Hard-To-Find-Tax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.97K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

723

Trades

1,607

lifetime

Volume

$52.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 11-02 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 46% -$1,436

Politics

12% 48% -$272

Sports

1% 0% -$24

Other

1% 25% -$241

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	33	$3.9K	5,502	5,502	+0	open	—	10-28 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$789	762	762	+0	Up	+$721	07-21 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:30 UTC	2	$515	261	261	+0	Up	+$3	03-04 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 11:00 UTC	4	$497	387	375	+12	Up	+$81	04-09 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	5	$479	507	377	+129	Down	-$42	07-21 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:35 UTC	8	$475	350	350	+0	Down	+$75	07-23 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:35 UTC	3	$470	352	215	+137	Up	-$48	03-04 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:40 UTC	2	$425	247	247	+0	Down	+$25	07-21 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	9	$424	363	363	+0	Down	+$84	10-28 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:00 UTC	6	$424	1,825	310	+1,516	Up	+$4	07-22 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 06:00 UTC	3	$423	269	245	+24	Down	+$5	03-02 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:40 UTC	6	$420	472	472	+0	Up	-$110	07-23 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$407	444	239	+205	Up	-$15	07-21 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 20:50 UTC	6	$404	420	420	+0	Up	+$96	07-22 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:10 UTC	7	$386	364	256	+108	Down	-$19	03-12 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:25 UTC	4	$382	256	253	+3	Up	+$41	03-12 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 20:30 UTC	6	$381	330	330	+0	Down	+$61	07-22 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:35 UTC	2	$374	260	260	+0	Up	+$62	07-21 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:05 UTC	7	$373	506	484	+22	Up	+$9	03-12 13:08
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$353	286	286	+0	No	-$38	06-08 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 10:35 UTC	5	$341	287	287	+0	Down	+$171	07-24 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:45 UTC	4	$340	266	266	+0	Down	+$27	07-21 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:20 UTC	6	$329	902	256	+646	Down	-$47	07-22 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:05 UTC	4	$327	331	331	+0	Up	+$97	07-22 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:00 UTC	4	$326	252	249	+3	Up	+$15	03-12 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	6	$324	512	241	+271	Down	-$28	07-23 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	8	$319	303	303	+0	Down	+$22	05-31 09:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$311	258	258	+0	No	+$31	03-04 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:55 UTC	2	$298	240	231	+9	Down	+$58	04-09 10:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:55 UTC	5	$296	299	244	+55	Up	-$4	03-12 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 06:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x60c543…
10-28 05:19:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	222	51¢	$113	0xf8c224…
10-28 05:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0xcd523f…
10-28 05:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	64	69¢	$44	0x070a08…
10-28 05:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x51ec8b…
10-28 05:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	211	23¢	$48	0x78a9c9…
10-28 05:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	211	46¢	$97	0x2258d7…
10-28 05:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	161	41¢	$66	0x09c3af…
10-28 01:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	91	45¢	$41	0xfc82ac…
10-28 01:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xa7b618…
10-28 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xfb8b20…
10-28 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	95	70¢	$67	0xd2b2a9…
10-28 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xb29804…
10-28 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x96257d…
10-28 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x8706d7…
10-28 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x420966…
10-28 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	52	70¢	$37	0x30ecea…
10-28 00:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	130	70¢	$91	0xfcad75…
10-28 00:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	363	47¢	$170	0x10e724…
10-28 00:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x8b4472…
10-28 00:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2fef05…
10-28 00:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xcab6c9…
10-27 22:44:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x3aa1bc…
10-27 22:42:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4,296	39¢	$1,675	0xdb4239…
10-27 00:32:44	Will Otzma Yehudit win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	212	44¢	$93	0x58b592…
10-22 21:52:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	155	29¢	$45	0x9f976c…
10-22 21:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x8263c0…
10-22 21:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	36	82¢	$29	0xd7e012…
10-22 20:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0xb883c2…
10-22 20:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0xb51179…
10-22 20:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xd04d5a…
10-22 20:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xcd5ca4…
10-22 20:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd09aa8…
10-22 20:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x15f89c…
10-22 20:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x34f93c…
10-22 20:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5e42e5…
10-22 20:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x3a9858…
10-22 20:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7bf397…
10-22 20:25:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x49d619…
10-22 19:37:32	Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xa3690c…
10-22 16:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0388e6…
10-22 16:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xb92a87…
10-22 16:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xae5533…
10-22 16:16:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	477	30¢	$143	0xa8c17e…
10-22 16:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xaa6d56…
10-22 16:02:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	283	30¢	$85	0xe606df…
10-19 12:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x5cd3e5…
10-19 12:13:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	400	29¢	$116	0x8c1293…
10-18 18:27:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xa3df62…
10-18 17:57:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x764ff2…
10-18 17:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x9e24df…
10-18 17:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xb8f688…
10-18 17:48:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x457e3c…
10-18 17:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	28	84¢	$23	0xce57bb…
10-18 17:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x775ae3…
10-18 17:42:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	438	32¢	$140	0x749aa6…
10-18 04:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe799f7…
10-18 04:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:20 UTC	Down	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x4b2619…
10-18 04:21:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x86e0bf…
10-18 04:20:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	411	28¢	$115	0x8e78cc…
10-16 09:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x164658…
10-16 08:58:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	387	31¢	$120	0xdba09a…
10-14 07:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6e24bf…
10-14 07:33:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,548	31¢	$480	0xa762e1…
10-13 05:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x713c99…
10-11 06:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xea64a9…
10-11 06:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	288	24¢	$70	0xb552e5…
10-11 06:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x4f77c9…
10-11 06:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	64	28¢	$18	0x2a441f…
10-11 05:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0x8324f7…
10-11 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,449	1¢	$15	0x00849d…
10-11 05:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	61	96¢	$58	0x336f9a…
10-11 05:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x4ea4d9…
10-11 05:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	39	46¢	$18	0x8dadf1…
10-11 05:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0xb6b1a3…
10-11 00:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x43e36a…
10-11 00:20:01	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,986	0¢	$10	0x0d7cc8…
10-08 09:14:44	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,986	1¢	$15	0x3ce0da…
10-08 06:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	56	58¢	$33	0x7c14e8…
10-08 06:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	56	39¢	$22	0x364859…
10-08 06:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0x749cd8…
10-08 06:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x40b206…
10-08 06:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	61	47¢	$29	0x65cb1b…
10-08 06:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd9ae4b…
10-08 06:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	63	65¢	$41	0x167030…
10-08 05:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	63	49¢	$31	0x442f7e…
10-06 11:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	84	53¢	$45	0xc892b6…
10-06 10:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	70	67¢	$47	0x59aeb0…
10-06 10:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	70	53¢	$37	0xa0e5a1…
10-06 10:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	55	72¢	$39	0x9232fc…
10-06 10:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x2ad211…
10-06 10:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	25	97¢	$25	0xa07037…
10-06 10:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xfb81ec…
10-06 10:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6c3bf0…
10-06 10:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	84	41¢	$34	0x9f5332…
10-06 10:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	84	37¢	$31	0x572076…
10-06 10:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x3e628e…
10-06 10:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	71	8¢	$6	0x8b405c…
10-06 10:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6f1e97…
10-04 12:05:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x3bdfc9…