Hopeful-Hero — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved

1,098

Trades

1,744

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-03 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 53% -$12

Other

27% 55% -$63

Politics

19% 18% +$7

Sports

9% 38% -$14

Tech

3% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes		+0	$0	8¢	$0	$0	07-17 04:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	4	$78	55	55	+0	Yes	+$29	09-01 19:45
laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	6	$72	70	69	+1	Yes	-$4	09-08 00:38
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	6	$52	45	45	+0	No	-$2	09-07 21:02
Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?	4	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	08-24 01:08
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a creeper again?	3	$41	39	39	+0	No	+$2	09-06 00:31
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	3	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-25 18:42
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	4	$36	61	1	+60	open	—	09-23 19:51
Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	2	$36	65	65	+0	No	+$0	10-03 01:26
Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	2	$32	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	09-09 13:48
Will Eric Girard win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?	4	$32	58	0	+58	No	-$3	09-23 19:54
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	4	$32	59	1	+59	No	-$2	09-23 19:53
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	4	$30	55	1	+55	open	—	09-23 19:52
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	10	$29	56	0	+56	Yes	-$1	09-10 02:45
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton?	3	$29	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	09-04 21:35
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$28	49	1	+49	open	—	09-23 19:52
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	3	$27	52	2	+51	open	—	09-23 19:52
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	2	$27	41	41	+0	Yes	-$13	09-07 16:09
will idiots score at least 65 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$24	20	20	+0	No	-$4	08-25 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 27?	5	$24	42	42	+0	No	+$0	08-27 16:59
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	2	$24	30	30	+0	Yes	-$8	09-07 16:09
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	2	$24	24	24	+0	open	—	09-07 04:49
Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	08-24 20:11
Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	5	$23	41	1	+41	No	-$3	09-23 19:53
Will Ciro Nogueira win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?	2	$21	20	20	+0	No	-$2	08-24 01:31
Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	8	$21	41	1	+41	Yes	$0	09-23 19:52
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	6	$21	41	0	+41	open	—	09-23 19:53
Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	2	$20	28	28	+0	Yes	-$3	09-07 16:09
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	2	$20	24	24	+0	open	—	09-07 16:09
Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	2	$20	20	20	+0	No	-$4	08-22 23:09
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	No	-$2	08-25 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 01:26:45	Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	SELL	65	28¢	$18	0xaab3f7…
09-23 19:54:26	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x26fb16…
09-23 19:54:16	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xde9b93…
09-23 19:54:05	Will Eric Girard win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x7620ca…
09-23 19:53:55	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x31f2eb…
09-23 19:53:47	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xa8b2c3…
09-23 19:53:41	Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x2c9ffa…
09-23 19:53:28	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xe2c197…
09-23 19:53:07	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x9e8715…
09-23 19:52:56	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x58bad9…
09-23 19:52:47	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xdc5ee6…
09-23 19:52:40	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x58158a…
09-23 19:52:26	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xeb708b…
09-23 19:51:56	Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xaf132f…
09-10 23:12:58	Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	65	28¢	$18	0x11107f…
09-10 16:31:49	Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x7a3432…
09-10 16:31:31	Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6e71f8…
09-10 11:08:43	Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x217402…
09-10 11:03:33	Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xbd4530…
09-10 10:18:40	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb3864d…
09-10 09:56:03	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xae9426…
09-10 08:32:25	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd52b59…
09-10 08:32:09	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1444ad…
09-10 08:31:52	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x55affa…
09-10 08:31:36	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8773fa…
09-10 08:31:19	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5f76c8…
09-10 08:28:42	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2741ed…
09-10 08:28:40	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x932d87…
09-10 07:24:49	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xbbb1ed…
09-10 07:24:34	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x767172…
09-10 06:43:04	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x0b0e11…
09-10 06:11:36	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x51fd8f…
09-10 06:09:48	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0x6754ce…
09-10 02:45:27	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb048a5…
09-10 02:45:10	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf83a54…
09-10 02:44:52	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xccee33…
09-10 02:44:36	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xe85077…
09-10 02:44:21	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x56353a…
09-10 02:44:06	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc059d5…
09-10 02:43:48	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x13e72e…
09-10 02:43:33	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x927098…
09-10 02:43:16	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xef7448…
09-10 02:40:06	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	28	19¢	$5	0xd016cc…
09-09 18:48:30	Will Eric Girard win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	23	67¢	$16	0x46b060…
09-09 17:03:01	Will Eric Girard win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd16ea8…
09-09 16:59:00	Will Eric Girard win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xba972b…
09-09 13:48:13	Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	29	56¢	$16	0xbd16aa…
09-09 13:02:27	Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x59493d…
09-09 03:32:51	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xc1f1fb…
09-09 03:32:33	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1cac1d…
09-09 03:32:16	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8a1c36…
09-09 03:32:00	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x95fa20…
09-09 03:31:49	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xf9151e…
09-08 22:43:03	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7a8719…
09-08 22:41:15	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x798aeb…
09-08 22:27:25	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x11eafe…
09-08 18:13:19	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2f297c…
09-08 08:39:57	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xbddbe2…
09-08 08:36:36	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0x827857…
09-08 06:36:57	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xa844fa…
09-08 04:42:39	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0d6c6d…
09-08 00:38:43	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0x79d2ab…
09-08 00:38:39	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	32	54¢	$17	0x3652ad…
09-08 00:19:30	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xae697d…
09-08 00:18:42	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6ceb40…
09-08 00:14:46	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xd8c454…
09-07 23:00:21	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	BUY	37	56¢	$21	0xe3f13a…
09-07 22:20:12	Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	No	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0x249b6a…
09-07 21:27:55	Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x43e389…
09-07 21:02:54	Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x6270d4…
09-07 21:02:49	Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x53dae8…
09-07 21:02:48	Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x779a4a…
09-07 19:39:21	Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0xb93905…
09-07 16:13:27	Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x383592…
09-07 16:09:40	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	41	16¢	$7	0xc8005a…
09-07 16:09:33	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x9945dc…
09-07 16:09:27	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	Yes	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0x2dd45e…
09-07 16:09:19	Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	No	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0x188121…
09-07 04:49:57	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0xd1b5ab…
09-06 10:39:18	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	Yes	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x4e2018…
09-06 06:06:03	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xebdf20…
09-06 02:04:22	will lacy or marlon die to a skeleton again	Yes	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x38a9be…
09-06 00:31:07	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a creeper again?	No	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0xd06a77…
09-05 18:34:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0xdeac6e…
09-05 15:22:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x6e5ecb…
09-05 09:19:00	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x7bdb08…
09-05 06:28:15	will lacy or marlon die to a creeper again 03	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x2dfce2…
09-05 02:10:45	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xb4910f…
09-04 22:58:46	will lacy or marlon die to a creeper again 03	No	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0x6960af…
09-04 21:35:00	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x9290fa…
09-04 02:31:52	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xfc8a11…
09-03 22:00:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xd608b1…
09-03 21:56:16	Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	No	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x6647b5…
09-03 21:08:31	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xc7e7c9…
09-02 05:02:18	US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa	Paula Badosa	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7c6de4…
09-01 20:49:31	Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x073fc0…
09-01 19:45:45	Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xdcf031…
09-01 17:54:42	Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x07366b…
09-01 09:00:52	Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x733f0b…
09-01 08:59:33	Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xd28dcd…