Trifling-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

1,264

Trades

2,365

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-01 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 78% -$92

Other

21% 61% -$107

Sports

0% 50% +$39

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	10-29 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	10-28 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	10-29 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	10-28 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	10-28 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$42	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	10-28 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	10-29 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	10-29 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	10-28 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	10-29 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 4?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	08-04 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$37	21	21	+0	Down	+$5	10-28 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 3?	6	$37	21	21	+0	No	-$4	08-02 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	10-28 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	10-28 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$29	25	25	+0	Up	-$17	10-28 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$27	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	10-28 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$25	22	22	+0	Up	-$14	10-29 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$25	23	23	+0	Down	-$15	10-28 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	2	$24	42	42	+0	No	+$6	08-20 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 15?	5	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$1	08-15 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 12?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	08-12 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	6	$23	14	14	+0	Down	-$3	10-29 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 14?	5	$23	17	13	+4	No	$0	08-14 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 7?	3	$23	22	11	+11	No	-$2	08-07 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 20?	2	$22	13	12	+0	No	+$2	08-20 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	10-28 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	10-28 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	10-28 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	10-28 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x304e7b…
11-01 09:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x923c85…
11-01 09:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x43c8ea…
11-01 09:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2272f9…
11-01 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1a957c…
11-01 08:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x452db4…
11-01 08:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3486c0…
11-01 08:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x73ab1f…
11-01 08:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xa0342f…
11-01 08:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xee9709…
11-01 08:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x691f98…
11-01 08:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe58ccc…
11-01 08:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xddff45…
11-01 08:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5834f2…
11-01 07:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00ed56…
11-01 07:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x5951be…
11-01 07:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0e064a…
11-01 07:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe19527…
11-01 07:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xec1e3f…
11-01 07:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa857a0…
11-01 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaca07f…
11-01 07:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x99e9cf…
11-01 07:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xefa45b…
11-01 07:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0796fc…
11-01 07:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x035159…
11-01 07:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbb6ea0…
11-01 07:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5162fa…
11-01 07:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe6ad1c…
11-01 07:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc7a8a4…
11-01 04:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd60666…
11-01 04:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9471ac…
11-01 04:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c4251…
11-01 04:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0f06dd…
11-01 04:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb85e2f…
11-01 04:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1a3aec…
11-01 03:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7e802c…
11-01 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3c06e8…
11-01 03:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28c62f…
11-01 03:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc381ca…
11-01 03:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x00e8dd…
11-01 03:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd1f1ad…
11-01 03:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x6f3383…
11-01 03:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe3950f…
11-01 03:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc78f8f…
11-01 03:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb3a708…
11-01 03:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x6fc77b…
11-01 03:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe27c59…
11-01 02:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xac5f52…
11-01 02:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc03039…
11-01 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa3ba10…
11-01 02:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x91c000…
11-01 02:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xad554a…
11-01 02:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1efc26…
11-01 02:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf87b95…
11-01 02:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2d34ce…
11-01 02:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdcbe46…
11-01 02:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6c7998…
11-01 01:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdf46e5…
11-01 01:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6e2c9d…
11-01 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x985e2e…
11-01 01:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4c25f8…
11-01 01:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x13f889…
11-01 01:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd9be21…
11-01 01:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd30762…
11-01 01:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf2d1cc…
11-01 01:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4ef035…
11-01 01:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x378fce…
11-01 01:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x8c1cd3…
11-01 01:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x17d640…
11-01 01:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8a0f69…
11-01 01:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb1fef4…
11-01 01:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x92c6d3…
11-01 01:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x264774…
11-01 01:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1216a5…
11-01 01:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0d4565…
11-01 00:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x018a9f…
11-01 00:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa6543d…
11-01 00:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc2cd1b…
11-01 00:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x90463b…
11-01 00:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2ef85d…
11-01 00:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe25eab…
11-01 00:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x49d7cf…
11-01 00:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb9554a…
11-01 00:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xec3c55…
11-01 00:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf1ffc5…
11-01 00:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b1aa0…
11-01 00:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x948284…
11-01 00:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb1011d…
10-31 23:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x47fbfe…
10-31 23:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6bd767…
10-31 23:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x056d25…
10-31 23:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6667b5…
10-31 23:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x88f6a3…
10-31 23:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xc5f3aa…
10-31 23:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x86112e…
10-31 23:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd01299…
10-31 23:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf90a25…
10-31 23:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb0ead6…
10-31 23:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7c37fb…
10-31 23:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x8cec94…