Damaged-Grill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$312

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

1,228

Trades

1,848

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-30 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

88% 76% -$272

Politics

7% 73% -$52

Sports

3% 65% -$4

Crypto

2% 59% +$16

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
CA Belgrano vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5	2	$2.0K	1,099	1,096	+3	Under	+$32	04-26 21:52
Kashiwa Reysol vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 4.5	4	$1.9K	998	998	+0	Under	+$35	04-29 08:57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	3	$1.9K	948	948	+0	Yes	+$17	04-29 21:18
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?	2	$1.0K	576	573	+2	Yes	+$24	04-26 23:23
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5	2	$891	468	467	+1	Under	+$12	04-26 23:07
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$500	534	0	+534	Yes	+$34	04-27 20:23
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	4	$389	212	202	+11	Under	+$5	04-26 22:54
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$291	156	155	+1	Spurs	+$20	04-26 22:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	7	$283	227	188	+39	Yes	+$22	04-28 20:48
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5	2	$261	137	137	+0	Under	+$11	04-26 21:40
CD Riestra vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 4.5	3	$202	103	103	+0	Under	+$2	04-29 23:55
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$196	99	99	+0	Spurs	+$2	04-25 05:17
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Moskva: O/U 4.5	2	$180	100	100	+0	Under	+$20	05-01 19:08
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	3	$170	291	0	+291	No	-$170	06-13 09:00
Will God is Shy win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$131	83	77	+5	open	—	10-30 00:58
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	15	$130	325	106	+219	No	+$3	10-22 14:32
CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5	3	$128	81	70	+11	Under	+$5	04-26 22:50
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?	2	$107	70	70	+0	Yes	+$7	05-01 20:48
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	2	$103	112	0	+112	Under	+$9	04-27 20:24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	1	$100	125	0	+125	No	-$100	04-28 06:56
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik	1	$100	119	0	+119	Jakub Mensik	+$19	04-27 20:31
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5	1	$98	100	0	+100	Under	+$2	04-29 01:43
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev	2	$98	207	0	+207	Alexander Zverev	+$3	04-28 23:01
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5	1	$94	100	0	+100	Under	+$6	04-29 01:43
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	5	$91	49	49	+0	Under	+$7	05-09 15:49
Botafogo FR vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 4.5	1	$91	100	0	+100	Under	+$9	04-28 22:43
Nagoya Grampus vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5	1	$91	99	0	+99	Under	+$8	04-29 07:40
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5	2	$91	101	0	+101	Under	+$10	04-28 22:53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	1	$90	100	0	+100	Yes	+$10	05-18 15:29
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	3	$90	101	40	+62	No	-$56	10-22 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:12:54	Will Kyle Pitts have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xcb9424…
10-30 12:08:40	Will the ECB decrease the deposit facility rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe3ef0e…
10-30 11:39:51	Will Kyle Pitts have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x12658e…
10-30 11:14:52	Will the ECB decrease the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x23909e…
10-30 11:14:49	Will Tyler Shough have 3,899.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xf31519…
10-30 11:03:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x0d3b2a…
10-30 11:03:21	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x16afaa…
10-30 11:02:55	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x35c8a0…
10-30 11:02:42	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.0M and 7.1M in September?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x90a534…
10-30 11:02:28	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x3f0acf…
10-30 11:02:15	Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xc2ecb1…
10-30 11:02:06	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $327,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xddea72…
10-30 11:01:52	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division?	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x943c5b…
10-30 11:01:24	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x32e4bd…
10-30 11:01:07	Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x60872e…
10-30 11:00:24	Will TheBurntPeanut win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x9cb917…
10-30 11:00:09	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	12¢	$5	0x7d95f7…
10-30 10:59:37	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x560d10…
10-30 10:59:25	Will Cryocells play for 100 Thieves in 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x6eeb02…
10-30 10:59:09	Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0315 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	48	11¢	$5	0xead761…
10-30 10:58:28	Will Mike Malott fight Jack Della Maddalena next?	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x872752…
10-30 10:58:13	Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0305 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	46	13¢	$6	0x110d58…
10-30 10:57:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x0a8705…
10-30 10:57:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x977be1…
10-30 10:57:18	Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x5815d4…
10-30 10:56:51	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x13778f…
10-30 08:33:24	will the bank of brazil decrease the target for the selic rate by 25 bps at the march 2027 meeting	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xeaca96…
10-30 08:20:27	Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0305 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0xd7b451…
10-30 08:20:27	Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0315 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1bfd98…
10-30 08:20:27	Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0315 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1b15af…
10-30 08:20:27	Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0315 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x17abcb…
10-30 08:20:27	Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0315 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0d046e…
10-30 07:55:25	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0x277607…
10-30 07:50:13	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $327,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xd3ae24…
10-30 07:37:54	Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?	Yes	BUY	39	35¢	$14	0x3059d9…
10-30 07:27:22	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xaca836…
10-30 06:52:15	Will TheBurntPeanut win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc4ca95…
10-30 06:37:25	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x4dae6e…
10-30 06:17:04	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd24505…
10-30 06:12:33	Will Mike Malott fight Jack Della Maddalena next?	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x42fc70…
10-30 05:41:07	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x231fb8…
10-30 05:40:55	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xa2d4a6…
10-30 05:19:46	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x12695c…
10-30 05:06:40	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x7d7bbd…
10-30 05:06:39	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xe23cb4…
10-30 05:06:31	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xfd9197…
10-30 04:55:06	Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb4d7bd…
10-30 04:51:30	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8c7e26…
10-30 04:36:43	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x5646ab…
10-30 04:10:42	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.0M and 7.1M in September?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xdbc26f…
10-30 03:24:25	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x58a78f…
10-30 03:10:36	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in November 2026?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x83a3bd…
10-30 03:10:25	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x9893b6…
10-30 02:58:18	Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xd8167a…
10-30 02:58:16	Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x20d46d…
10-30 02:45:55	Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x85d261…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for 100 Thieves in 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xfa6cb1…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for 100 Thieves in 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xd8ff12…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for 100 Thieves in 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xa9a502…
10-30 00:59:45	Will the Democrats win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x9970dd…
10-30 00:59:27	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x4e9317…
10-30 00:58:58	Will Missouri have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x73c509…
10-30 00:58:36	Will God is Shy win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	77	81¢	$63	0x951454…
10-30 00:58:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x1ab678…
10-30 00:57:57	Will Jorge Yunda win the next Quito mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xf2d66b…
10-30 00:57:42	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x20739d…
10-30 00:57:30	Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xcedc49…
10-30 00:57:10	Will James Cook have 14.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0x077b15…
10-30 00:20:58	Will God is Shy win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xc05dae…
10-30 00:20:57	Will God is Shy win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	46	84¢	$39	0x8639b3…
10-30 00:20:57	Will God is Shy win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	34	84¢	$28	0x6e6d3a…
10-30 00:16:22	Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$12	0x1d6844…
10-30 00:14:40	Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x95ab8a…
10-29 23:06:04	Will United Arab Emirates win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0xf618e6…
10-29 22:38:04	Will United Arab Emirates win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0x21bb14…
10-29 22:25:24	Will James Cook have 14.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x5d4a92…
10-29 22:10:09	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x81b120…
10-29 22:06:09	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf34d86…
10-29 22:06:09	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x3649e9…
10-29 22:06:06	Will Missouri have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xf3b13f…
10-29 22:05:37	Will Missouri have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x0f48b6…
10-29 21:57:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xd8990b…
10-29 21:27:27	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xfac4b5…
10-29 21:18:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x2964f1…
10-29 21:18:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa69561…
10-29 17:50:31	Will the Democrats win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd6e67d…
10-29 17:50:17	Will the Democrats win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x1a8362…
10-29 17:38:59	Democratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x2e0d22…
10-29 17:37:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xeab565…
10-29 17:36:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb29109…
10-29 17:33:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x29ac4a…
10-29 17:30:29	Democratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0891b8…
10-29 16:44:04	Will the Democrats win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x3d6347…
10-29 16:41:07	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xcf4525…
10-29 16:20:05	Will the Democrats win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xbf4459…
10-29 16:05:28	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$13	0x01c404…
10-29 15:56:52	Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xc5ae86…
10-29 15:19:43	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xf86aa8…
10-29 15:19:43	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xc37d1c…
10-29 15:06:14	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xcea713…