Realized P&L
+$10.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
87.7%
Resolved
699
Trades
5,120
lifetime
Volume
$186.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$818
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 14:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Politics
67% 75% +$8,667
Other
33% 69% +$1,891
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +322 $223 98¢ $314 +$91 09-16 16:18
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +210 $178 99¢ $208 +$30 10-28 06:29
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +97 $89 99¢ $96 +$7 10-28 22:09
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +35 $34 99¢ $35 +$1 10-28 13:05
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +35 $34 98¢ $34 +$1 10-06 11:10
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +35 $32 93¢ $33 +$0 10-29 13:34
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +25 $24 99¢ $25 +$0 10-29 12:50
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +996 $553 2¢ $18 -$535 10-25 09:51
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +21 $16 78¢ $16 $0 07-01 10:18
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-28 21:04
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $8 87¢ $9 +$0 10-09 14:38
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$1 10-24 09:10
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 09-07 06:22
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +32 $4 15¢ $5 +$0 10-25 11:21
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +506 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 09-22 10:53
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1 -$60 100¢ $1 +$61 10-29 15:27
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1 -$335 62¢ $0 +$336 10-25 11:47
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +5 $4 4¢ $0 -$3 10-25 15:45