Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$3.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 02-18 10:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

48% 50% +$53

Crypto

38% 74% +$18

Other

14% 64% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$316	194	194	+0	Yes	-$13	02-18 10:43
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	7	$307	181	181	+0	Yes	+$30	02-17 09:51
bitcoin up or down on february 14	4	$264	269	269	+0	Up	-$11	02-14 14:07
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	10	$237	202	202	+0	Yes	+$28	02-06 08:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 10:50 UTC	2	$223	115	115	+0	Up	+$3	02-18 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 16:40 UTC	3	$222	138	136	+2	Up	+$50	02-14 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:35 UTC	2	$213	108	108	+0	Up	+$1	02-14 14:40
will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	5	$180	105	105	+0	No	+$0	02-18 10:43
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	13	$108	101	101	+0	No	+$6	02-11 13:32
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	3	$101	53	71	-18	No	+$4	02-18 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:15 UTC	3	$91	52	52	+0	Up	+$11	02-14 14:20
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	3	$83	56	56	+0	No	+$3	02-08 13:31
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	3	$74	44	44	+0	No	+$9	01-21 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:20 UTC	5	$68	38	37	+0	Up	+$6	02-14 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:45 UTC	3	$68	39	38	+0	Down	+$8	02-14 12:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$67	41	41	+0	Yes	-$2	02-18 10:43
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	5	$61	425	50	+375	Yes	-$5	02-06 20:14
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	5	$52	29	29	+0	No	+$2	02-15 05:58
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	3	$50	30	30	+0	Yes	-$2	02-11 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:15 UTC	6	$47	31	30	+0	Down	+$5	02-14 12:20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$46	29	29	+0	Yes	-$4	02-18 10:43
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	2	$45	58	58	+0	No	+$5	02-04 14:57
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	02-18 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:50 UTC	2	$42	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	02-14 12:54
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	5	$42	49	49	+0	No	-$1	01-15 16:57
will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	2	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	02-18 10:42
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	2	$40	29	29	+0	No	$0	02-06 09:42
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	4	$39	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	02-18 10:43
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$38	34	34	+0	Yes	-$4	02-18 10:43
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	2	$32	19	19	+0	Yes	+$6	02-08 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-18 10:55:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	115	99¢	$113	0x74795e…
02-18 10:54:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0x6df868…
02-18 10:44:06	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x74a892…
02-18 10:44:04	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x2ce4f0…
02-18 10:43:54	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x188603…
02-18 10:43:52	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x2b7844…
02-18 10:43:46	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x420997…
02-18 10:43:42	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0xb773e0…
02-18 10:43:36	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	52¢	$17	0x448086…
02-18 10:43:32	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	29	73¢	$21	0x380ec5…
02-18 10:43:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	41	79¢	$32	0xc41af6…
02-18 10:43:18	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	194	78¢	$152	0x66cc80…
02-18 10:43:10	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	No	SELL	94	86¢	$81	0x6cbb38…
02-18 10:43:06	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	SELL	71	87¢	$61	0xbfa80b…
02-18 10:43:02	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xdf1587…
02-18 10:42:58	will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x022e82…
02-18 10:42:56	will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 793	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x15c349…
02-18 10:42:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x6c2e62…
02-18 10:42:50	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x00b2d4…
02-18 10:42:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xfe9db8…
02-17 16:52:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0x306ad8…
02-17 16:52:21	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xb9b843…
02-17 16:52:15	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xcd362b…
02-17 16:49:53	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x1ce44a…
02-17 16:41:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0xbb5070…
02-17 16:40:31	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x6121f4…
02-17 11:46:29	khamenei public appearance by february 28 2026 321	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x80cddf…
02-17 09:53:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe6bea9…
02-17 09:51:37	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x9aecf6…
02-15 13:51:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1b5f8e…
02-15 10:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x772be2…
02-15 10:00:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6a5802…
02-15 09:56:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5c14b6…
02-15 09:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x54c691…
02-15 09:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x860a31…
02-15 09:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x5ef775…
02-15 09:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x836d94…
02-15 09:36:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2d59da…
02-15 09:35:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x15eebd…
02-15 09:32:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa514d1…
02-15 09:30:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5697f0…
02-15 09:28:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb698e1…
02-15 09:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf63aef…
02-15 09:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3c79c4…
02-15 09:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5b21a9…
02-15 09:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x14c40a…
02-15 09:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3da2a8…
02-15 09:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc44a2a…
02-15 09:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4de52f…
02-15 09:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5eccc9…
02-15 08:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x832c18…
02-15 08:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x97fbc6…
02-15 08:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe0c812…
02-15 08:48:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x295bcb…
02-15 08:47:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7c8b9e…
02-15 08:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x68634e…
02-15 08:44:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11c8e9…
02-15 08:40:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc4a866…
02-15 08:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x422bb4…
02-15 08:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe8a2d8…
02-15 08:35:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x268c0d…
02-15 08:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6028a6…
02-15 08:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe9bb10…
02-15 08:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4677e2…
02-15 08:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1eb00b…
02-15 07:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x952cd5…
02-15 07:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x36ab9a…
02-15 07:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb0cdbf…
02-15 06:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1c3b20…
02-15 06:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8fc829…
02-15 06:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3f671c…
02-15 06:54:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfc0ca8…
02-15 06:53:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x689404…
02-15 06:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x215a4c…
02-15 06:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd26d1b…
02-15 06:17:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfbf032…
02-15 06:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x339fbc…
02-15 06:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e2672…
02-15 06:14:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb643af…
02-15 06:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3bac4a…
02-15 06:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x610f73…
02-15 06:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc29d16…
02-15 06:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x81fbf4…
02-15 06:01:25	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7ecfb4…
02-15 05:58:51	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xe39894…
02-14 19:55:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaf8042…
02-14 19:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xf4fd3e…
02-14 19:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcc57b5…
02-14 18:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3393ee…
02-14 18:44:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfbb60a…
02-14 18:43:33	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x072bba…
02-14 18:39:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x04b448…
02-14 18:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb83030…
02-14 18:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x58680c…
02-14 18:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xddb274…
02-14 18:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x069e47…
02-14 18:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1259e5…
02-14 18:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1e2b4b…
02-14 18:14:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8e4246…
02-14 18:11:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x793448…