Vigilant-Carbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

223

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$6.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-28 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Other

100% 96% +$4

Sports

0% 17% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	3	$75	60	30	+30	Yes	$0	03-09 07:50
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$0	03-11 03:30
highest temperature in lucknow on march 24 2026 38c	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	03-24 07:32
highest temperature in singapore on march 15 2026 30c	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	03-15 10:46
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 30corhigher	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	03-23 08:34
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 30corhigher	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	03-22 07:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 26c	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	03-21 09:13
highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 13c	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	03-14 13:05
highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 13c	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	03-18 10:16
highest temperature in singapore on march 17 2026 32c	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	03-17 09:56
highest temperature in wellington on march 16 2026 21c	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	03-16 07:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	03-19 09:31
highest temperature in beijing on march 20 2026 15c	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	03-20 09:49
highest temperature in ankara on march 13 2026 14c	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	03-13 14:11
highest temperature in munich on march 12 2026 12c	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	03-12 16:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 28?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	10-28 05:57
highest temperature in singapore on march 28 2026 35c	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-28 07:19
highest temperature in chengdu on april 2 2026 26c	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	04-02 08:47
highest temperature in taipei on march 27 2026 31corhigher	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-27 07:51
highest temperature in taipei on march 30 2026 33c	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-30 08:16
highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 32corhigher	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-29 07:59
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 1 2026 31corhigher	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	04-01 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 25?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	10-25 07:30
highest temperature in singapore on march 26 2026 35c	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-26 07:46
highest temperature in singapore on march 25 2026 35c	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-25 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	10-27 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 21?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	10-21 05:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 10 2026 19c	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	04-10 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 11?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	10-11 05:40
highest temperature in jakarta on april 6 2026 36corhigher	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	04-06 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2b0159…
10-27 07:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x881a55…
10-25 07:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb0e5de…
10-24 04:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 24?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x3d164c…
10-21 05:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 21?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf9a4d0…
10-18 06:43:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6690bd…
10-16 06:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9056f4…
10-13 07:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7ca59c…
10-12 06:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on October 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x46274d…
10-11 05:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 11?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x745f10…
10-10 05:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x571755…
10-08 04:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd94f37…
10-07 05:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd91437…
10-06 05:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe606bc…
10-05 05:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd5fa67…
10-04 07:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x51ec5d…
10-03 05:20:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 3?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7726a8…
10-02 04:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x707a71…
10-01 04:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on October 1?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7ed409…
09-30 05:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 30?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe3d82f…
09-29 06:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc57b54…
09-28 05:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x84af35…
09-27 05:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb633d3…
09-26 07:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 26?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x873b98…
09-24 04:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6ad7df…
09-23 04:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 23?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc91eb1…
09-22 06:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 22?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1a5563…
09-21 04:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 21?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe4fbf6…
09-20 05:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 20?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb9e6ab…
09-19 04:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x0c09c1…
09-18 06:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7fd1f0…
09-17 06:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 17?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xafe896…
09-16 06:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on September 16?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc0c73f…
09-15 05:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 15?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x177187…
09-14 06:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 14?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x79b7de…
09-13 06:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 13?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0a243b…
09-12 06:40:52	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on September 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x096e18…
09-12 06:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on September 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7e5f8…
09-11 06:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x225acc…
09-10 06:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x294801…
09-09 06:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x47e036…
09-08 05:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x69acaf…
09-07 06:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3f92af…
09-06 06:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x656e3c…
09-05 05:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2c77cd…
09-04 05:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5f72f6…
09-04 05:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf6f34b…
09-03 06:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9fef33…
09-02 05:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on September 2?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4243e6…
08-31 06:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 31?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x13bf84…
08-28 05:49:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x08c0d7…
08-27 05:31:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xbb436a…
08-25 06:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x494563…
08-23 05:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x43cbe6…
08-22 06:07:57	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x100a41…
08-22 06:07:45	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on August 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe7eaf4…
08-21 06:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xbf9b31…
08-14 05:20:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd6706b…
08-14 05:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x757cf9…
08-13 06:44:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x997acb…
08-12 05:33:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 12?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa8ab49…
08-07 07:00:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 7?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4e357d…
08-06 07:06:11	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 6?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7228a3…
08-04 06:23:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 4?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb996c2…
08-02 07:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3bb6d0…
08-01 07:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcbe89d…
07-31 06:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x582412…
07-30 05:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc732f4…
07-29 03:58:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on July 29?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8349a1…
07-28 05:56:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 28?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x90ec47…
07-27 04:44:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x36e1a8…
07-26 11:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd4363b…
07-23 06:30:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd8716f…
07-22 06:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf94413…
07-21 06:04:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6a481c…
07-20 04:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 20?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x04bc03…
07-19 05:09:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 19?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xea7b57…
07-18 05:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 18?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe99feb…
07-17 05:27:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 17?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7215b5…
07-16 04:33:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 16?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x68cebe…
07-15 04:25:14	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x57161b…
07-14 04:36:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x617268…
07-13 05:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3a9c8e…
07-12 07:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x87ebae…
07-11 04:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8fe307…
07-10 03:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x87e8d5…
07-09 06:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5e88a8…
07-08 05:15:05	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7278cb…
07-08 05:14:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on July 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8c5fb8…
07-07 04:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on July 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd0e083…
07-06 04:56:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfdf296…
07-05 05:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaa7ff3…
07-04 05:18:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf026b7…
07-03 04:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfe00ec…
07-02 05:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x215aa1…
07-01 05:04:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on July 1?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb386e4…
06-30 05:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0f2f10…
06-29 05:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on June 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9bebf0…
06-28 02:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x755be6…
06-27 01:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2402b9…