Mean-Graft-Standardization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$36

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-12 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	7	$7	21	9	+13	Down	$-1	05-10 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$4	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 17:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-10 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-10 16:58
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:49:35	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb644dc…
05-12 18:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xa86459…
05-12 18:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3a25b5…
05-12 18:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x89d18f…
05-12 18:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x179204…
05-12 18:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xf60574…
05-12 18:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2f6376…
05-12 18:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xc176f7…
05-12 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x40464a…
05-10 18:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x23a4af…
05-10 18:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd911f4…
05-10 17:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb30dec…
05-10 17:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xe94399…
05-10 17:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa773e9…
05-10 17:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcaeacd…
05-10 17:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xa4a603…
05-10 17:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x76dbd1…
05-10 17:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xe38416…
05-10 17:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5029a5…
05-10 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x27b9d8…
05-10 17:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcc1f7d…
05-10 17:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd97d7c…
05-10 17:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x6b128a…
05-10 17:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x7589b7…
05-10 17:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbe2a64…
05-10 17:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6f2313…
05-10 17:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xac38ac…
05-10 17:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x88a501…
05-10 17:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x9905ae…
05-10 17:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x24df1e…
05-10 16:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe17843…
05-10 16:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xe9c62b…
05-10 16:56:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf6abe0…