Compassionate-Popcorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

403

Trades

635

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-31 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

63% 49% +$84

Crypto

34% 51% -$19

Sports

3% 67% +$4

Politics

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	7	$256	160	160	+0	Yes	+$54	02-13 02:55
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$231	130	130	+0	No	+$28	01-29 20:50
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$224	124	124	+0	No	+$24	02-07 19:12
crint ita wst 2026 02 19	5	$220	120	120	+0	West Indies	+$16	02-19 08:36
crint ind nld 2026 02 18	2	$217	115	115	+0	India	+$12	02-18 16:28
crint zwe zaf 2026 03 01	2	$171	87	87	+0	South Africa	+$3	03-01 13:18
crint ind wst 2026 03 01	2	$116	70	70	+0	India	+$12	03-01 17:12
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$109	72	72	+0	No	+$35	02-07 19:12
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	8	$105	334	250	+84	No	+$6	05-06 18:54
crint zaf pak 2026 02 22	1	$97	100	0	+100	South Africa	+$3	02-22 16:13
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals	6	$90	70	70	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$34	05-24 17:32
crint ind nzl 2026 01 23	4	$89	66	66	+0	India	+$42	01-23 16:37
crint nzl zaf 2026 02 14	4	$86	200	50	+150	South Africa	-$36	02-14 15:31
cricipl del guj 2026 04 08	6	$85	94	88	+6	Gujarat Titans	+$17	04-08 18:02
crint can nzl 2026 02 17	1	$80	0	80	-80	New Zealand	$0	02-17 09:21
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	4	$75	69	69	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$29	05-01 17:12
crint aus zwe 2026 02 13	3	$65	103	0	+103	Zimbabwe	-$65	02-13 07:51
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	3	$65	251	251	+0	Pakistan	+$5	02-28 15:15
crint lka gbr 2026 02 22	6	$59	100	50	+50	England	+$26	02-22 12:02
crint ind zaf 2026 02 22	5	$54	80	30	+50	South Africa	-$27	02-22 15:52
crint gbr pak 2026 02 24	2	$50	86	0	+86	England	+$36	02-24 14:32
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	6	$46	260	0	+260	Yes	-$46	02-19 19:06
cricipl del mum 2026 04 04	3	$42	55	55	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$6	04-04 12:16
crint gbr wst 2026 02 11	3	$42	50	50	+0	West Indies	+$20	02-11 16:47
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	4	$42	75	50	+25	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$2	05-10 16:35
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	6	$39	56	41	+15	Lucknow Super Giants	+$5	05-07 18:16
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians	3	$39	84	24	+60	Mumbai Indians	+$0	04-20 16:33
cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	3	$39	30	29	+1	Punjab Kings	+$18	04-03 17:36
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$39	150	0	+150	Yes	-$39	01-29 09:01
crint wst lka 2026 02 22	4	$38	30	30	+0	Sri Lanka	+$12	02-22 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x2ad69e…
10-31 21:55:06	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xf32839…
10-31 21:55:06	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x050fb1…
10-31 20:26:45	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf54608…
10-31 20:26:45	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x34ca3f…
10-31 18:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xcd3d6d…
10-31 18:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x173edc…
10-31 16:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xbf04b7…
10-31 16:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x4c1f2b…
10-31 16:41:18	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xc9fd7f…
10-31 16:41:18	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6cd46a…
10-31 13:10:00	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x69d853…
10-31 13:10:00	XRP Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x189d61…
10-31 10:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xf75891…
10-31 10:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x006707…
10-31 09:12:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x7f8585…
10-31 09:12:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x1925a1…
10-31 06:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x9701ac…
10-31 05:28:46	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd49164…
10-31 03:58:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x80a8df…
10-31 03:57:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0xc03131…
10-30 21:10:18	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xfefc53…
10-30 21:10:18	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xfc0b7b…
10-30 20:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x3c341e…
10-30 14:28:46	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x54f7b9…
10-30 14:27:09	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeb3db9…
10-30 12:27:25	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6f9386…
10-30 12:25:09	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x345c18…
10-30 10:57:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc02fcc…
10-30 10:57:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1c318d…
10-30 08:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2b7d5d…
10-30 08:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0a5f07…
10-29 22:26:09	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x38ca0b…
10-29 22:26:09	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1b80d0…
10-29 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd44282…
10-29 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc25dfc…
10-29 17:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdb5e92…
10-29 17:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x54e697…
10-29 16:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x225e5b…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x72379d…
10-27 04:25:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb10c96…
10-27 04:25:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2b2162…
10-27 04:12:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0xe61a23…
10-27 04:12:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1955a5…
10-26 22:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x97451c…
10-26 20:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x7a2d26…
10-26 20:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x5e6656…
10-26 20:27:32	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x68d6d3…
10-26 19:10:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x583e6d…
10-26 19:10:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x117a92…
10-26 12:03:17	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xde1ad0…
10-26 12:03:17	BNB Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xafd952…
10-26 09:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xb18226…
10-26 09:14:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x94a532…
10-26 02:58:02	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x18aa2a…
10-26 02:58:02	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x151ae3…
10-25 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xaa9aa2…
10-25 21:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xec187f…
10-25 18:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xd63e8d…
10-25 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x079abc…
10-25 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xbcabbf…
10-25 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xa886eb…
10-25 17:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xd57480…
10-25 17:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xa91b0e…
10-25 17:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc783c1…
10-25 17:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x616c4a…
10-25 14:13:29	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x3333f4…
10-25 09:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xdfb5d5…
10-25 04:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xc6d2a7…
10-25 04:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3b2165…
10-25 03:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa32590…
10-25 03:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x24f411…
10-24 20:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdda73d…
10-24 20:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xb4950a…
10-24 19:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb5fa1f…
10-24 19:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2c1136…
10-23 20:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0xfeff27…
10-23 20:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x78fd9b…
10-23 17:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x2d0c9a…
10-23 17:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x01931e…
10-23 17:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x093ea4…
10-23 17:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xaa1af4…
10-23 12:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xb5b3fc…
10-23 12:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x188d6e…
10-23 09:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x1fc834…
10-23 09:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x2b8b49…
10-23 06:41:00	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xe11569…
10-23 06:41:00	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$5	0x508612…
10-23 06:10:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xeb5528…
10-23 06:10:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x22054d…
10-23 05:58:03	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd7973d…
10-23 05:58:03	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xbb3bae…
10-22 22:12:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xe43f67…
10-22 22:12:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xe22bb7…
10-17 18:40:18	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xb773fd…
10-17 18:40:18	BNB Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x4b63ae…
10-17 14:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x92d02f…
10-17 14:11:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x13580e…
10-17 11:55:06	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x848006…
10-17 11:55:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2d1505…