Actual-Glockenspiel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

199

lifetime

Volume

$2.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-10 22:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$0

Other

45% — —

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	07-23 06:10
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	3	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	07-19 20:53
iran full airspace closure by july 27	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	07-27 23:07
ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	07-27 23:08
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	4	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	07-19 00:41
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	5	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-31 21:58
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-30 04:03
ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	07-27 10:13
will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	2	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	07-30 12:32
ethereum above 2100 on july 27 2026	2	$40	21	20	+1	open	—	07-27 10:15
Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-31 06:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 07:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 23:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 16:33
will thomas coxe advance from the ca 19 primary election 984	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	06-04 03:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	05-29 22:50
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on april 19	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-18 17:12
highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 53forbelow	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 19:51
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 21 2026 35c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 07:39
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	3	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	06-01 04:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-27 08:06
xrp above 1pt3 on july 27 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	07-26 18:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-29 15:46
will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	07-31 09:27
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 33c	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-18 17:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 8?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-07 22:17
bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	07-10 23:22
will progressive bulgaria pb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 11:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-10 07:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	07-24 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 22:28:27	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdda994…
08-07 22:21:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0d4773…
08-06 02:22:20	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xde839a…
08-05 20:57:53	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x16fc21…
07-31 09:27:38	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x740c2d…
07-31 00:41:38	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd53f46…
07-30 22:47:06	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x503e29…
07-30 19:45:48	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2c44dc…
07-30 19:41:12	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8f94e0…
07-30 19:19:48	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x078415…
07-30 17:19:24	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcd242d…
07-30 12:32:23	will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x49ecd5…
07-30 11:01:36	will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x563637…
07-29 20:03:45	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7d0b35…
07-29 18:13:56	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xba77ed…
07-29 11:37:35	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf04690…
07-27 23:08:49	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x6d4fd5…
07-27 23:07:21	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xb40b0d…
07-27 20:20:06	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2352d7…
07-27 17:55:01	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7a69dc…
07-27 10:15:12	ethereum above 2100 on july 27 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0f26f8…
07-27 10:13:30	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0dea26…
07-27 05:03:52	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7c0798…
07-26 20:34:36	ethereum above 2100 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xcaf395…
07-26 18:00:42	xrp above 1pt3 on july 27 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x05d17e…
07-26 14:24:57	xrp above 1pt3 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd15f22…
07-24 22:44:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x44eec2…
07-23 21:31:28	will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xec98ab…
07-23 07:41:46	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb936d2…
07-23 06:10:46	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x350a56…
07-23 04:37:10	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x873d39…
07-23 01:40:19	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa7a0ee…
07-19 20:53:00	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfd9674…
07-19 20:38:12	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1432bb…
07-19 19:53:15	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1e7c63…
07-19 00:41:52	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xeea6a5…
07-19 00:36:24	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdf5eaf…
07-19 00:28:12	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x332118…
07-18 21:44:36	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8a001f…
07-10 23:22:11	bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4bfd7b…
06-06 00:50:25	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb56388…
06-04 03:13:30	will thomas coxe advance from the ca 19 primary election 984	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4832e3…
06-03 12:12:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4745af…
06-03 09:22:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x55d4eb…
06-03 00:37:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf05325…
06-02 08:34:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x00cdec…
06-01 11:50:48	Will Thomas Coxe advance from the CA-19 primary election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd47d15…
06-01 04:22:29	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x137ab2…
06-01 04:19:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe12c2b…
06-01 00:33:07	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7c9cac…
05-31 21:58:27	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc003b5…
05-31 10:01:18	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x10827c…
05-31 06:42:16	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4a89de…
05-31 06:00:21	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x74d086…
05-31 05:31:16	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb54d5c…
05-31 02:43:49	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb7f575…
05-30 23:08:59	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaa136f…
05-30 16:37:16	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x56dc34…
05-30 14:14:46	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc549dd…
05-30 04:03:17	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xfc5320…
05-30 00:44:54	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x804a17…
05-29 22:50:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2eb3f9…
05-29 22:09:40	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x78dda5…
05-29 17:32:37	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e88c0…
05-29 15:46:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd32c7c…
05-29 14:48:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xab63f4…
05-29 14:14:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc1201b…
05-28 21:44:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x6ec05a…
05-28 18:24:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x773793…
05-28 07:39:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5496ed…
05-28 07:34:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xca8ff5…
05-28 05:02:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2ff7a6…
05-28 00:06:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x33812a…
05-27 08:06:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3bfaf5…
05-26 21:13:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xec605c…
05-26 14:00:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc615fa…
05-26 06:08:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x56f359…
05-26 01:42:08	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4a221e…
05-25 23:10:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdaf715…
05-25 15:45:21	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xaa6f0d…
05-25 11:04:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x630031…
05-25 04:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xac4c66…
05-24 23:08:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3b3706…
05-24 21:03:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xcdeeb8…
05-24 20:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x511672…
05-24 16:51:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xc98fa3…
05-21 08:20:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x62da8d…
05-21 05:17:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6959d7…
05-19 19:38:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8033df…
05-19 11:14:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5d0ffe…
05-19 03:40:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7f2b2c…
05-17 01:02:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa836f1…
05-15 13:26:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xaf3a8c…
05-15 08:23:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xb9184c…
05-14 14:35:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb3f164…
05-14 13:19:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x338143…
05-14 11:36:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9f468f…
05-10 07:40:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x35fd1a…
05-10 04:24:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xb84012…
05-09 16:33:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0a9c92…