Grimy-Shift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 08-06 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

98% — —

Other

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba tor por 2026 01 23	1	$2.7K	4,844	0	+4,844	open	—	01-23 18:14
nhl nsh buf 2026 03 07	3	$867	2,407	0	+2,407	open	—	03-07 14:55
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$18	8,840	8,840	+0	open	—	03-25 18:39
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$6	3,228	3,228	+0	open	—	04-01 13:13
GTA VI released before June 2026?	3	$4	3	1	+1	open	—	05-21 14:19
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	07-16 14:10
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 14:38
US military draft authorized in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 14:05
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-16 14:10
US x China Military clash before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 14:05
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 14:05
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 14:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 14:05
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 14:39
will crime 101 opening weekend box office be less than 14m	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-15 10:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-21 14:14
highest temperature in nyc on february 15 2026 34 35f	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-15 10:17
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-23 17:20
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-23 17:20
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-21 14:29
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-08 17:16
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-08 17:14
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-08 17:12
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-08 17:18
highest temperature in dallas on february 15 2026 60 61f	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-15 10:16
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-07 21:47
will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-15 10:16
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-23 17:20
highest temperature in london on january 23 9c	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-23 17:21
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-07 09:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 14:05:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x91d5bc…
08-06 14:05:36	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbe9d6c…
08-06 14:05:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6856d3…
08-06 14:05:24	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7a70a3…
07-16 14:10:40	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcbec46…
07-16 14:10:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2808da…
07-12 19:10:23	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41d0be…
07-12 19:09:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa15093…
07-12 19:09:31	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd43675…
07-12 19:09:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1ef7db…
07-12 19:08:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbb86af…
07-12 19:08:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe3f7b9…
06-07 21:47:34	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x54e55f…
06-07 21:47:28	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4c216c…
05-21 14:29:30	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x35a96b…
05-21 14:28:01	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x494bd8…
05-21 14:19:46	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8db49b…
05-21 14:14:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x585d70…
04-08 17:18:17	will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x492132…
04-08 17:16:31	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbd6ab1…
04-08 17:14:27	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x283011…
04-08 17:13:59	will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe81f81…
04-08 17:12:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x11f8d8…
04-01 13:13:29	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3,228	0¢	$3	0x16dce8…
03-25 18:39:05	Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	8,840	0¢	$9	0xa320d9…
03-24 15:52:19	Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	8,840	0¢	$9	0x70c9d1…
03-24 15:51:05	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	3,228	0¢	$3	0x5b3b38…
03-24 14:39:47	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd505f9…
03-24 14:39:39	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4181fb…
03-24 14:39:29	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x14716e…
03-24 14:38:51	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4627c6…
03-07 14:55:33	nhl nsh buf 2026 03 07	Predators	BUY	1,910	36¢	$688	0xcf485c…
03-07 14:27:43	nhl nsh buf 2026 03 07	Predators	BUY	90	36¢	$32	0xff3480…
03-07 14:27:43	nhl nsh buf 2026 03 07	Predators	BUY	408	36¢	$147	0xa3617e…
03-07 10:02:03	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6124c3…
03-07 10:01:27	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37b09a…
03-07 10:01:19	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd6bce…
03-07 10:00:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcc01f9…
03-07 09:59:39	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1e1153…
03-07 09:59:17	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0eccb3…
03-07 09:59:05	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdddd20…
03-07 09:58:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x737954…
02-15 10:17:29	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa2373f…
02-15 10:17:09	highest temperature in nyc on february 15 2026 34 35f	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6c4ea4…
02-15 10:16:59	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 0 39	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc6c75d…
02-15 10:16:45	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be less than 14m	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x902cc2…
02-15 10:16:35	will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb108ef…
02-15 10:16:23	highest temperature in dallas on february 15 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc7816b…
02-15 10:16:07	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1dcca4…
01-26 12:20:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe97ff9…
01-23 18:14:16	nba tor por 2026 01 23	Raptors	BUY	4,844	56¢	$2,713	0xbc10df…
01-23 17:21:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c07da…
01-23 17:21:06	highest temperature in london on january 23 9c	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50f3b6…
01-23 17:20:58	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96af96…
01-23 17:20:48	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x007abf…
01-23 17:20:24	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5514af…