a…
07-30 03:01:57	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	134	50¢	$67	0x25f9e4…
07-30 03:01:56	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x8ce3b1…
07-30 03:01:56	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0x1a2e08…
07-27 23:00:19	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x89b97a…
07-27 22:45:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa6bccb…
07-27 22:45:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x987920…
07-11 23:00:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa69c13…
06-22 03:26:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xa54cea…
06-22 03:26:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x67cdec…
06-22 01:52:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8e23f1…
06-22 01:28:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x322f83…
06-22 00:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xcf51c8…
06-22 00:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x28c444…
06-21 23:37:47	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xac22b7…
06-21 23:33:34	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xdf856c…
06-21 23:18:50	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xdd532b…
06-21 23:05:13	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x581fb0…
06-21 23:00:10	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xced969…
06-15 01:32:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x669816…
06-15 01:31:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xb469ab…
06-11 05:10:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcfd632…
06-10 22:47:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x91c847…
06-10 22:39:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xc04771…
06-10 22:32:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x790b7e…
06-10 22:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xec7471…
06-10 22:01:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xd1fdfe…
06-10 21:56:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6e5f60…
06-09 05:45:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xb1f4bc…
06-09 05:43:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xf159d7…
06-09 00:45:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xbb4d87…
06-09 00:45:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x810fda…
06-09 00:36:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xaa3f0d…
06-08 23:50:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x245c74…