Outgoing-Age — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$644

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

144

Trades

455

lifetime

Volume

$9.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-27 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

89% 80% +$482

Politics

8% 100% +$222

Crypto

3% 67% -$4

Sports

1% 0% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	26	$594	549	318	+231	open	—	10-24 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 27?	5	$532	339	339	+0	Yes	+$145	05-28 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 30?	21	$477	559	193	+366	Yes	-$88	05-30 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 2?	11	$364	381	0	+381	Yes	+$17	06-02 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 25?	6	$323	329	129	+200	Yes	+$24	05-25 12:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$279	306	0	+306	Yes	+$28	02-28 06:51
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$269	286	286	+0	Yes	+$103	02-28 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$260	131	131	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 28?	4	$239	247	0	+247	Yes	+$9	05-28 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 26?	4	$220	263	0	+263	Yes	+$43	05-26 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?	6	$215	252	0	+252	No	+$37	06-18 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 21?	10	$185	207	0	+207	No	+$22	06-21 11:41
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 3?	8	$183	189	0	+189	Yes	+$6	06-03 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 1?	7	$170	187	0	+187	No	+$17	06-01 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 27?	2	$160	84	84	+0	No	+$8	05-28 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 31?	3	$159	178	0	+178	No	+$19	05-31 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 5?	13	$131	168	117	+51	Yes	-$34	06-05 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 29?	8	$131	205	0	+205	Yes	+$74	05-29 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?	2	$131	187	0	+187	No	+$56	06-19 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 1?	9	$130	148	16	+132	Yes	+$11	06-01 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 16?	4	$124	130	0	+130	Yes	+$6	06-16 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?	9	$121	154	0	+154	Yes	+$33	06-13 13:42
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$120	133	133	+0	Yes	+$64	02-28 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on June 20?	4	$111	115	0	+115	No	+$4	06-20 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 2?	3	$111	123	0	+123	No	+$12	06-02 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 1?	3	$110	137	0	+137	No	+$27	06-01 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 14?	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	06-14 12:17
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?	7	$109	126	0	+126	No	+$17	06-19 10:43
will the south african reserve bank decrease the repo rate after the march meeting	2	$100	107	107	+0	No	-$94	03-04 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 22?	1	$100	116	0	+116	Yes	+$16	05-22 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:33:39	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xefd5b6…
10-27 11:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x0cfc7e…
10-27 08:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x10a152…
10-26 23:06:00	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x17f90a…
10-26 17:45:11	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbbc91b…
10-26 13:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7410a6…
10-26 13:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5dae95…
10-26 09:04:29	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x37bab8…
10-26 08:26:59	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xdd9aa1…
10-25 13:43:42	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x3c695d…
10-25 12:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x33dab4…
10-25 11:57:00	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xc801cf…
10-25 11:56:06	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xcc9f2d…
10-25 07:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8b0301…
10-24 15:58:14	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x27dc7d…
10-24 14:10:27	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x686cb6…
10-24 11:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa98d4e…
10-23 13:56:45	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x892cc3…
10-22 21:39:38	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x63d0c2…
10-22 14:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 22?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xf569b3…
10-22 14:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe26560…
10-22 13:59:11	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2c095a…
10-22 13:45:23	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0xc38265…
10-22 13:45:05	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xb9a5c6…
10-22 06:42:11	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x56d7ea…
10-22 06:41:14	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	60	16¢	$10	0x39f66a…
10-21 13:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f2956…
10-21 13:06:14	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x616993…
10-21 13:05:12	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x12d487…
10-21 12:53:51	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	85¢	$149	0xb69e7c…
10-21 12:42:05	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x8054a8…
10-21 12:39:33	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdd25b8…
10-21 10:08:32	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	80¢	$42	0xc98670…
10-21 10:06:38	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x63ac41…
10-21 08:02:14	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x0679ed…
10-21 07:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcd20f9…
10-21 07:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x063c09…
10-21 07:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x450f54…
10-20 14:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb872e1…
10-20 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x23492c…
10-20 13:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5b50a4…
10-20 13:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1965d3…
10-20 12:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc3486e…
10-20 12:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2da871…
10-20 09:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x279a15…
10-20 08:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x860c73…
10-20 08:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4a1309…
10-20 08:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8cade1…
10-19 13:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 19?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xeb2c7c…
10-19 13:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4724cd…
10-19 13:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x318cbe…
10-19 11:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x2748dd…
10-19 11:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x071ac2…
10-19 11:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x7b9e78…
10-19 11:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x2af5cd…
10-19 09:29:08	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa8ee38…
10-19 09:29:02	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x56a995…
10-19 09:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x021d3f…
10-19 08:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb7cdc8…
10-19 08:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc4778f…
10-19 08:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x87a3c9…
10-19 08:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa84365…
10-16 12:23:34	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xdd7980…
10-16 12:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xfba644…
10-16 12:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb9ad41…
10-16 11:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x89eda7…
10-16 07:52:52	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0xe6453e…
10-16 07:41:16	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x438775…
10-15 12:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xb75420…
10-15 12:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc0deeb…
10-15 12:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 15?	No	SELL	41	1¢	$1	0xc0eb55…
10-15 12:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4,622	0¢	$6	0xeb5382…
10-15 12:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0x82f33e…
10-14 13:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x7cc4d0…
10-14 13:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb9b6ee…
10-14 12:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xe39af3…
10-14 12:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7e2c0c…
10-14 12:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3bee9d…
10-14 12:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x1ad5c2…
10-14 12:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xa6129f…
10-14 11:16:10	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x852efb…
10-14 09:04:20	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x7a3080…
10-12 20:12:11	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x56588c…
10-12 19:41:12	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0xb4f1e5…
10-12 19:41:02	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xc2f7d3…
10-12 19:38:59	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd1fbe1…
10-12 19:38:33	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x19a161…
10-12 11:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd42c10…
10-12 10:38:06	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xa754b7…
10-12 10:38:06	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x51bdae…
10-12 10:37:50	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xff97f0…
10-12 10:36:42	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x639ad2…
10-12 10:36:17	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x8d87e5…
10-12 10:35:47	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0739ed…
10-11 19:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x028f4e…
10-11 11:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x42c3f0…
10-10 12:45:48	Will Stormers win?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xd2c58a…
10-10 10:20:39	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0xeb3e3b…
10-09 12:30:49	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xcf7f68…
10-09 12:30:49	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x69695d…