Rundown-Ketchup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

4,958

Trades

13,191

lifetime

Volume

$127.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-31 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$1,034

Other

1% 87% +$4

Politics

0% 50% -$17

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	No		+32	$32	99¢	$32	+$0	10-31 16:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:50 UTC	4	$3.8K	2,515	2,433	+82	Up	+$1,118	04-17 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:00 UTC	5	$3.1K	1,784	1,784	+0	Down	-$276	08-09 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:55 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,902	1,838	+64	Up	+$525	04-13 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:35 UTC	3	$2.4K	1,358	1,358	+0	Down	+$357	08-09 02:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:15 UTC	5	$2.0K	1,051	1,033	+18	Up	+$1	04-13 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 07:45 UTC	3	$2.0K	1,103	1,049	+54	Up	+$60	04-02 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:50 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,150	1,130	+20	Down	+$459	03-30 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:10 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,000	983	+17	Down	+$173	04-07 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 21:45 UTC	2	$1.6K	845	843	+2	Down	+$70	03-28 21:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:30 UTC	6	$1.6K	813	810	+2	Up	+$28	03-30 01:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 01:15 UTC	5	$1.6K	832	829	+4	Up	+$3	03-30 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 22:35 UTC	3	$1.4K	925	725	+200	Up	-$10	03-25 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 17:35 UTC	2	$1.4K	873	860	+13	Up	+$351	03-20 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 06:10 UTC	4	$1.3K	838	832	+6	Down	+$45	03-08 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:25 UTC	5	$1.3K	811	802	+10	Down	+$242	03-08 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 05:30 UTC	18	$1.3K	684	647	+37	Up	-$1	03-08 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 05:45 UTC	3	$1.2K	610	609	+1	Up	+$54	03-08 05:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 06:00 UTC	4	$1.2K	625	623	+3	Up	+$84	03-08 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:35 UTC	3	$1.1K	941	941	+0	Down	+$318	08-08 03:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:35 UTC	4	$1.0K	667	563	+104	Up	+$72	03-20 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:05 UTC	2	$1000	1,341	0	+1,341	Down	-$1,000	08-09 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:40 UTC	2	$949	574	567	+6	Up	+$158	03-08 02:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:25 UTC	26	$942	737	726	+11	Up	+$86	03-20 16:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:05 UTC	3	$919	1,040	8	+1,032	Up	-$904	04-09 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 06:30 UTC	4	$840	1,377	271	+1,106	Down	-$623	03-08 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:20 UTC	6	$780	460	460	+0	Up	+$11	08-08 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 01:40 UTC	4	$778	605	458	+147	Up	+$144	03-08 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 05:15 UTC	14	$758	476	439	+37	Up	+$57	03-08 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:50 UTC	3	$754	529	290	+239	Down	-$180	03-20 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:10 UTC	2	$718	520	512	+8	Up	+$181	03-20 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:17:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xc4ebad…
10-31 15:33:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on November 1?	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0x8876ec…
10-31 15:00:28	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on November 1?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x2c4bd7…
10-31 11:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xb85784…
10-31 11:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xabf9ec…
10-30 21:27:16	Sligo Rovers FC vs. Derry City FC: Sligo Rovers FC O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x14418f…
10-30 21:26:04	Sligo Rovers FC vs. Derry City FC: Sligo Rovers FC O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x4d4295…
10-30 15:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x05f8c9…
10-30 15:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$31	0x4c9314…
10-30 15:37:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 31?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xcb6239…
10-30 15:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x563b5e…
10-30 15:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xc15b2d…
10-30 14:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	68¢	$28	0xb7dbb0…
10-30 14:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xcbc1e0…
10-30 14:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	77¢	$32	0xe645e6…
10-30 14:30:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46ab07…
10-30 14:26:51	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xfd0739…
10-30 14:16:09	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $145 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa4b8b6…
10-30 14:15:34	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $132 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8cfd93…
10-30 14:15:30	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6a4333…
10-30 14:13:28	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbb804f…
10-30 14:11:43	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd4d2a8…
10-30 14:07:46	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $295 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5b4c82…
10-30 14:04:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb9c231…
10-30 14:04:27	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd8ace6…
10-30 14:02:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 31?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xeb80fe…
10-30 14:01:54	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 31?	No	BUY	149	94¢	$140	0xf38211…
10-30 14:01:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	63	91¢	$57	0x86ec81…
10-30 14:01:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0x4db1b2…
10-30 14:00:34	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $129 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8bc43f…
10-30 14:00:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd205dc…
10-30 13:56:40	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7afda7…
10-30 13:53:21	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb443f8…
10-30 13:52:22	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $146 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa92f85…
10-30 13:46:58	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe05d70…
10-30 13:45:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f879d…
10-30 13:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xd2880e…
10-30 13:40:01	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x20bd41…
10-30 13:39:19	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $145 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb8a241…
10-30 13:34:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9dd85d…
10-30 13:34:19	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x392687…
10-30 13:30:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7cf895…
10-30 13:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	38	58¢	$22	0x568676…
10-30 13:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	73¢	$27	0x8ecb26…
10-30 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0xd9d503…
10-30 12:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x09dfdb…
10-30 12:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	81¢	$33	0x9af567…
10-30 12:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0xfcd33f…
10-30 11:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x66e1e8…
10-30 11:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x61958d…
10-30 11:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x0f8664…
10-30 11:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	76¢	$29	0x8e6157…
10-30 10:54:13	Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: Brisbane Roar FC O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd71328…
10-30 10:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x5a694e…
10-30 10:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xc8f7f3…
10-30 07:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x9548cf…
10-30 07:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xcb2513…
10-30 06:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	77¢	$29	0x3e6dd9…
10-30 06:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	62¢	$23	0xe4570e…
10-29 17:46:37	Kuopion Palloseura vs. IF Gnistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xc03cb7…
10-29 16:09:50	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 30?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$91	0x1797b9…
10-29 15:46:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x32e255…
10-29 14:36:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 30?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x90dae9…
10-29 14:06:53	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 30?	No	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0xd2b735…
10-29 14:06:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf8da17…
10-29 14:04:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0xdf74f5…
10-29 14:04:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xa0c990…
10-29 13:58:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x739713…
10-29 13:58:28	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x1db690…
10-29 13:55:47	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5bdc2…
10-29 13:52:44	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x35be78…
10-29 13:52:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b6f85…
10-29 13:51:47	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1a23b9…
10-29 13:51:08	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa05a94…
10-29 13:49:04	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xc03f68…
10-29 13:47:46	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $562.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xd7f2a7…
10-29 13:46:28	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x417629…
10-29 13:46:25	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $364 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x497278…
10-29 13:46:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x753fa3…
10-29 13:45:28	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0195a4…
10-29 13:45:25	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7f728f…
10-29 13:35:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x59c1ed…
10-29 13:34:44	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $213 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x316d14…
10-29 13:34:05	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc0d0be…
10-29 13:34:02	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xc9658a…
10-29 13:31:53	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6c2c42…
10-29 13:31:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $562.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x4d0b00…
10-29 13:31:49	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2ddf2a…
10-29 13:30:37	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x9f6cf0…
10-29 06:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	38	30¢	$12	0x7754ef…
10-29 06:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$31	0xea1f52…
10-29 03:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xe0a60b…
10-29 03:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	81¢	$30	0x0920b1…
10-29 03:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xcc7422…
10-29 03:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0xdf91fb…
10-28 00:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xbd0ac1…
10-28 00:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x6ab5cf…
10-27 19:53:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb0dc83…
10-27 15:25:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 28?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x6fe13c…
10-27 14:04:11	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 28?	No	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0x4556ad…