Evergreen-Opponent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$328

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-17

last 07-05 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 43% +$5

Politics

21% — —

Other

14% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes		-6	$-4	82¢	$-5	$-0	07-05 03:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773099300	1	$16	23	0	+23	open	—	03-09 23:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	02-28 09:16
btc updown 5m 1773099000	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	03-09 23:34
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	02-24 00:02
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-24 01:46
btc updown 5m 1780581600	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	06-04 14:01
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	02-28 11:04
btc updown 5m 1772275500	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	02-28 10:45
btc updown 5m 1773022800	1	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	03-09 02:20
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	02-28 12:14
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 24 2026 26c	1	$8	37	0	+37	open	—	02-24 01:53
btc updown 5m 1773098400	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	03-09 23:24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-26 19:07
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-03 14:07
btc updown 5m 1773097500	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	03-09 23:06
will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-28 09:15
will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-09 02:00
btc updown 5m 1776289500	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-15 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-12 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-13 02:09
Will Susan Altman be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-09 02:07
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-03 20:24
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-17 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 23:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-23 03:38
btc updown 5m 1772274600	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	02-28 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-23 03:24
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-26 19:08
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$4	0	6	-6	open	—	07-05 03:05
will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-26 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 03:05:34	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x90ce16…
06-04 14:28:13	btc updown 5m 1780583100	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xaf0be4…
06-04 14:01:51	btc updown 5m 1780581600	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x97d701…
06-04 03:04:34	btc updown 5m 1780542300	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x348ea6…
06-04 03:04:30	btc updown 5m 1780542300	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4a0e6f…
06-04 02:48:37	btc updown 5m 1780541100	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x44a978…
06-04 02:38:58	btc updown 5m 1780540500	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5476b7…
06-04 02:27:19	btc updown 5m 1780539900	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x47afd0…
06-04 02:20:37	btc updown 5m 1780539600	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x10f7ce…
06-02 09:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1bb4d2…
06-02 09:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x167ab0…
05-24 03:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0389e9…
05-24 01:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x91818a…
05-24 01:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd63e04…
05-24 00:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc5651a…
05-24 00:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xff236f…
05-23 03:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x447190…
05-23 03:38:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x345648…
05-23 03:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1808bd…
05-23 03:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xff5253…
05-23 03:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd68c04…
05-15 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xba85fa…
05-15 23:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6b41b0…
05-15 23:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x59f946…
05-15 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x541062…
05-15 22:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x715d4b…
05-15 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xeaf38f…
05-15 20:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf843fa…
05-13 02:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x929def…
05-13 01:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xaf70e0…
05-13 00:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdab9ca…
05-13 00:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8ffc96…
05-12 02:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4e5e0d…
05-12 02:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x731f3c…
05-11 23:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6ea8c4…
04-29 10:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfca29a…
04-29 10:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x01f003…
04-15 22:01:28	btc updown 5m 1776290400	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x387f4c…
04-15 21:47:18	btc updown 5m 1776289500	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x952cb8…
04-03 15:09:33	btc updown 5m 1775228700	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x14c17c…
04-03 15:06:21	btc updown 5m 1775228700	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6eb909…
03-09 23:39:39	btc updown 5m 1773099300	Up	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x8f880f…
03-09 23:34:51	btc updown 5m 1773099000	Down	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x4ce979…
03-09 23:27:11	btc updown 5m 1773098700	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x708777…
03-09 23:24:37	btc updown 5m 1773098400	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x3eb07e…
03-09 23:20:35	btc updown 5m 1773098400	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x387124…
03-09 23:10:45	btc updown 5m 1773097800	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x192fb8…
03-09 23:06:55	btc updown 5m 1773097500	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1c9ee5…
03-09 23:05:45	btc updown 5m 1773097500	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd337da…
03-09 23:00:37	btc updown 5m 1773097200	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc847b5…
03-09 02:30:19	btc updown 5m 1773023400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1b8c20…
03-09 02:20:19	btc updown 5m 1773022800	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x24a02f…
03-09 02:07:47	Will Susan Altman be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3e7f4d…
03-09 02:00:39	will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0860fc…
03-09 01:35:19	btc updown 5m 1773020100	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x199f48…
03-09 01:32:39	btc updown 5m 1773019800	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe80fc5…
03-08 23:40:23	btc updown 5m 1773013200	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x84ae17…
03-08 23:36:53	btc updown 5m 1773012900	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1be34d…
03-08 23:30:41	btc updown 5m 1773012600	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb0e691…
03-08 23:27:11	btc updown 5m 1773012300	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfcaf84…
03-08 23:20:19	btc updown 5m 1773012000	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfe2577…
03-03 20:29:23	btc updown 5m 1772569800	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x907c41…
03-03 20:24:21	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7a7675…
03-03 19:04:17	btc updown 5m 1772564400	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x91c9fc…
03-03 18:51:09	btc updown 5m 1772563800	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe7174a…
03-03 18:44:59	btc updown 5m 1772563500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x957faa…
03-03 18:10:41	btc updown 5m 1772561400	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x572e4a…
03-03 15:39:07	btc updown 5m 1772552400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x430ef6…
03-03 15:29:25	btc updown 5m 1772551800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe047b8…
03-03 14:50:39	btc updown 5m 1772549400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5b6448…
03-03 14:14:37	btc updown 5m 1772547300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x67aef7…
03-03 14:07:47	btc updown 5m 1772546700	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3dc355…
03-03 14:07:01	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xf3c9ad…
02-28 12:14:47	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$8	0x90f961…
02-28 11:04:23	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xfcbdd9…
02-28 10:45:55	btc updown 5m 1772275500	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x934d80…
02-28 10:35:17	btc updown 5m 1772274900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x69ff82…
02-28 10:30:51	btc updown 5m 1772274600	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa19114…
02-28 10:20:35	btc updown 5m 1772274000	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1eabfb…
02-28 10:16:09	btc updown 5m 1772273700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x905583…
02-28 10:05:17	btc updown 5m 1772273100	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x429d78…
02-28 10:00:39	btc updown 5m 1772272800	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1ece8e…
02-28 09:56:55	btc updown 5m 1772272500	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaacaaf…
02-28 09:16:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfa06e1…
02-28 09:15:39	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa62f1f…
02-26 19:08:30	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x66bb3c…
02-26 19:07:56	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0884d8…
02-26 19:07:18	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x034654…
02-26 11:03:30	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9b0e50…
02-26 10:55:42	btc updown 5m 1772103300	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb443b0…
02-25 21:02:38	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1b8e27…
02-25 20:50:58	btc updown 5m 1772052600	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x58b669…
02-25 20:05:32	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7bb527…
02-25 19:56:04	btc updown 5m 1772049300	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa90528…
02-25 19:40:38	btc updown 5m 1772048400	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2636c5…
02-24 01:53:24	highest temperature in sao paulo on february 24 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0x52eb54…
02-24 01:46:28	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x07a035…
02-24 01:46:04	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x02028a…
02-24 01:45:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xbd831f…
02-24 00:08:48	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x34e0f0…