Arctic-People — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

3,015

Trades

3,446

lifetime

Volume

$9.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 08-04 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 87% -$63

Other

1% 59% +$12

Sports

0% 43% +$3

Politics

0% 33% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 01:15 UTC	3	$16	12	6	+6	Up	-$2	02-24 01:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 14:45 UTC	3	$16	12	6	+6	Down	-$1	02-26 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 12:30 UTC	3	$15	12	6	+6	Up	-$2	02-23 12:38
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	4	$15	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	08-04 03:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 01:30 UTC	3	$13	9	6	+3	Down	-$2	02-24 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 08:15 UTC	3	$13	9	6	+3	Down	-$2	02-26 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 05:15 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	$0	02-23 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 14:00 UTC	3	$11	9	6	+3	Up	-$3	02-26 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 07:00 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	$0	02-23 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 08:00 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	-$2	03-02 08:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 09:15 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	-$2	02-23 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 10:30 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	-$2	02-23 10:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 22:45 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	-$2	02-23 22:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:50 UTC	4	$10	8	8	+0	Down	-$6	03-23 21:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 13:15 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	-$2	03-02 13:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 02:15 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	-$2	03-09 02:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 17:15 UTC	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	-$2	03-02 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 01:00 UTC	3	$9	8	4	+4	Up	-$2	03-23 01:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 18:00 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	-$2	03-02 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 09:35 UTC	3	$9	8	4	+4	Up	-$2	03-23 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 09:20 UTC	3	$8	8	4	+4	Down	-$3	03-23 09:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 17:45 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	-$3	02-25 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 00:45 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	-$4	03-03 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:40 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	03-23 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 18:30 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	03-22 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 04:15 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	04-12 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 20:50 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	03-22 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:05 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	03-30 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 02:25 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	03-23 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:15 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-07 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 03:21:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x5f7c0b…
08-04 03:21:09	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x1192e4…
08-04 03:13:09	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf2770c…
08-03 03:56:14	lol ns t1 2026 08 03	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x717c23…
08-02 03:13:06	val lev1 nrg 2026 08 01	Leviatán Esports	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3e61fa…
08-01 03:15:15	cs2 tl1 atp1 2026 08 01	Liquid	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbdd5aa…
07-31 03:16:14	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5f6940…
07-30 04:46:11	val var dfm1 2026 07 30	VARREL	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x36a75a…
07-29 03:11:42	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x71d4ff…
07-28 21:46:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe5994a…
07-27 03:24:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x52cf53…
07-26 03:16:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdca706…
07-25 06:10:39	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xafb1c8…
07-24 03:39:18	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x52d2db…
07-24 03:25:36	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5bf8eb…
07-23 06:11:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd311dc…
07-22 06:10:06	wta brockma jacquem 2026 07 21	Tessa Brockmann	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x93baa0…
07-21 06:13:40	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x03ed87…
07-20 09:22:49	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7f7393…
07-19 03:10:52	cricmlc los was 2026 07 18	Los Angeles Knight Riders	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6f3c87…
07-18 03:09:57	mlb sf sea 2026 07 17	San Francisco Giants	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd20e9c…
07-17 03:32:21	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcea2d6…
07-16 03:19:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc6a8b9…
07-15 14:39:20	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf28b29…
07-14 03:17:08	atp vukic broady 2026 07 13	Aleksandar Vukic	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd31613…
07-13 03:11:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x2bb4a1…
07-12 03:37:52	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x86a0b4…
07-11 03:28:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xff3387…
07-10 06:09:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x79a3b2…
07-09 06:12:35	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x88075a…
07-08 05:29:07	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x69f376…
07-07 06:14:01	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd2f24c…
07-06 06:12:08	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x31450b…
07-05 06:09:44	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xeead07…
07-04 05:38:05	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc5bdc6…
07-03 06:10:46	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x5f7183…
07-02 03:28:49	atp jodar busta 2026 07 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x42a4c4…
07-01 06:12:55	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9ffa6e…
06-30 05:55:34	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0c3aa9…
06-29 09:45:53	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb06d17…
06-28 09:21:31	wta ruzic raducan 2026 06 29	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xddec67…
06-27 04:27:02	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe728b2…
06-26 03:18:20	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdb9814…
06-25 03:20:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xfc89a1…
06-24 06:12:19	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf99f77…
06-23 03:21:02	mlb atl sd 2026 06 22	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0xc98097…
06-22 06:11:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x39b85e…
06-21 04:56:41	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	FURIA	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x13a548…
06-20 03:14:29	mlb min ari 2026 06 19	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xac003a…
06-19 03:17:47	atp medjedo humbert 2026 06 17	Hamad Medjedovic	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x8602bb…
06-19 03:11:26	atp medjedo humbert 2026 06 17	Hamad Medjedovic	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf232fc…
06-18 04:07:56	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x22c3e2…
06-17 07:06:25	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x705c28…
06-16 11:49:57	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb87650…
06-13 04:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x47d236…
06-12 05:37:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x018535…
06-11 06:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb06b28…
06-10 07:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2f306c…
06-09 08:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x17d341…
06-08 08:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc2e8c5…
06-07 09:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x83cdd2…
06-06 10:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8d1566…
06-05 11:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa977f0…
06-04 12:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7e5522…
06-03 13:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa1d52e…
06-02 13:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x30e4c8…
06-01 14:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa08190…
05-31 15:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1b4a38…
05-31 08:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcd462d…
05-31 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5920f6…
05-30 09:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x056ee6…
05-29 08:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8cd52c…
05-28 09:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xfa0628…
05-27 10:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa70211…
05-26 11:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbbea1b…
05-25 12:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xde6271…
05-24 12:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd7c5d2…
05-23 13:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x748b3d…
05-22 12:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0cc67b…
05-21 13:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x88d80b…
05-20 14:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2441c5…
05-19 15:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x286b5b…
05-18 16:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xbabd74…
05-17 17:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbe155e…
05-17 11:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb391c3…
05-17 11:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x182de0…
05-17 11:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1caddc…
05-17 11:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x423636…
05-17 10:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe4d011…
05-17 10:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9a7714…
05-17 10:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x576811…
05-17 10:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf8693b…
05-17 10:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6949b0…
05-17 09:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5aa11f…
05-17 09:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4bd59c…
05-17 08:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8362a1…
05-17 07:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8f15fa…
05-17 07:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbf1ce4…
05-17 06:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x21eddc…
05-17 06:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8b1085…