Serious-Hand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

829

lifetime

Volume

$5.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-16 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% +$3

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1772448300	6	$28	27	32	-5	open	—	03-02 10:52
eth updown 15m 1772443800	9	$25	30	30	+0	open	—	03-02 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	05-29 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	05-29 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-29 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-29 10:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 12:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 11:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 12:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 14:44
btc updown 15m 1772634600	2	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	03-04 14:31
eth updown 15m 1772456400	3	$19	16	9	+7	open	—	03-02 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 16:14
btc updown 15m 1772630100	1	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	03-04 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-29 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 14:59
eth updown 15m 1772462700	4	$19	22	11	+11	open	—	03-02 14:50
eth updown 15m 1772631000	4	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	03-04 13:43
eth updown 15m 1772636400	1	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	03-04 15:02
btc updown 15m 1772631000	1	$17	22	0	+22	open	—	03-04 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-30 20:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-30 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-30 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-28 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 13:37:07	btc updown 15m 1784208600	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc82e47…
07-16 13:23:04	eth updown 15m 1784207700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90904d…
07-16 13:23:04	btc updown 15m 1784207700	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x69bf4c…
07-16 13:10:31	btc updown 15m 1784206800	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xce363e…
07-16 12:53:22	btc updown 15m 1784205900	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5e68c3…
07-16 12:53:07	eth updown 15m 1784205900	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc152f8…
07-16 11:54:49	eth updown 15m 1784202300	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x85e31b…
07-16 11:23:59	btc updown 15m 1784200500	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe0c8c2…
07-16 11:07:26	btc updown 15m 1784199600	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x65e26e…
07-16 10:25:02	btc updown 15m 1784196900	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x520dbb…
07-16 10:08:50	btc updown 15m 1784196000	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xea34af…
07-16 10:08:28	eth updown 15m 1784196000	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3165b7…
07-16 08:37:05	btc updown 15m 1784190600	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a2296…
07-16 08:24:16	btc updown 15m 1784189700	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x72c903…
07-16 07:36:11	eth updown 15m 1784187000	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4f32e2…
07-16 07:36:10	btc updown 15m 1784187000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdfc512…
07-16 07:26:11	eth updown 15m 1784186100	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x50030b…
07-16 07:25:04	btc updown 15m 1784186100	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2aceeb…
07-16 01:53:01	eth updown 15m 1784166300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x667ebd…
07-16 01:36:37	eth updown 15m 1784165400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbe536e…
07-16 01:36:37	btc updown 15m 1784165400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7d17b2…
07-16 01:23:43	btc updown 15m 1784164500	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x59d2da…
07-16 01:10:29	btc updown 15m 1784163600	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x17ea4e…
07-16 00:53:01	btc updown 15m 1784162700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcdae38…
07-16 00:53:01	eth updown 15m 1784162700	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x54d839…
07-16 00:10:04	btc updown 15m 1784160000	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x560f57…
07-16 00:08:32	eth updown 15m 1784160000	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2d70c4…
07-15 23:53:01	eth updown 15m 1784159100	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xeaad0d…
07-15 23:53:01	btc updown 15m 1784159100	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0bb773…
07-15 23:26:43	btc updown 15m 1784157300	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x880883…
07-15 23:10:25	btc updown 15m 1784156400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x648854…
07-15 23:10:11	eth updown 15m 1784156400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5da4e3…
07-15 22:54:13	btc updown 15m 1784155500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xef5140…
07-15 22:26:32	btc updown 15m 1784153700	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x295332…
07-15 21:39:11	eth updown 15m 1784151000	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcdaea7…
07-15 20:25:04	btc updown 15m 1784146500	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc22c75…
07-15 20:23:14	eth updown 15m 1784146500	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x976158…
07-15 19:23:05	eth updown 15m 1784142900	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x78ae52…
07-15 19:23:05	btc updown 15m 1784142900	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0bc0ff…
07-15 19:10:35	btc updown 15m 1784142000	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x17c54d…
07-15 18:55:17	eth updown 15m 1784141100	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa32645…
07-15 18:26:16	btc updown 15m 1784139300	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3dc89e…
07-15 17:25:34	eth updown 15m 1784135700	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x105b6a…
07-15 16:53:55	eth updown 15m 1784133900	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0ba69d…
07-15 16:53:23	btc updown 15m 1784133900	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x50d9a4…
07-15 16:07:34	eth updown 15m 1784131200	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe5d077…
07-15 15:39:43	btc updown 15m 1784129400	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf62fe1…
06-01 19:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xfa0921…
06-01 19:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x09ab7b…
06-01 19:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9784fa…
06-01 19:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1dc29f…
06-01 19:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x5736ef…
06-01 18:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc9fdba…
06-01 18:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xc8d428…
06-01 18:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x451730…
06-01 17:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x1b8fc6…
06-01 17:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8865c4…
06-01 17:28:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xb98320…
06-01 17:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x2b2670…
06-01 16:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x1d74bb…
06-01 15:13:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xbe16bc…
06-01 14:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x17734b…
06-01 14:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8e0154…
06-01 14:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x818c5d…
06-01 14:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xda1413…
06-01 13:58:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xb8ac84…
06-01 13:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x80dbce…
06-01 12:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x35c77e…
06-01 12:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x86da66…
06-01 11:43:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x728d46…
06-01 11:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x903372…
06-01 11:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x6a4afe…
06-01 10:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x181f34…
06-01 10:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4a933c…
06-01 10:28:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x550481…
06-01 09:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0bd603…
06-01 09:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb81b98…
06-01 09:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec28d2…
06-01 09:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d56c9…
06-01 08:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ffd6e…
06-01 08:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2e7b36…
06-01 08:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c0dff…
06-01 07:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1c12fb…
06-01 07:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7ba718…
06-01 07:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfe6b2a…
06-01 07:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x90c94e…
06-01 03:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x112e70…
06-01 03:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1ca6fd…
06-01 01:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe824df…
06-01 00:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xe33e16…
05-31 22:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x62987c…
05-31 22:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9c805a…
05-31 22:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4f93a4…
05-31 21:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5824e0…
05-31 21:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x1333dc…
05-31 20:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xe83a55…
05-31 20:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x46981f…
05-31 19:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x5f15fb…
05-31 18:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x4c9e8c…
05-31 18:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x1bd362…