Nervous-Blight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

182

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$8.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-03 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$69

Other

0% 57% +$9

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$823	427	427	+0	Up	+$23	10-29 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$726	435	435	+0	Up	+$126	10-30 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$677	391	391	+0	Down	+$97	10-29 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$666	370	370	+0	Up	+$66	10-29 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$630	338	338	+0	Up	+$30	10-30 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$600	973	0	+973	Up	-$600	10-30 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$422	224	224	+0	Down	+$22	10-28 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$300	307	0	+307	Up	+$7	10-30 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$300	364	0	+364	Down	+$64	10-29 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$290	322	0	+322	Down	+$32	10-29 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$212	145	145	+0	Up	+$32	10-28 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$200	241	0	+241	Down	+$41	10-28 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$145	80	80	+0	Down	+$9	11-01 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$141	82	82	+0	Down	+$21	10-28 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$139	208	0	+208	Up	+$68	10-28 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$135	72	72	+0	Down	+$7	11-01 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$135	70	70	+0	Up	+$3	11-01 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$133	68	68	+0	Up	+$1	11-01 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$122	69	69	+0	Down	+$14	11-01 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$117	68	68	+0	Up	+$17	11-01 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$95	52	52	+0	Up	+$7	11-01 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$94	73	73	+0	Up	+$34	10-28 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$89	142	0	+142	Down	+$53	10-28 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$82	46	46	+0	Down	+$8	11-01 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$76	100	0	+100	Down	-$76	11-01 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$68	38	38	+0	Down	+$8	10-28 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$66	40	40	+0	Up	+$10	11-02 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$65	38	38	+0	Up	+$11	11-01 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$52	29	29	+0	Up	+$4	11-01 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$49	43	43	+0	Down	+$13	11-02 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 12:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x036018…
11-03 11:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xd815e0…
11-03 11:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xc7749e…
11-03 11:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x920e84…
11-02 14:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x6a1f0f…
11-02 14:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa29074…
11-02 14:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0x026017…
11-02 14:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x391fff…
11-02 14:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x536444…
11-02 13:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	43	73¢	$31	0xee2185…
11-02 13:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xc94652…
11-02 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x435558…
11-02 13:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x9ab650…
11-02 13:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x6b8cf2…
11-02 13:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x0ef2d7…
11-02 13:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x8addff…
11-02 13:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xc6263d…
11-02 13:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x231e2d…
11-02 13:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x83d285…
11-02 12:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	72	8¢	$6	0xf6098a…
11-02 12:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	72	41¢	$30	0x772c34…
11-02 12:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xfa3a92…
11-01 20:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	94	18¢	$17	0x484364…
11-01 20:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x94b9d5…
11-01 19:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x046944…
11-01 19:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x978467…
11-01 19:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xf8c9e5…
11-01 18:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x65e067…
11-01 18:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0x9618bd…
11-01 18:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0xbe1fbd…
11-01 18:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xb68166…
11-01 18:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x587134…
11-01 18:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x2e0c6f…
11-01 18:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x9e0f44…
11-01 18:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x949a7e…
11-01 18:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	69	79¢	$54	0x1a23be…
11-01 11:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x857903…
11-01 11:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0x885090…
11-01 10:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	68	98¢	$67	0x755466…
11-01 10:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x7cc20f…
11-01 10:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x67b707…
11-01 10:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	52	84¢	$44	0x29a2ab…
11-01 10:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x9cec64…
11-01 10:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0x30d556…
11-01 09:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x4b48b6…
11-01 09:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	71¢	$27	0x796c56…
11-01 08:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x3006fa…
11-01 08:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x91d58f…
11-01 07:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xac95a7…
11-01 07:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0xab8d9b…
11-01 07:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xc68820…
11-01 07:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0xea31f5…
11-01 07:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5f5ff7…
10-31 13:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x6a43c4…
10-30 22:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	89	43¢	$39	0xeef3cd…
10-30 22:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x5c07ee…
10-30 22:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0x9464ad…
10-30 22:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	973	62¢	$600	0x89695f…
10-30 17:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	435	98¢	$426	0x6178c2…
10-30 17:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0x4521fc…
10-30 17:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	338	98¢	$330	0x0f46c9…
10-30 17:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	338	89¢	$300	0x698c76…
10-30 11:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	307	98¢	$300	0x03306f…
10-29 17:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	370	99¢	$366	0x971541…
10-29 17:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0x62ae4d…
10-29 17:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	364	82¢	$300	0xf12d53…
10-29 09:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	427	99¢	$423	0x3b85a0…
10-29 09:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	427	94¢	$400	0xa75e6b…
10-29 07:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	391	99¢	$387	0xd404e3…
10-29 07:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	391	74¢	$290	0xd3dea1…
10-29 07:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	322	90¢	$290	0x5c7e7f…
10-28 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	145	84¢	$122	0x401107…
10-28 16:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0xc1dfb8…
10-28 15:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xe49d56…
10-28 15:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	224	99¢	$222	0x7cdd06…
10-28 15:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0xb8721c…
10-28 15:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	208	67¢	$139	0x77e069…
10-28 15:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	142	63¢	$89	0x5069cc…
10-28 15:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x197060…
10-28 15:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0xdf0b01…
10-28 09:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xc5e3e3…
10-28 09:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x8db362…
10-28 09:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	73	87¢	$64	0xdd4095…
10-28 09:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x2c3047…
10-27 20:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x9e7632…
10-27 20:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb5372a…
10-27 19:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4b130e…
09-25 07:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xb19aeb…
09-25 07:47:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa8ab3c…
09-25 07:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdaacea…
09-25 07:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x7925e5…
09-25 07:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xff84bf…
09-25 07:16:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x259dbb…
09-25 07:16:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8c78ae…
09-25 06:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x866746…
09-25 06:53:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe71d7d…
09-25 06:49:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe6ff14…
09-25 06:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xefcf8f…
09-25 06:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x4be3a4…
09-25 06:45:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7547f7…