Actual-Glockenspiel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-06 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Crypto

38% 100% +$0

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	5	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-31 21:58
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-30 04:03
Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-31 06:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 07:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 23:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 16:33
will thomas coxe advance from the ca 19 primary election 984	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	06-04 03:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	05-29 22:50
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on april 19	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-18 17:12
highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 53forbelow	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 19:51
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 21 2026 35c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 07:39
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	3	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	06-01 04:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-27 08:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-29 15:46
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 33c	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-18 17:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 8?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-07 22:17
will progressive bulgaria pb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 11:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-10 07:40
highest temperature in san francisco on april 16 2026 76 77f	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 02:36
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 32c	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 05:40
highest temperature in atlanta on april 17 2026 98forhigher	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 12:08
will progressive bulgaria pb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-18 17:20
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 30c	3	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 12:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-28 21:44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 13:26
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 18c	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 08:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	05-24 23:08
highest temperature in denver on april 16 2026 86forhigher	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-17 02:38
highest temperature in los angeles on april 18 2026 66 67f	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-18 17:23
highest temperature in warsaw on april 22 2026 10c	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-21 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 00:50:25	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb56388…
06-04 03:13:30	will thomas coxe advance from the ca 19 primary election 984	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4832e3…
06-03 12:12:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4745af…
06-03 09:22:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x55d4eb…
06-03 00:37:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf05325…
06-02 08:34:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x00cdec…
06-01 11:50:48	Will Thomas Coxe advance from the CA-19 primary election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd47d15…
06-01 04:22:29	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x137ab2…
06-01 04:19:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe12c2b…
06-01 00:33:07	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7c9cac…
05-31 21:58:27	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc003b5…
05-31 10:01:18	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x10827c…
05-31 06:42:16	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4a89de…
05-31 06:00:21	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x74d086…
05-31 05:31:16	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb54d5c…
05-31 02:43:49	Will BNB dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb7f575…
05-30 23:08:59	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaa136f…
05-30 16:37:16	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x56dc34…
05-30 14:14:46	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc549dd…
05-30 04:03:17	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xfc5320…
05-30 00:44:54	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x804a17…
05-29 22:50:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2eb3f9…
05-29 22:09:40	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x78dda5…
05-29 17:32:37	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e88c0…
05-29 15:46:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd32c7c…
05-29 14:48:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xab63f4…
05-29 14:14:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc1201b…
05-28 21:44:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x6ec05a…
05-28 18:24:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x773793…
05-28 07:39:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5496ed…
05-28 07:34:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xca8ff5…
05-28 05:02:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2ff7a6…
05-28 00:06:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x33812a…
05-27 08:06:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3bfaf5…
05-26 21:13:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xec605c…
05-26 14:00:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc615fa…
05-26 06:08:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x56f359…
05-26 01:42:08	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4a221e…
05-25 23:10:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdaf715…
05-25 15:45:21	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xaa6f0d…
05-25 11:04:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x630031…
05-25 04:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xac4c66…
05-24 23:08:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3b3706…
05-24 21:03:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xcdeeb8…
05-24 20:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x511672…
05-24 16:51:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xc98fa3…
05-21 08:20:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x62da8d…
05-21 05:17:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6959d7…
05-19 19:38:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8033df…
05-19 11:14:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5d0ffe…
05-19 03:40:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7f2b2c…
05-17 01:02:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa836f1…
05-15 13:26:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xaf3a8c…
05-15 08:23:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xb9184c…
05-14 14:35:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb3f164…
05-14 13:19:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x338143…
05-14 11:36:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9f468f…
05-10 07:40:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x35fd1a…
05-10 04:24:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xb84012…
05-09 16:33:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0a9c92…
05-08 23:12:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x897ccb…
05-07 22:17:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 8?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x97dd28…
05-07 22:01:52	Will Solana reach $100 on May 7?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x841725…
05-07 18:21:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x00c9cd…
05-07 14:34:04	Will Solana reach $100 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0eddbc…
05-07 04:16:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdd8c6e…
05-07 02:14:29	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb6b01b…
04-30 21:14:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63077c…
04-30 16:25:32	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcf89ea…
04-30 12:46:40	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9670cb…
04-29 18:48:18	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x82b8fe…
04-28 21:37:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 29?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7878af…
04-28 16:55:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 29?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8ef899…
04-27 14:56:36	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x84983c…
04-27 13:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -2°C on April 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf3b090…
04-27 06:24:02	Will "Mass" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4077cf…
04-26 12:44:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on April 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2e66d3…
04-26 08:36:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x739973…
04-25 04:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5a7a2e…
04-24 22:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x108063…
04-24 19:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x056c03…
04-24 17:23:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x16fb89…
04-24 13:39:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x46de6e…
04-24 10:24:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd86fa5…
04-24 08:57:54	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbb3be5…
04-24 07:32:14	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 20c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x308112…
04-24 06:45:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of April 20 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x099853…
04-24 05:40:14	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 32c	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbcb5d7…
04-23 16:30:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xafe6a4…
04-23 04:03:04	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 23 2026 11c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc223c5…
04-23 01:16:50	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 32c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe509d7…
04-23 00:52:38	highest temperature in istanbul on april 23 2026 17corhigher	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x59f693…
04-22 22:20:40	highest temperature in chongqing on april 23 2026 30corhigher	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ccc1e…
04-22 19:18:54	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x153d98…
04-22 17:48:20	highest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 3corbelow	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9b7180…
04-22 09:40:50	highest temperature in houston on april 22 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb1eb9b…
04-22 08:48:52	highest temperature in dallas on april 22 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe977f4…
04-22 03:11:12	highest temperature in istanbul on april 22 2026 14c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa8aac…
04-22 00:51:20	highest temperature in ankara on april 22 2026 11corbelow	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf90213…
04-21 19:53:10	highest temperature in warsaw on april 22 2026 10c	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8bf63e…