Realized P&L
-$301
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
939
Trades
1,762
lifetime
Volume
$12.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$57
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-29 04:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Other
91% 75% -$172
Crypto
3% 76% -$21
Sports
3% 28% -$97
Politics
2% 87% -$12
Tech
1% 75% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $25 90¢ $24 -$1 10-18 02:07
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 68¢ $4 -$1 10-18 04:03
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-28 15:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 $0 10-29 04:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-29 10:35
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-28 16:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-29 10:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 10-28 22:38
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 10-25 23:52
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 10-27 17:39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 10-26 23:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-27 17:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-26 03:52
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-28 07:39
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 10-26 03:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-26 03:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 10-27 17:37
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? Yes +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 10-15 12:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +1 $1 36¢ $0 -$1 10-28 08:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 24¢ $0 -$1 10-27 04:28
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 Yes +3 $2 7¢ $0 -$2 10-21 10:46