Insubstantial-Cruelty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$502

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-15 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 55% $-18

Other

15% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	10	$35	33	33	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$22	50	19	+31	Down	$-0	05-08 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	11	$15	19	14	+5	Up	+$1	05-13 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	8	$12	20	9	+11	Down	+$0	05-13 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$12	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$12	34	7	+27	Up	$-4	05-08 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$12	12	11	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	7	$11	21	16	+5	open	—	05-14 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$11	23	6	+17	Down	$-4	05-08 16:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	9	$10	13	10	+3	Down	+$0	05-08 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$10	8	6	+3	open	—	05-14 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$9	107	7	+100	Down	+$1	05-13 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$7	8	4	+4	open	—	05-14 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	Up	$-6	05-08 17:00
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	2	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	03-10 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-08 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$5	7	2	+5	open	—	05-15 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$4	55	2	+53	Down	$-2	05-13 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x395ba0…
05-15 15:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xcf4e6b…
05-15 15:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xd071c8…
05-15 15:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeef513…
05-15 15:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x5e7566…
05-15 15:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3840c6…
05-14 21:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xa89ea4…
05-14 21:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xed4aec…
05-14 21:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0xe55c93…
05-14 21:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5891d3…
05-14 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x4d1866…
05-14 21:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x77752e…
05-14 21:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3d629e…
05-14 21:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x139833…
05-14 21:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x183a2e…
05-14 21:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f717c…
05-14 21:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb5b595…
05-14 21:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc4855d…
05-14 21:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0066ea…
05-14 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe80904…
05-14 21:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x46c2bb…
05-14 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x075d44…
05-14 20:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x2f0255…
05-14 20:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe088e3…
05-14 20:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x449313…
05-14 20:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xfdacf8…
05-14 20:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa02e5b…
05-14 20:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x88a0ad…
05-14 19:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa1c3f9…
05-14 19:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2a10a4…
05-14 19:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1c8357…
05-14 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x14ed29…
05-14 19:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x5da4e3…
05-14 14:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf408f3…
05-14 14:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xc44a4d…
05-14 14:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe0c0b1…
05-14 14:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xdc0190…
05-14 14:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x791d42…
05-14 14:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x5d8645…
05-14 14:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0dc72f…
05-14 14:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5a8d0c…
05-14 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x25a44c…
05-14 14:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa307df…
05-14 14:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7e6971…
05-14 14:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5659f6…
05-14 14:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9d561f…
05-14 14:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcda741…
05-14 13:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd6781b…
05-14 13:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x76acbb…
05-14 13:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa944f7…
05-14 13:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x43d3d0…
05-14 13:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xe42c95…
05-14 13:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xee5e96…
05-14 13:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x6aad6d…
05-14 13:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfb8258…
05-14 13:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x88025e…
05-14 13:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x92adfd…
05-14 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x9416b1…
05-14 13:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xea7f64…
05-14 13:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbfe621…
05-14 13:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x9fcfa0…
05-14 13:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x7b4b3e…
05-14 13:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x71517e…
05-14 12:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x8bbc9d…
05-14 12:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa697e0…
05-14 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf24ca6…
05-14 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x7e975c…
05-14 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc18a2b…
05-14 12:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xee866d…
05-14 12:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xb559b9…
05-14 12:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x1dc51e…
05-14 12:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe0bad4…
05-14 12:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xa7e871…
05-14 12:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x45b569…
05-14 12:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x45491c…
05-14 12:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf6dc18…
05-14 12:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc69d0d…
05-14 12:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x4421ad…
05-14 12:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xa9e520…
05-14 12:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x97ac7a…
05-14 12:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x23ba38…
05-14 12:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3bc878…
05-14 12:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6b85a1…
05-14 12:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xfacb71…
05-14 12:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2c89e2…
05-14 12:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7ed056…
05-14 12:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x5358a3…
05-14 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x92a452…
05-14 01:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x794e75…
05-14 00:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x2eb77f…
05-14 00:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x66efc6…
05-14 00:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a3549…
05-14 00:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x80b85d…
05-14 00:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xa0eeca…
05-14 00:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf96d34…
05-13 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4057bc…
05-13 23:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xda0c80…
05-13 23:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x59a93d…
05-13 23:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x566a4f…
05-13 23:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0dc66f…