Harsh-Menu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$215

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

206

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-21 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 53% -$37

Other

10% 39% +$3

Sports

2% 0% -$182

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:40 UTC	3	$93	67	66	+1	Down	+$14	03-14 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:45 UTC	6	$38	63	47	+17	Down	-$2	03-16 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	5	$30	68	41	+28	Up	+$0	04-30 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:05 UTC	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	03-12 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:35 UTC	7	$28	33	30	+3	Up	-$3	03-17 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:45 UTC	5	$27	36	22	+15	Up	+$1	03-15 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:10 UTC	4	$27	21	20	+0	Up	+$3	03-17 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 09:35 UTC	3	$27	32	27	+4	Down	+$3	03-16 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 13:35 UTC	2	$26	21	21	+0	Up	+$15	03-11 13:40
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$26	0	194	-194	Yes	-$167	06-21 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:50 UTC	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	03-14 11:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:50 UTC	2	$25	16	15	+0	Up	+$5	03-16 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$24	22	22	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$23	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	04-30 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 11:20 UTC	4	$23	26	26	+0	Up	$0	03-17 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 09:00 UTC	3	$23	22	18	+4	Down	+$2	03-16 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$23	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:25 UTC	5	$23	127	27	+100	Up	+$1	03-16 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:40 UTC	2	$22	21	21	+0	Down	+$2	03-16 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$22	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	04-30 09:06
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$20	290	0	+290	No	-$20	03-20 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 13:30 UTC	2	$19	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	03-14 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	6	$19	22	21	+0	Up	+$3	03-17 11:34
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	2	$19	14	14	+0	Over	+$9	06-20 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:40 UTC	3	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$9	03-11 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 11:10 UTC	4	$18	18	17	+0	Down	+$3	03-15 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 16:10 UTC	2	$18	15	15	+0	Up	+$8	03-11 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:15 UTC	2	$18	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	03-11 15:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 14:45 UTC	3	$17	22	14	+8	Down	+$4	03-11 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:55 UTC	4	$17	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	03-16 13:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 08:15:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	194	14¢	$26	0x8fc74f…
06-20 19:10:46	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5881d8…
06-20 19:10:19	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2149f6…
06-20 11:30:59	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x240e13…
06-20 11:30:08	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x48fe66…
06-20 11:29:53	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0bd7b5…
06-20 11:28:50	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8918cb…
06-20 11:25:34	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfb1355…
06-19 07:40:10	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4b81e5…
06-19 07:39:40	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x89944c…
06-19 07:39:31	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xcabd86…
06-18 16:35:16	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd15df7…
05-08 11:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5f6e44…
05-08 11:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0xb904fd…
05-08 11:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8856aa…
05-06 17:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x478398…
05-06 13:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7cbc61…
05-06 13:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x7bb4f1…
05-06 13:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xafad5a…
05-06 13:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x230607…
05-06 13:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x9ba485…
05-06 13:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8eeaa2…
05-05 07:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x0f1f2c…
05-05 07:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe39282…
05-05 07:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x692668…
05-05 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9b11bb…
05-05 07:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0xcb8007…
05-05 07:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4417de…
05-05 07:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0xe122a0…
05-05 07:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x615019…
05-05 07:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x1d7f68…
05-05 07:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5766e6…
05-05 07:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xb6d7f6…
05-05 07:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2d8ca0…
05-05 07:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x8dd5d8…
05-05 07:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xafaf54…
04-30 10:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x70623f…
04-30 10:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa33e7a…
04-30 10:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0x6b9cbb…
04-30 10:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x929d52…
04-30 10:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xfec01e…
04-30 10:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9f02e2…
04-30 10:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x7e7a3d…
04-30 09:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x589ba8…
04-30 09:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe21fe9…
04-30 09:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x52df04…
04-30 09:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xec8489…
04-30 09:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x40a060…
04-30 09:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x86f763…
04-30 09:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf419f6…
04-30 09:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x85900c…
04-30 09:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfea90b…
04-30 07:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaf8b13…
04-30 07:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	61¢	$8	0x5bdff6…
04-30 07:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x39847b…
04-30 07:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x90882b…
04-30 07:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5da038…
04-30 07:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xade4b4…
04-29 11:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xf2579f…
04-08 10:41:25	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd25fd2…
04-08 10:41:05	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x723abb…
03-27 11:28:23	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xb65bcf…
03-27 11:27:17	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6abcbb…
03-20 12:54:31	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	290	7¢	$20	0x110187…
03-20 11:17:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb137d2…
03-20 11:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa07cf4…
03-20 11:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0ea32e…
03-20 11:15:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc867d3…
03-20 11:14:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xa460f5…
03-20 11:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xce7f66…
03-20 11:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x8de7a6…
03-20 11:12:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x474c35…
03-20 09:05:39	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb92e4a…
03-20 08:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe021d7…
03-20 08:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x23c1a7…
03-20 08:47:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x35f73a…
03-20 08:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xcc8f08…
03-20 08:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x30a11f…
03-20 08:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe1a7f7…
03-20 08:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x2da943…
03-20 08:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe25b71…
03-20 08:21:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0xb3a42a…
03-20 08:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6348a6…
03-20 08:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x181b74…
03-20 08:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x847f5c…
03-20 08:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x761b1f…
03-19 16:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x969348…
03-19 16:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1b7645…
03-19 16:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x50b03e…
03-19 16:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x61055e…
03-19 16:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1f9345…
03-19 13:17:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf6a4f2…
03-19 13:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfd5342…
03-19 13:12:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xda4f25…
03-19 13:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf7e396…
03-18 09:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x3eda00…
03-18 09:46:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb174b3…
03-18 09:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xb23493…
03-18 09:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x25e504…
03-18 09:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xbbcf49…